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4 Feb, 7 tweets, 3 min read
Ok. Thread incoming

A minute ago, we saw shocking, SHOCKING video of a maskless grocery story in Naples, FL

Naples is in Collier County. I compared deaths there to Imperial County, CA with one of the earliest mask mandates in the country

Yeah, Imperial has done way, way worse
We literally saw video evidence that mask compliance is extremely bad in Collier. So they must have had more cases, right? I mean, Imperial will fine you up to $1,000, charge a misdemeanor and up to 90 days in jail if you don’t comply

Nope. Imperial is way way worse there too.
Now, you may be saying, well I assume Imperial is bigger and more dense, because that’s ALWAYS why numbers are worse, right?

Nope. Collier is 187 per square mile, Imperial is 34.

Collier is more than 5x the density of Imperial County. So that doesn’t work.
You might also say, well Collier might have a younger population, that’s a big influence on outcomes, right?

Oh wait, turns out Collier’s median age is 50.8(!!!) And Imperial’s is 32.4. Collier’s median age is 57% higher than Imperial

And yet Imperial has done so, so much worse
So here we have two counties, one with an early mandate when cases & deaths were very low, threatening their citizens with huge fines & literally jail time

The other county has people openly not complying. That county is older, and 5x the density. And their results are better.
Not just better, MUCH better.

How could this happen? The science on masks working is CRYSTAL CLEAR. Shepard Smith told me! It’s crystal clear! The CDC Director said so! And he has never been wrong!

Oh well. Who cares right? Masks work. Because they work.
Oh and if you think I’m kidding about the punishment in Imperial County, I am most definitely not kidding.

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More from @ianmSC

IM Profile picture
6 Feb
Ok so I already did a thread on today’s CDC nonsense, but it's even worse than I thought

The CA counties used in the study, supposedly proof of statewide mask mandates working, are Alameda, Contra Costa & SF

Their mandates were all in effect by 4/22. State wasn’t until 6/18 Image
So when did they start counting data from these counties? Who knows! Every site has different starting periods.

But it makes absolutely no sense to use only three sites from a state that all had mandates months earlier, and pretend like the STATEWIDE mandate made any difference ImageImage
Obviously, they also, of course, got to ignore the fall surge, which, you know, seems relevant. Image
Read 6 tweets
IM Profile picture
5 Feb
Sigh. More misinformation from the CDC to combat.

Ok fine, here we go.

There are many things here, but the easiest way to determine that this is complete garbage is check where the CDC decided to end their “study”.

Well that’s sure convenient, huh? Image
Somehow, the mask mandates also worked for one specific age group! That’s right! Over 65? No statistically significant difference. Under 40? Also no difference

But at least 40-64, must have been a big success, right?

Nope, 5.5% decrease in growth rate. That’s their claim. 5.5% Image
Let’s keep going. How about the limitations?

Well, no biggie, it didn’t capture anyone under 18, didn’t control for some policies that might also effect growth rates, only captured COVID-NET states, and most importantly didn’t look at local mandates, only state ones! Image
Read 6 tweets
IM Profile picture
5 Feb
Recently I posted how Collier County, FL, home of the horrifying unmasked grocery store video, had done so much better than counties in CA & AZ

Well here’s Charlotte County, which is essentially next door

Even though Collier’s not enforcing masks, Charlotte’s also doing worse Image
In fact, cumulatively, population adjusted deaths are 51% higher in Charlotte County, despite Collier’s lack of compliance

Lee County is in between them &Lee doesn’t have a mask mandate at all

And yet they’re also doing better cumulatively, despite being the highest density Image
Lee is actually ~4x the density of Charlotte County, but Charlotte’s death rate is 53% higher.

So why are Lee and Collier doing so much better than Charlotte, despite having an unenforced mandate and none at all?

Who cares? The science is crystal clear. Masks work. Image
Read 4 tweets
IM Profile picture
4 Feb
Oklahoma has provided an Epidemiological report every week, where they show data from cities w/ & w/out mask mandates

I want to draw your attention to this part, because it’s important:

The growth rate, during the biggest surge in cases, was the lowest in non-masked cities Image
There are many things to parse here, but growth rate is what the CDC loves to use in their “masks work” “studies”

And again, the no-mask areas did better in growth rate during the biggest surge in cases in Oklahoma.

For reference, 11/1 is marked, and the graph ends 1/12. Image
Let me repeat. During the biggest surge in cases in Oklahoma, non-mask cities did the best.

The point isn’t even the exact numbers, it’s that if masks were as important of an intervention as we’ve been told, this should not be possible.
Read 7 tweets
IM Profile picture
4 Feb
So @Cleavon_MD, in response to the video from Naples, said we should “let ‘em die” for not wearing masks

He’s a doctor in Yuma, AZ, where presumably they wear masks out of fear of not receiving treatment

So why has Yuma had so many more Covid deaths per million than Naples? Image
Beyond the threats of attention seeking, self-promoting Doctors, Yuma also will threaten you with up to 6 months in jail and a $2500 fine if you’re caught twice without one

We know that Naples is clearly not enforcing their mandate, and DeSantis specifically said no fines Image
Yuma is also significantly less dense, 35.5 per square mile vs. 187. Collier’s much older too, 50.8 vs. 34.6.

Yuma’s cumulative deaths per million is 214% higher.

At Yuma’s peak on 1/16, the 14-day avg was 426% higher than Collier. ImageImageImageImage
Read 4 tweets
IM Profile picture
1 Feb
I know that the term misinformation is unbelievably overused at this point, but this is legitimately misinformation.

There is absolutely no evidence whatsoever that anything that California did made any difference at all. This story is indefensible and dangerously misleading.
Hospitalizations in Arizona and California peaked at nearly the exact same time. Arizona never banned outdoor dining or had another stay at home order.

And crucially, in the period (12/20-1/6) where CA’s interventions would make a supposed difference, there was none.
Saying that the measures in California worked is just an outright lie. I would say that it’s incomprehensible that a supposedly reputable newspaper would publish this nonsense, but it’s the modern media, so…it actually makes perfect sense they would publish this nonsense
Read 4 tweets

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