".and isn’t responding to established ways of slowing the pandemic, according to Danish scientists who have one of the world’s best views into the new, more contagious strain.
"Cases involving the variant are increasing 70 percent a week in Denmark, despite a strict lockdown
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“We’re losing some of the tools that we have to control the epidemic,” said Tyra Grove Krause, scientific director of the institute, which has begun sequencing every positive coronavirus test to check for mutations.
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"By contrast, the US is sequencing 0.3 percent of cases, ranking it 43rd in the world and leaving it largely blind to the variant’s spread.
"British Prime Minister Boris Johnson suggested for the first time that the variant may be more deadly than previous strains
4/
'Danish public health officials say that if it weren’t for their extensive monitoring, they would be feeling a false sense of confidence right now. Overall, new daily confirmed cases of the coronavirus in Denmark have been dropping for a month.
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"But the British variant is spreading so quickly that Danish authorities project it will be the dominant strain of the virus in their country as early as mid-February.
"US CDC warned Friday that the U.K. variant, known as B.1.1.7, could be prevalent [in the US] by March.
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"Danish officials say that as a result, daily coronavirus cases there could quadruple by the beginning of April. Charts from the public health institute project that in the worst-case contagion scenarios, even with a strict lockdown in effect, cases would skyrocket.
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- 5 new cases yesterday (it would be good have report of how many are pre-quarantined)
- 29 total deaths. None this year.
Brazil continues to battle the new variant, cases and deaths are high.
The celebration of Carnival in Rio de Janeiro has been canceled.
In Massachusetts, Gov Charlie Baker (@MassGovernor), declared today that he will loosen restrictions, citing decreasing test positivity and decreasing hospitalizations. A step in the wrong direction.
Some countries are in severe crisis mode, but recently many countries are improving. Today we highlight the countries that are now less than 20% of their peak in new cases. Not only are these countries succeeding, but this is a significant shift in the global situation.
At EndCoronavirus.org/countries, we sort countries into three categories: “winning”, “nearly there”, “needs action”
“Winning” report very few new cases
“Nearly there” made significant progress reducing cases, less than 20% of peak
“Needs action” are those that haven’t gotten there
Recently more countries became “nearly there,” the number increased from 10 to 25 in a month, with almost all of them coming from the “needs action.” Let’s look at what is happening.
Denmark continues to improve rapidly, 7-day average is down from 3,600 to 1,300, nearly reduced by a factor of 3.
Restrictions in Denmark until Feb 7 include a 5-person limit on public gatherings and the closure of bars, restaurants and schools.
Australian success continues: Two days of no (zero) cases of local transmission. All new cases (25 in two days) were imported from overseas and already quarantined.
UK case rates are going down significantly, showing that the new variant can be controlled. Yesterday 37,610 new cases, down from a peak of over 68,000.
Today UK reported 1,610 deaths, new high. Another week or two before deaths significantly decline.
Indonesia yesterday reported 12,818 new cases and 238 deaths.
Cases are rising rapidly, low test rate, and high test positivity of 25-30% suggest more cases are being missed.
“Hospitals on Java, the country’s most populous island, are on the brink of collapse...”
Indonesia recently appointed a new Health Minister and there are hopes of a science-based response. The previous HM advocated widespread use of an unproven treatment he developed.
Hopefully they look to nearby Australia for example and support.