Thread by @bkives

Dr. Reimer is about to unveil the vaccination priority sequence for Manitoba. It depends on vaccine supply and appointment demand.

We're already giving shots to health-care workers, people at risk on First Nations and people in personal care homes.

#covid19

Next phase of rollout:

- Health care workers not covered in first stage
- People living in congregant settings (migrant workers, people in jails, people in homeless shelters)
- Essential workers (unsure who precisely yet)

Could happen in April if supplies arrive.

Congregant settings will be assessed on basis of age, health needs, the way the facility is set up and income.

Priority list will be set up. Mobile vaccination teams will then go down the list.

More vaccines are going to First Nations. Specifics will be announced in a joint statement with First Nations.

The second phase (potentially in April) will also include older adults, living everywhere.

This will start with everyone aged 95 and over.

Then everyone aged 80 and over.

They will do one-year increments, starting at 95 and going down to 80, as supplies come in.

In Stage Three - not timeline yet:

- Remaining health-care workers not covered in first two stages
- Remaining congregant-living residents not covered in second stage
- Adults 60 and over

Stage 4 - also no timeline - everyone else.

Manitoba's prediction of vaccinating 70 per cent of everyone aged 18 and over is based on avaiulability of only Pfizer and Moderna vaccines.

If other vaccines are approved and supplies arrive, all adult Manitobans who want a shot will get it by August, the province projects.

New immunization clinics will open in Interlake-Eastern and Southern health regions - one each - on March 1.

Will only take appointments if vaccine supplies arrive.

More clinics will open in June and July, again, if vaccine supplies arrive.

The sites will serve as clinics and vaccine distribution centres.

The pop-up sites coming the week of Feb. 8 in Flin Flon and The Pas will serve health-care workers.

Those workers will be notified by their employers. They don't need to make appointments.

Province is anticipating more doses in April.

Correction on the timeline: People aged 80 and up could start getting vaccines in March, not April.

Here's the worst-case-scenario timeline.

Apologies for the image quality.

And here's the best-case scenario.

There is no decision as to whether essential workers - whoever they may be deemed to be - are included in a prioritization list.

All of this is subject to change.

Timelines depend on vaccine supply and appointment demand.

Priorities could change based on epidemiology.

That's already happened: More northern health-care workers are due to get shots in February because of higher infection rates in north.

That's it for now.