1. IMP ANNOUNCEMENT

I want to let you know when I made the decision to launch @StrikePac & directly get into electioneering I realized I wasn't going to continue issuing "race ratings" & "forecasts" each cycle- OBV that's a conflict of interest!

The hostility & sexism of
2. that world, I have to be honest, makes it very easy to walk away- the misogyny in the top tier of the election analysis community outside of @Center4Politics folks who are awesome & also more accurate than anyone else is intolerable. I'll still analyze politics, political
3. events, issue commentary, write articles, run the pod, go on TV, and generally succeed in ways that drive those men nuts but no, I won't be putting out ratings or "forecasts" anymore. Now, lots of people are asking me "what's going to happen in 2022?" The Midterm Effect, the
4. the long standing pattern of the president's party losing seats in the Midterm happens virtually every single cycle. I believe there are 2 recent exceptions: post-9/11 in the 2022 midterms and 1998 post-Lewinski gate. What I'm trying to do in building @StrikePac is completely
5. redesign/overhaul/modernize & reshape the way that Dems currently approach electioneering. I want to build a new organization with the funds capable of coming into cycle's like VA's 2021 cycle and the 2022 midterm cycle and start to deploy these new methodologies into the
6. the field. These new techniques include an offense attack strategy that brands the Republican Party as an extremist party trying to end democracy, one that must not be given governing power. 1 that has adopted a #PartyOfNo posture- so allegiant to an ideology of "limited gov"
7. it stood by and did nothing as a deadly pandemic washed over our country, killing us by the hundreds of thousands. I want to attack the party's brand as the party of the economy. Why? BC over the past 30 the Rep Party has murdered the American economy & taken us from a global
8. leader to a global laughingstock. Their economic performance record is SHIT and @strikepac is going to make them own it for the first time. They get walk around w a straight face say "Ds have no message for the working class" w/o ever being challenged to produce their
9. accomplishments for the same. And when they are challenged?? 🦗🦗🦗. @strikepac is going to link every single competitve R w their extremist agenda & their extremist colleagues like MTG. Its long past time that someone met the GOP's own electioneers on the field w an effective
10. counterpunch, and @StrikePac intends to be there, fighting 🔥 with 🔥.

BC if we're not there? If the Ds go into 2022 with the same messaging & electioneering approaches they brought to bear in the 2020 cycle- they lost seats under ideal fundamentals?

Yes, Ds are losing!
11. One more thing. @strikepac will be run with a high level of transparency, far beyond what the law requires. And although I am the "public face" and fundraiser for the pac, I do not control the pac's money. I took that role and gave it to @LaurieSpivak & told her the reason
12. is that it matter to me ALOT that anyone that gives money to @StrikePac knows that money, as best as we can do with it, will use it to fight the GOP. Now, this is my new job! I am getting paid a salary to do it. Well, at least I will be if it succeeds! But unlike all of the
13. rest of these pac things, I've chosen to design this one so that I have a flat salary, commensurate with my last salary at the think tank (eventually, hopefully!) that is based on my role & expertise. I am not making a cut on donations. I am not going to siphon off earning
14. from ads or make the kind of consultancy fees that I believe everyone else involved in pacs make. And the reason I'm doing these things is bc I will never give the GOP or the Nate Silvers of the world ammunition to hurt our effort to save democracy & improve the lives of the
15. lives of the millions of Americans that are depending on Democrats not to lose winnable elections. People like Silver, who are only capable of thinking about their own bottom lines, will never be able to understand someone like, who makes the opposite calculation. This info,
16. plus a whole lot more on what we're doing, how we're going to do it, and more is heading to the new website which is in progress. If you've already supported the effort- thank you! If you want to now strikepac.com

• • •

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More from @RachelBitecofer

30 Jan
1. Though part of what I'm calling "The GA Model" (in several parts, also the @staceyabrams' model- esp the part I'm about to highlight) is to micro-invest the up to now completely ignore rural black vote as a means of depressing the GOP vote margin in rural areas w black pops
2. Its a shrewd, strategically brilliant strategy, a game of subtraction via addition (but not evil, bc it subtracts POWER not the ability to participate in democracy w is the GOP's modus operandi. White rural voters still get to vote. Hell, the reforms @FairFight & others
3. fight for help all voters access the ballot box easier, and socio-economic barriers cross all races. The crap the GOP does to target minority voters & young voters hurts their own base & a great irony will be as their party becomes more heavily reliant on non-college ed voters
Read 6 tweets
30 Jan
Yes! I didn't get to talk about this much over the cycle. Too much daily triage stuff coming every 5 secs w President Shit Show. But I have to say, @JoeBiden as a general election candidate did DAMN FINE JOB. He leaned INTO being a Dem. He no doubt received really shitty
2. advice from the campaign world "status quo" (a mentality- not people!) I'm building @StrikePac (which, BTW isn't meant to be merely an ad cutting firm, its meant to build an org that will help redesign how Ds do their electioneering STRATEGY, including how it approaches
3. the entire concept of a competitive race. The traditional Dem model involves identifying voters who vote regularly and are "persuadable" and building your campaign around reaching, persuading, and ultimately bringing to the polls as many of these people as possible. Why I am
Read 25 tweets
30 Jan
1. OBVS. But the GOP already has this slogan, has weaponized it, & will be deploying it against candidates who don't hold that position.

Fun Fact: in races like NC senate the campaigns were BEGGING to be able to respond to these attacks & guess what, the current ruling class
2. that controls D electioneering strategy now refused to allow this. Which again, is why I'm building @StrikePac
bc that should NEVER HAVE HAPPENED.

Most frustrating part?! The counter message is OBVIOUS. You hit back the GOP w the fact that they were actively & literally
3. defunding the police EVERY SINGLE DAY of the fall cycle by holding the state & local funding hostage in the HEROES ACT- a piece of legislation Ds might have wanted to make the cornerstone of their argument for why voters should flip control of the Senate to them instead of the
Read 4 tweets
30 Jan
1. So pleased that @OpinionToday dug out the story of the exiling of the John Birchers and the exertion of the "sane" Republicans- back in the 60s.

The problem is though that they beat this insurgency back at the very same time they cut a deal w the devil. By absorbing
2. disaffected conservative whites in the South, who were fleeing the Democratic Party in droves over civil rights- ending the New Deal Coalition which had allowed Ds to domination Congress for 40 years, the GOP understood they could fast-track political power. The trade off was
3. adapting Atwater's "Southern Strategy" & opening their arms to "quiet" racism. Southern whites knew they could no longer be overtly racist, but were appeased by Rep pols who, via dog whistle politics indicated or signaled to them that their "dominance" would be maintained.
Read 5 tweets
30 Jan
If I can rouse up 10K I'm going to poll MTG's district to show that she isn't all that more radical than the Republicans she represents there & see how popular she still is

gofundme.com/f/poll-on-marj…
I want to add on to this thread- I am a top notch pollster. I did the polling for the Wason Center for 4 years, and nailed all 4 election cycles, including the 2017 cycle that others missed (bc anticipated the surge) and our 2016 VA poll was spot on. This will be quality shit.
Update, launched late on a Friday night & we are 1/10 of the way already. We might really be able to do this! Even if you can't donate, if you can send a tweet out w a pitch, that's huge, esp if you are a blue check.

Again, I'm a good pollster, this will be quality work
Read 4 tweets
29 Jan
1. Here's a handy @pewresearch graphic w overall turnout by state in 2020, but also, each state's improvement in turnout over 2016. In places where Ds took control (CA, CO, VA, WA) they've been (small l) liberalizing voting access & you really see the + effect its having on
2. participation. For years political scientists have wondered if competition was more imp than institutional design or vice versa & its really looking like institutions MATTER which makes the systematic targeting of voting institutions to suppress turnout by the GOP in states
3. where they have the power to do so (and as my friend @marceelias will tell you & talk about when he's on the show) they're coming HARD after GA's system now. And this data tells me that if they're successful in chipping away at the institutions, it will matter. Fun fact, not
Read 5 tweets

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