🦠🦠 20,089 cases. (Lockdown working in most places)
⚰️⚰️⚰️. 1631 (28 day cut off deaths) - 1756 (60 day deaths - +ve test and Covid on death certificate.
⚰️💔⚰️🦠⚰️💔 Total CERTAIN Covid deaths 112,951. A marked undercount
Calculations tweet 2.
⚰️⚰️⚰️. 1631 (28 day cut off deaths) - 1756 (60 day deaths - +ve test and Covid on death certificate.
⚰️💔⚰️🦠⚰️💔 Total CERTAIN Covid deaths 112,951. A marked undercount
Calculations tweet 2.
Based on 112,951 Covid deaths
😱💔⚰️ 1 in every 602 U.K. citizens have already died of COVID. (More like 1 in ever 590)
That is shocking and shameful and inexcusable. Carnage.
Grief and anger and fear.
But I see no shame or humility from those at the top.
😱💔⚰️ 1 in every 602 U.K. citizens have already died of COVID. (More like 1 in ever 590)
That is shocking and shameful and inexcusable. Carnage.
Grief and anger and fear.
But I see no shame or humility from those at the top.
https://twitter.com/fascinatorfun/status/1354119337175621639
The downward trend in cases the last three weeks is now being seen not only in in admissions but MAY now be moving into a tiny reduction in ventilation beds. Fingers crossed.
🦠Cases. I like to compare Mondays by swab date (due to processing lag).
The reduction is marked.
🦠Cases. I like to compare Mondays by swab date (due to processing lag).
The reduction is marked.
Mondays tend to be the high point in the week when weekend kits are swabbed and returned.
I expect yesterday to be another marked reduction.
It needs to be 44k last Monday is still far far too high.
I expect yesterday to be another marked reduction.
It needs to be 44k last Monday is still far far too high.
It has been taking 4 days to process swabs on average but cases still being added 7+ days later. So it is likely MOST cases still to be added to recent days below, and some to the ones from last week below.
That helps us judge admissions, ventilation beds and deaths ahead.
That helps us judge admissions, ventilation beds and deaths ahead.
🏥 ADMISSIONS are definitely down. They were over 4K not long ago.
🛌 In patients also down.
Ventilation 🛌 are down two days running.
The first two day drop for a long time. Encouraging.
Well done everyone. It is working.
🛌 In patients also down.
Ventilation 🛌 are down two days running.
The first two day drop for a long time. Encouraging.
Well done everyone. It is working.
VACCINATION 💉 OVER 7 MILLION DOSES delivered to 6,853,357 people.
That means that more than 10% of the U.K. population has had at least one jab.
That really is very good.
Even the second doses re creeping up slowly - 472,446 people.
That means that more than 10% of the U.K. population has had at least one jab.
That really is very good.
Even the second doses re creeping up slowly - 472,446 people.
One of the reasons we can be sure the deaths to which I refe are a significant undercount is the Gov website has started to include deaths by date of death from the ONS stats authorities.
By date of report to 15/1/21 - 103,602
Already by date of death it is 107,907 by 15/1/21.
By date of report to 15/1/21 - 103,602
Already by date of death it is 107,907 by 15/1/21.
And here we have Prof of Stats Cambridge...David Spiegelhalter
As I suggested.
It will be 120k by the end of Jan, if not already.
That will be 1 in every 566 U.K. citizens
That is beyond belief...yet it is true.
As I suggested.
It will be 120k by the end of Jan, if not already.
That will be 1 in every 566 U.K. citizens
That is beyond belief...yet it is true.
https://twitter.com/d_spiegel/status/1354021097822425093
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