1. If the @SenateGOP think that simply turning blind eyes to Trump's high crimes will make them go away they're likely to be disappointed. First, if they fail to convict & ban Trump from future political office, IMO it's likely Trump & members are indicted soon after the verdict.
2. The members who are most likely to be charged with Trump are @HawleyMO and @SenTedCruz. I expect that the @FBIWFO already has their electronic communications with Trump and his conspirators related to the attack on the Capitol.

Second, members who voted to overthrow election
2. are also likely targets of the grand jury including @SenHydeSmith @ScottforFlorida @CynthiaMLummis @RogerMarshallMD @TTuberville @SenJohnKennedy.

Third, a group of at-risk GOP in 2016 cycle are likely to be exposed for their receipt of Kremlin money in that cycle combined
3. with the coming vote where they'll excuse Putin's puppet making war on the US. They'll be faced with a very difficult reelection campaign tied to Trump's treason by the vote to enable him to attack again.

The ones who have the greatest risk are the 2016 cycle went to
4. the Kremlin on July 4th: @SenShelby @JerryMoran @SenJohnThune @SenJohnKennedy @SenJohnHoeven @RonJohnsonWI.

@SteveDaines was also part of that group but he won in 2020 in an election that needs to be looked at for Russian involvement.
5. So far, three 2016 cycle up in 2022 are retiring:

@SenatorBurr
@SenToomey
@robportman

Finally, here are the 2016/2022 cycle GOP who are on the cusp. Should evidence emerge linking them to the attack, they risk both indictment and push to remove them at the ballot box:
6. @JohnBoozman @MarcoRubio @MikeCrapo @ToddYoungIN @GrassleyPress @RandPaul @RoyBlunt @SenatorLankford @SenTrimScott

@MikeLeeforUtah @lisamurkowski are in cycle but may have removed themselves from Trump conspiracy and avoid the fate of their colleagues who have gone all in.
7. When the truth of Trump's collusion with Russia, his sex crimes against children and his intent to overthrow the US Constitution become clear, an election where your supporters are accused of supporting a pedophile traitor will become a challenge. Only smart move for the above
8. @SenateGOP is to simply stay home on the day the senate votes on conviction and permanent ban. That would give the 2016 cycle a giggle test way to avoid the ire and threat of physical violence from Trump's Orc army while also seeming to be loyal Americans. By not voting
9. they'll insure Trump is not going to ever be candidate for public office and give @GOP a fighting chance to avoid becoming a fringe white supremacist party of deranged conspiracy driven violent extremists who are soon to be listed as part of a domestic terrorist organization.

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More from @TimInHonolulu

2 Feb
1. If @SenateGOP fail to convict Donald Trump they will make it all but certain Trump spends his days in federal or state prison. Democrats need to focus on each of the 2022 cycle GOP. Paint them as seditious monsters if they excuse an overthrow. @TheDemocrats should target ads
3. @lisamurkowski should switch from GOP to Independent and caucus with the Democrats. Otherwise, the 2022 Tsunami may reach her too.

And the following 2022 cycle members were the ones who went to Moscow for July 4th. The @ODNIgov should declassify intercepts to expose
Read 4 tweets
1 Feb
1. @RepJerryNadler @SenatorDurbin @StateDept Why not simply list the Nazi party as a FTO engaged in "international terrorism"? IMO it passes 18 USC 2331(1) statutory test:
2. Once listed the US affiliated members would be immediately subject to the full toolkit available under #FISA that defines "foreign power" to include "a group engaged in international terrorism" or activities in preparation therefor" 50 USC § 1801(a)(4).
3. A member of a Nazi party affiliate would then be an "agent of a foreign power" pursuant to 50 USC § 1801(b)(1)(C). That would open these international terrorists to the full panoply of FISA tools to be able to uncover their identities and make sure they
Read 4 tweets
31 Jan
1. I think it was 1982 when I sold the @NFL on staying in Honolulu for the #ProBowl. I had lunch with the three hall of fame inductees who made up the committee tasked with the decision. I pitched that they can take their families anywhere on the mainland but Waikiki was special.
2. Plus unspoken was the fact that for the most part, Hawaii is free from the kind of endemic racism that was common in 1982. Mixed ethnicity couples were common in Hawaii. Not so much on the Mainland back then. For single players it was a wonderland.
3. Plus winter golf. Perfect summer weather in February and golf courses galore. And the way they did it with the winners getting something like $30k and the losers $15k was just enough incentive to have decent game after the Superbowl. They said the extra $15 helped pay their
Read 4 tweets
31 Jan
1. If baffles me that with so many attorneys on Twitter none spot the issue. Trump's entire team quits ten days before one of the historic trials of all time. That only happens under one circumstance that I know. DC applies version of the ABA Model rules of Professional Conduct.
2. Rule 1.16 Declining or Terminating Representation is the starting point in the analysis.
3. Rule 1.16 comment makes withawal mandatory as follows:

[2] A lawyer ordinarily must decline or withdraw from representation if the client demands that the lawyer engage in conduct that is illegal or violates the Rules of Professional Conduct or other law. . .
Read 9 tweets
31 Jan
1. My best analysis on situation in Syria. Terrorist forces backed by Turkey, Iran, Assad Regime, DPRK and Daesh have joined forces to test @JoeBiden's resolve and move to complete the betrayal of our Syrian allies begun under Erdogan's business associate Donald Trump.
2. Hasaka is the key to AANES and with Qamishli has remained the brutal terrorist affiliated Assad regime's hold in AANES. Russia continues to move forces into the area because it believes the Biden administration is too busy with the domestic mess left by Putin's puppet.
3. North Korea continues to move into Syria to supply materials for the production of chemical weapons and ballistic missiles and with Iran and Russia prop up the Assad regime. Geneva has promised fair and free elections that Assad cannot win. He can only survive with
Read 7 tweets
30 Jan
1. Oath Keepers conspiracy indictment filed in DC on 1/27 alleges proof going back to November 3, 2020, that establishes a conspiracy to simply interfere with the vote in Congress. The crime gets up to 20 years in prison.
2. This is the allegation. IMO every member of @HouseGOP and @SenateGOP who voted to support after the attack can be charged. But how many who knew of the plan and didn't report it?
3. At a minimum they have committed misprision of felony and perhaps a misprision of treason.

Think GOP members used a computer or a cell phone that once had proof of agreement on it? Who thinks there's a cloud back up file somewhere
Read 5 tweets

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