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Peter Ungphakorn

30 Jan, 8 tweets, 7 min read

COVID-19 in Switzerland. Week to 30.01.2021—High but creeping down

Semi-lockdown: to end-Feb

Per 100K population, total & last 2 weeks
● cases—6030 & 263
● in hospital—250 & 9
● deaths—100 & 6

R(e): up slightly—0.86
NEW: Vaccinations: 262K

FOPH covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…

1/8

And for the past fortnight, R(e) since Sep28

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview

Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna mRNA vaccinations ongoing. Pfizer supply delayed. Still waiting for approval: AstraZenenca, Janssen-Cilag (J&J). Switzerland has ordered 15.8m doses for 8m people

2/8

By canton: lab-confirmed cases in the past fortnight per 100K population—Picture very similar to last week. Scale for dark blue down from 500 to 430, so slight improvement. Jura, Valais, Nidwalden and Glarus still worst

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

3/8

By canton: lab-confirmed hospitalisation in the past fortnight per 100K population—More lighter blue plus darkest end of scale cut slightly from 40. Worst in Obwalden. Improvements in Ticino, Glarus Appenzell Innerrhoden (and Liechtenstein).

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

4/8

By canton: deaths (which lag case numbers) tell yet another story—Dark end of scale increased from 27. Colours generally lighter. Glarus still worst

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

5/8

Hospital capacity, occupancy: all patients/COVID-19 in ICU

Data from over 150 hospitals/clinics (Glarus and Appenzell Innerrhoden have no IC units)

All: Stable overall, some fluctuation.

COVID-19: improving

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/hosp-capaci…

6/8

R(e) estimates: national over time, cantons latest.

Improving. Geneva, Obwalden drop <1, Appenzell-1, Lichtenstein rise >1

Estimate: 0.86 nationally (from 0.84)

Scientific Task Force: = 0.72–1.02 (from 0.80–0.86) sciencetaskforce.ch/en/current-sit…

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/repro/val

7/8

Vaccination

Delivered: 516K (some delays). Administered: 262K
Highest rates: Basel-City, Nidwalden and Appenzell Innerrhoden. Lowest rates: Bern-Zurich axis and neighbouring cantons except Luzern, Solothurn

More: covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

8/8

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Peter Ungphakorn

@CoppetainPU

31 Jan

The UK is starting talks to join the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (#CPTPP)

One way of finding out what it is: look at the text.

Here goes.

It doesn’t have a Secretariat so the text is published by each govt. Google “CPTPP text”

1/13

New Zealand is a good place to start. It has the text by chapter, 30 of them: mfat.govt.nz/en/trade/free-…

(Canada has summaries by chapter: international.gc.ca/trade-commerce…)

#CPTPP

2/13

“Wow! 30 chapters. Better start reading”

“Hang on. There’s more.”

mfat.govt.nz/en/trade/free-…

#CPTPP

3/13

Read 13 tweets

Peter Ungphakorn

@CoppetainPU

4 Jan

JANUARY 4, 2021

The first day back at work at the WTO.

What’s happened to the UK’s commitments (“schedules”) on goods (tariffs, tariff quotas, farm support) and services in the WTO now that the Brexit transition is over, and the UK no longer applies the EU’s commitments?

1/12

NEW UK DOCUMENT

The UK has circulated a new document outlining the latest situation with the commitments on goods and services, various agreements, applied tariffs and preferences (GSP, UK-EU deal), WTO dispute settlement, trade remedies, laws

docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/S…

2/12

GOODS
Tariffs, tariff quotas, farm support

The UK is now applying the commitments it proposed in 2018 with amendments in May and Dec 2020 (correcting errors) even though they have not been agreed.

5 rounds of talks. Some agreement, or “close” to

docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/S…

3/12

Read 12 tweets

Peter Ungphakorn

@CoppetainPU

2 Jan

COVID-19 in Switzerland. Week ending 31.12.2020—High but down slightly. Vaccination started. Data disrupted by holiday

Per 100K population, total & last 2 wks
● cases—5232 & 583
● in hospital—216 & 20
● deaths—82 & 12

Federal public health office covid19.admin.ch/en/overview?ov…

1/7

And for the past fortnight

covid19.admin.ch/en/overview

(Various options on the page give a lot of different data.)

Pfizer/BioNTech mRNA vaccinations started. Still waiting for approval: Moderna, AstraZenenca, etc. Switzerland has ordered 15.8m doses for 8m people

2/7

By canton: lab-confirmed cases in the past fortnight per 100K population

Improving. Darker shading still in the Germanic east and Italian Ticino. French-speaking cantons generally better. Worst: Liechtenstein.

covid19.admin.ch/en/epidemiolog…

3/7

Read 7 tweets

Peter Ungphakorn

@CoppetainPU

1 Jan

It's January 1, 2021. The transition is over. Britain has left the EU Single Market and customs union.

How many of the EU’s free trade agreements have been “rolled over” into continuity agreements with the UK? How many have not been done?

1/7

Bearing in mind that

(1) some continuity agreements do not replicate the EU’s free trade agreements in full (rules of origin; sectors, regulations, mutual recognition not covered)

(2) trade figures cited are for TOTAL trade, not trade affected by the continuity deals

2/7

All the deals are listed on this page: gov.uk/guidance/uk-tr…

SUMMARY

DONE DEALS
Number of countries: 60
Number of agreements: 30
Total trade with those countries: £174 billion
Full ratification: 31 countries
Provisional application: 21
Bridging mechanism: 8 countries

3/7

Read 8 tweets

Peter Ungphakorn

@CoppetainPU

13 Dec 20

@BorisJohnson

How can the UK be ready for Australia terms, when those terms are not available to the UK @BorisJohnson?

With no deal, how will it get tariff quota access to the EU for lamb, beef, cheese? Australia does.

How will it get free trade deals with all its neighbours? Australia does.

https://twitter.com/BorisJohnson/status/1338126986070331392

The UK will be making trade more difficult with its main trading partners, Mr Johnson.

Australia has been making trade easier with its main trading partners.

"No deal" is worse than "Australia terms".

"Australia terms" are not available to the UK

tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2020/11/30/wor…

Read 4 tweets

Peter Ungphakorn

@CoppetainPU

12 Dec 20

@tconnellyRTE

Another informative piece by @tconnellyRTE, this time on the level playing field. Definitely recommended reading.

Some parts of it piqued my curiosity

1/7

rte.ie/news/brexit/20…

First, the theme is about the UK having to follow EU standard, implying the UK may want to have lower standards than the EU.

But Frost’s vision was of a nimble UK able to set its own standards. Wouldn’t this force the EU to follow?

rte.ie/news/brexit/20…

2/7

If not follow, then at least be constrained by the higher UK standard under a ratchet as in the EU’s March 2020 “ratchet” draft. Note the text refers to “party”/“parties” so applies to either side.

ec.europa.eu/info/sites/inf…

3/7

Read 7 tweets

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