Do you want to be able to think more clearly about the world?

Do you want to be able to evaluate the claims that swirl around you in the media and on social media?

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Do you wish you knew what questions to ask to sift out the truth from the misinformation?

Are you a curious person, more interested in finding out about the world than in winning some argument on Twitter?

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Would you like to come away from reading the news feeling calmer and better informed, rather than stressed and confused?

If the answer to some of those questions is yes, I have good news: it’s publication week for my new book The Data Detective.
timharford.com/2021/02/announ…

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It's the culmination of everything I’ve learned trying to make sense of the numbers in the news and in life – presenting the BBC Radio program @BBCMoreOrLess, writing my @ftopinion & @FTMag columns, and dealing with my own questions, stresses and mistakes as I go along.
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In The Data Detective I offer ten simple rules – not commandments, more habits of mind that I’ve found useful. There is also a FREE bonus GOLDEN RULE. Eleven for the price of ten!
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The book is full of fun stories. How Florence Nightingale started a public health revolution with a pie chart. How the entire Dutch art world was fooled by their own wishful thinking. How a stripper and a congressman changed the face of US statistics.
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How the world’s two greatest economists tried, and failed, to see into the future.

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Maybe this is why @DavidEpstein mentions the book’s “magnetic storytelling”, @StevenDLevitt says it is “one of the most wonderful collections of stories that I have read in a long time” and Malcolm @Gladwell says, “he’s a genius at telling stories that illuminate our world”.
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Of course as a Brit it is embarrassing for me to mention that Maria @mkonnikova called it “entertaining” and “engrossing” and said the book “awakened my sense of wonder”.
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Or that the Wall Street Journal says it “expertly guides us through the many ways in which data can trick us”.
Or that the Financial Times said it was “wise and useful – such a delight”.
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But I’m trying to persuade you to buy a copy so I’m going to power through the awkwardness.
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If you are reading this and thinking, “but Tim, I recently bought and enjoyed your book How To Make The World Add Up, and this book sounds so similarly excellent I could almost believe they are the same book”… well, THEY ARE THE SAME BOOK.

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The Data Detective is the US & Canadian edition of How To Make The World Add Up. I know it is confusing. Sorry.

If you have read and enjoyed How To Make The World Add Up and have a friend in North America PLEASE TELL THEM about The Data Detective. Thank you.
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I loved writing this book and I am proud of it. I was astonished when it became a Christmas number one, hitting the top of the Sunday Times business bestseller lists.

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I’m also proud of the audiobook. All my previous audiobooks have been read by excellent actors but this time I wanted to do the job myself. It felt important. I’m glad I did.

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You can order the book from a variety of online sources (timharford.com/books/datadete…) or of course from your local independent bookshop.
And please spread the word!
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More from @TimHarford

2 Feb
Some interesting psychology going on around vaccine rollout. UK rollout is among the fastest in the world right now, but last night I saw a self-flagellating piece comparing UK rollout unfavourably to Israel...
... Scotland is doing better than almost anywhwere in the world. But not as well as England. I see a lot of melting down about that...
...my American friends are comparing themselves to UK and Israel and conclude the US rollout is a disaster. Yet US has vaccinated 4x as many per person as France. 3x as many as Germany...
Read 8 tweets
31 Jan
A belated Christmas quiz question for you - what do puzzles, poker, and misinformation have in common? The answer is at the bottom of this thread.
1/
Easier question first. In Santa’s workshop, if it takes five elves five minutes to wrap five presents, how long does it take 50 elves to wrap 50 presents?
2/
You probably know the answer to that one; it follows a classic formula for a trick question. But as you groped towards the correct answer you may have had to fight off your instinct to blurt out a tempting wrong answer: 50 minutes.
3/
Read 29 tweets
29 Jan
Will it ever end? In November we were celebrating the announcements of several effective vaccines. Now hospitals are overwhelmed and the global death toll is climbing twice as fast as the worst days of the first wave.
At times like this, I reach for my calculator.
1/
There are two reasons why these vaccines, some highly effective, have not yet done anything obvious to save lives or protect hospitals.
The first is evident: not enough people have been vaccinated so far.
2/
The second reason is that the vaccine takes time to work. In the UK, Margaret Keenan received a first dose of vaccine bright and early on December 8, but it needs a couple of weeks to provide much protection. She and her fellow first-day vaccinees were safer by Christmas.
3/
Read 16 tweets
28 Jan
They called Abraham Bredius 'The Pope', a nickname that poked fun at his self-importance while acknowledging his authority. Bredius was the world's leading scholar of the mysterious Dutch master, Johannes Vermeer.
1/
When Bredius was younger, he’d made his name by spotting works wrongly attributed to Vermeer. Now, at the age of 82, he had just published a highly respected book and was enjoying a retirement swan song in Monaco.
2/
It was at this moment, in 1937, that Gerard Boon paid a visit to his villa. Boon, a former Dutch MP, came to Bredius on behalf of dissidents in Mussolini’s Italy. They needed to raise money to fund their escape to the US. Tthey had something which might be of value.
3/
Read 10 tweets
27 Jan
I’m delighted to be sharing a publication day, 2 February, with @AdamMGrant and his new book, Think Again. [UK: amzn.to/3oot17A] (US: amzn.to/3pp9PIb] Bookshop: uk.bookshop.org/lists/recent-r…
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Well, mostly delighted: that’s one fewer slot on the bestseller lists for me to aim for. Think Again is a stone cold classic and destined to do extremely well.
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The book explores three key areas: individual rethinking (the challenges and benefits of reconsidering your views); interpersonal rethinking (how do you get other people to think again?); and collective rethinking (can we shape a culture of respectful and engaged debate?).
3/
Read 19 tweets
22 Jan
Has there been a moment in modern history where so many people in free societies have believed such damaging lies?
ft.com/content/b25595…
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It’s easy to point to the US, where nearly 90 per cent of people who voted for Donald Trump believe Joe Biden’s election victory was not legitimate.
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But it’s not just the US. In France, a minority of adults are confident that vaccines are safe, which explains why only 40 per cent say they plan to get a Covid-19 shot.
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Read 17 tweets

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