Case report of a hospital COVID-19 outbreak probably caused by airborne transmission. A child with an infected mother was admitted, after which 6 healthcare workers, 2 child patients, and 1 parent tested positive.

H/T: @CPita3 via @lisa_iannattone.
academic.oup.com/ofid/advance-a…
Three of the 6 healthcare workers had no direct contact with the mother or child and maintained a distance of approximately 2 metres during a ward round and dietician consultation. All 6 wore surgical masks. No aerosol-generating procedures were performed.
An additional 3 out of 4 contacts (2 child patients and one mother staying in the same room) tested positive. They were staying at a distance of more than 2 metres from one another, although brief contact over a shorter distance cannot be ruled out.
During the morning ward round, the child was asymptomatic and did not cough, sneeze, cry, or talk. The child tested positive 10 days after admission (6 days after most people were exposed), but remained asymptomatic.
The mother tested positive 8 days after admission (2 days after she developed symptoms). The authors believed the mother to be the index case, and that she transmitted the virus by talking. However, it's not possible to rule out the child.
Interestingly, the authors thought the child's young age (3 years), lack of symptoms, negative test on admission (4 days before most people were exposed), and subsequent positive test after the mother, made him unlikely to be the outbreak source.
In fact, none of these factors rule out the child, and it's disappointing to see some misconceptions about children repeated here.

The child's case probably would have gone undetected if the mother (and other adults) had not shown symptoms, which prompted the child's testing.
Although the mother is the most likely source (because the timing of her symptoms would have likely made her highly infectious at the time most people were exposed), it's possible that both the mother and the child could have transmitted the virus.
The most important finding of this case report, is that physical distancing and the use of surgical masks were inadequate to prevent this particular outbreak. While surgical masks do offer protection, they do not provide the same level of protection as a P2/N95 mask.
Additionally, at least two of the secondary cases (a doctor and nurse) had only 10 minutes exposure (when they collected blood samples from the child).
In summary, this case report demonstrates that airborne transmission of SARS-CoV-2 occurs, and that less than 15 minutes exposure is sufficient to become infected.

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More from @DrZoeHyde

29 Jan
(1/7) Spectacular news from Novavax. The efficacy of their vaccine matches Pfizer & Moderna, but it doesn't have the same ultra-cold storage requirements. ❄️

UK phase 3 trial results:

95.6% original COVID-19
85.6% UK 🇬🇧 strain (#B117)
89.3% efficacy overall
(2/7) Importantly, the vaccine was tested in a large number of people (>15,000) in the UK, aged 18-84 years.

Almost a third (27%) were aged over 65 years.
(3/7) The company also announced results of a smaller phase 2 trial of their vaccine in South Africa (>4,400 people).

⚠️ Over 90% of cases that were detected in the trial were attributable to the South African variant, which did affect the vaccine's efficacy.
Read 7 tweets
28 Jan
(1/5) Does the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine only have an efficacy of 6% in people aged >=65 years?

Almost certainly not. It’s likely similar to the figure for efficacy overall - 62%.

Previous data show immune response is similar in young & old people.
➡️ thelancet.com/journals/lance…
(2/5) The problem with the trial is that it only recruited 660 people aged >=65 years, and there was only one infection in the placebo group and one in the vaccine group in this age range.

This is almost certainly explained by chance, and doesn’t mean the vaccine didn’t work.
(3/5) Had there been more older people in the trial, there would likely have been more infections, and they would probably mostly have been in the placebo group, as occurred in younger people.
Read 5 tweets
25 Jan
(1/17) Study of 2482 parents and 2482 children aged 1-10 years from Baden-Württemberg, Germany, showing that between 22 April and 15 May 2020, parents were more likely to have antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 than children (1.9% vs. 0.9%).
jamanetwork.com/journals/jamap…
(2/17) In 56 families where at least one parent or child had antibodies, the combination of a positive parent and negative child was 4.3 times more likely than a positive child and negative parent.
(3/17) On the surface, this might sound like children are less susceptible to infection, and are less likely to transmit the virus than adults.

This is a genuine possibility, but I think there’s another, better explanation.

These weren’t just any parents...
Read 18 tweets
22 Jan
(1/6) It may seem hard to believe, but Western Australia has recorded no community transmission of COVID-19 since April 2020.

How? A lockdown to eliminate the virus, followed by border controls and quarantine to keep it out.

#ZeroCOVID is possible.
abc.net.au/news/2021-01-1…
(2/6) But Australia’s an island, I hear you say. That’s true, and it certainly makes elimination easier. However, Australia had major outbreaks elsewhere.

The state of Victoria has recorded 20,433 cases & 820 deaths, mostly during a second wave in August.
dhhs.vic.gov.au/victorian-coro…
(3/6) If unchecked, these outbreaks would have spread to the entire country. They didn’t because of internal border controls. Travel within Australia was restricted.

There is no reason why a similar red zone/green zone strategy couldn’t be implemented elsewhere. e.g., in Europe.
Read 6 tweets
21 Jan
The latest round of random testing in England shows infections plateaued in children & rose slightly in teenagers (during a time of distance learning), while infections rose markedly in adults. Overall, 1.5% of population infected; highest since May 2020.
spiral.imperial.ac.uk/handle/10044/1…
Although infections rose in adults, children (aged 5-12 years) and teenagers (aged 13-17 years) were still more likely to be infected than all other age groups except young adults (aged 18-34 years).

1 in 58 children and 1 in 44 teenagers are currently infected.
In contrast to official data which suggested new infections are decreasing in England, the results of the random testing showed no decrease (and possibly an increase instead).
Read 4 tweets
19 Jan
I see people quite excited about a study of households in Wuhan, which suggested children and teenagers were less likely to get infected, but more likely to transmit than adults. However, there are some odd things about it, and I’m sceptical. Read on...
thelancet.com/journals/lanin…
The first issue, is that many people were not tested unless they had symptoms.

We know that children are more likely to be asymptomatic than adults and, lo and behold, children and teenagers were less likely to be tested than adults in this study.
The study was conducted between 2 December 2019 and 18 April 2020.

Prior to 23 February, testing was often symptom-based. Over 80% of cases occurred before this date, and just under half of contacts were not tested.
Read 13 tweets

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