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Tim Hogan

@TimInHonolulu

5 Feb

1. I am obviously not in Walter Dellinger's league but I need to comment on one thing he missed about the second Trump impeachment trial.

The Constitution provides two remedies for a sitting president's high crimes and misdemeanors.

@StateDept

2. The first and threshold remedy occurs upon the conviction by 2/3 of the Senate members present. Upon reaching that number and the announcement by the presiding CJ, the defendant becomes a "former president" as a matter of law. Notice is rushed to the @StateDept.

@SenateGOP

3. You don't get to the second remedy unless and until you reach and establish the first. So, as a matter of law and logic the @SenateGOP position means you can never act to bar a president from future office and strip them of the benefits of being Potus, because at the time

Read 4 tweets

Tim Hogan

@TimInHonolulu

4 Feb

1. McConnell and his masters in the #Koch funding ecosystem have two problems: Being rid of Trump and being rid of the lunatic fringe. If they're smart, they will take the hit from the extreme fringe in their party and in one act rid themselves of both problems.

@HouseGOP

2. We just witnessed the @HouseGOP vote secretly to support @RepLizCheney. Less than 30% supported her removal. @GOPLeader's support for the lunatic fringe makes him at best a lame duck and more likely teed up for removal. But Trump still hovers over the caucus like a bad dream.

@SenateGOP

3. Trump's Impeachment trial defended by two of the fringe is likely to be a disaster for the GOP. It will simply prove that Trump attempted a violent overthrow of our Republic. It will reinforce the calls to charge complicit GOP members. The 2022 Cycle @SenateGOP will have to

Read 8 tweets

Tim Hogan

@TimInHonolulu

4 Feb

1. Attempts to reverse terrorist radicalization often approach the task by trying to change the radical belief system. But folks like Jihadists aren't likely to just change their views. But you can remove one of the key factors leading to radicalization: economic misery. So, you

2. focus on that and try to slowly replace the radical belief system with at least an understanding that it is possible to address the economic motivations and lessen the rage that perceived or real injustice inflames. American radicals who backed Trump are varied but many are

3. working class whites, who were not provided a quality education starting in pre-school or day care. They are not prepared to thrive in our modern economy, and they are afraid. Trump lied to them, making them think he could fix their lives. He fed them instead with a

Read 9 tweets

Tim Hogan

@TimInHonolulu

2 Feb

@SenateGOP

1. If @SenateGOP fail to convict Donald Trump they will make it all but certain Trump spends his days in federal or state prison. Democrats need to focus on each of the 2022 cycle GOP. Paint them as seditious monsters if they excuse an overthrow. @TheDemocrats should target ads

@SenShelby

2. in their states. @SenShelby @JohnBoozman @MarcoRubio @MikeCrapo @ToddYoungIN @GrassleyPress @JerryMoran @RandPaul @SenJohnKennedy @RoyBlunt @SenJohnHoeven
@SenatorLankford @SenTrimScott @SenJohnThune @MikeLeeforUtah @RonJohnsonWI

@lisamurkowski

3. @lisamurkowski should switch from GOP to Independent and caucus with the Democrats. Otherwise, the 2022 Tsunami may reach her too.

And the following 2022 cycle members were the ones who went to Moscow for July 4th. The @ODNIgov should declassify intercepts to expose

Read 4 tweets

Tim Hogan

@TimInHonolulu

1 Feb

@RepJerryNadler

1. @RepJerryNadler @SenatorDurbin @StateDept Why not simply list the Nazi party as a FTO engaged in "international terrorism"? IMO it passes 18 USC 2331(1) statutory test:

2. Once listed the US affiliated members would be immediately subject to the full toolkit available under #FISA that defines "foreign power" to include "a group engaged in international terrorism" or activities in preparation therefor" 50 USC § 1801(a)(4).

3. A member of a Nazi party affiliate would then be an "agent of a foreign power" pursuant to 50 USC § 1801(b)(1)(C). That would open these international terrorists to the full panoply of FISA tools to be able to uncover their identities and make sure they

Read 4 tweets

Tim Hogan

@TimInHonolulu

1 Feb

@SenateGOP

1. If the @SenateGOP think that simply turning blind eyes to Trump's high crimes will make them go away they're likely to be disappointed. First, if they fail to convict & ban Trump from future political office, IMO it's likely Trump & members are indicted soon after the verdict.

@HawleyMO

2. The members who are most likely to be charged with Trump are @HawleyMO and @SenTedCruz. I expect that the @FBIWFO already has their electronic communications with Trump and his conspirators related to the attack on the Capitol.

Second, members who voted to overthrow election

@SenHydeSmith

2. are also likely targets of the grand jury including @SenHydeSmith @ScottforFlorida @CynthiaMLummis @RogerMarshallMD @TTuberville @SenJohnKennedy.

Third, a group of at-risk GOP in 2016 cycle are likely to be exposed for their receipt of Kremlin money in that cycle combined

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