@Daniel83106448 I know, right. All this time I've been thinking that no matter what, by fall 2021 life starts to back to normal. Commerce really starts to bounce back bc people like you & me who are not cavalier about dying start to engage in the public economy again (restaurants, movies, etc)
@Daniel83106448 But instead, we might literally go back right to the beginning! Surely, the experts/Biden team is realizing this.
Assuming we can't mass produce vaccines anywhere sadly, the ONLY option is to enact, right now, a global shut down like we did at the very beginning, but one like
@Daniel83106448 China did. An actual draconian one that totally kills off the spread of the virus so we have time to produce the vaccine & prevent the mutations. And there is literally NO WAY that would ever happen. MB in Canada & the EU- but here? Brazil? Just no way! For the 1st time, I'm
@Daniel83106448 genuinely worried! Of course, I'm basing the info on the fact that the pfizer vaccine can't be produced in a different drug companies plants (keep in mind, I'm not say they lose the $/patent- just that they get production help) anyway, I'm basing the info that that can't be done
@Daniel83106448 off of twitter comments. I'm not sure I follow why a pharma production lab that produces, say the flu vaccine, couldn't produce the pfizer vaccine for a few months instead.
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2. And friends/people reading this- is it not the outcome/success that we care about than the methodology? For me, that outcome (bringing Manchin & Siema around filibuster reform, moving strong D leg, knocking off as much of the list as list as possible all while getting
3. accountability for Trump's crimes & ethical issues ALL while improving our electioneering & thus our electioneering strategy/success in 2022 so we don't pendulum swing & hold the majorities) if THAT sounds like the ideal p[lan to any pf you reading this than we must play smart
1. Actually yes. @staceyabrams & @ReverendWarnock are necessary, BUT NOT SUFFICIENT components to holding Warnock's seat in 2022 & flipping the GA Gov seat.
Yes, Stacey came exceedingly close in 2018 & since then her work on infrastructure building, including expansion of the
2. voter rolls via @fairfightaction's work are major assets in favor of them being in good positions in 2022. However, my theory of elections, which argues that D strength post-2016 was highly dependent on a completely natural antagonism effect in the electorate- the negative
3. partisanship effect- argues that those very strong performances in GA & TX w @BetoORourke, regardless or I guess despite of all the added infrastructure work was also aided, perhaps quite a bit, by a neg partisanship surge that *may* dissipate w the WH in Dem hands- as we saw
1. Been thinking about something. Seems to me its unlikely we'll have enough vaccine to hit herd immunity rates in time to head of a mutation that will require vaccine mods & then an entire vaccination effort redo. Or least, this is looking less & less likely. A HUGE problem!
2. If we had the supply, we could herd by summer & reopen. But, we need GLOBAL immunity or it'll mutate somewhere & our immunity will fail unless the entire rest of the world is willing to enact pre-emptive draconian travel restrictions against poor countries that cant vaccinate
3. before the mutations hit-a PR nightmare for the West. People seem to be saying that a Pfizer vaccine can only be produced at a Pfizer plan (@VinGuptaMD- does that sound right?!) bc if not, couldn't we use the DPA to produce the vaccines everywhere set up w the right labs?
1. Though part of what I'm calling "The GA Model" (in several parts, also the @staceyabrams' model- esp the part I'm about to highlight) is to micro-invest the up to now completely ignore rural black vote as a means of depressing the GOP vote margin in rural areas w black pops
2. Its a shrewd, strategically brilliant strategy, a game of subtraction via addition (but not evil, bc it subtracts POWER not the ability to participate in democracy w is the GOP's modus operandi. White rural voters still get to vote. Hell, the reforms @FairFight & others
3. fight for help all voters access the ballot box easier, and socio-economic barriers cross all races. The crap the GOP does to target minority voters & young voters hurts their own base & a great irony will be as their party becomes more heavily reliant on non-college ed voters
Yes! I didn't get to talk about this much over the cycle. Too much daily triage stuff coming every 5 secs w President Shit Show. But I have to say, @JoeBiden as a general election candidate did DAMN FINE JOB. He leaned INTO being a Dem. He no doubt received really shitty
2. advice from the campaign world "status quo" (a mentality- not people!) I'm building @StrikePac (which, BTW isn't meant to be merely an ad cutting firm, its meant to build an org that will help redesign how Ds do their electioneering STRATEGY, including how it approaches
3. the entire concept of a competitive race. The traditional Dem model involves identifying voters who vote regularly and are "persuadable" and building your campaign around reaching, persuading, and ultimately bringing to the polls as many of these people as possible. Why I am
2. that controls D electioneering strategy now refused to allow this. Which again, is why I'm building @StrikePac
bc that should NEVER HAVE HAPPENED.
Most frustrating part?! The counter message is OBVIOUS. You hit back the GOP w the fact that they were actively & literally
3. defunding the police EVERY SINGLE DAY of the fall cycle by holding the state & local funding hostage in the HEROES ACT- a piece of legislation Ds might have wanted to make the cornerstone of their argument for why voters should flip control of the Senate to them instead of the