The latest UNSC Committee report on AQ and IS and its associated groups and members has some latest information about both groups in Afghanistan and their relations with Afghan and Pakistani Taliban. 1/9
The report estimates TTP, ISKP, and AQ strengthen in Afghanistan, respectively, maximum 6000, 2200, and 500 respectively. The report claims that ISKP Central Asian members defected and joined IMU in Northern Afghanistan. 2/9
The report claims that AQ maintains close links both with TTP and Afghan Taliban and is spread across at least 11 Afghan provinces: Badakhshan, Ghazni, Helmand, Khost, Kunar, Kunduz, Logar, Nangarhar, Nuristan, Paktiya, and Zabul. 3/9
It claims that the Afghan Taliban released the wife of the late Asim Umar, a former AQIS leader, who was among the more than 5,000 Taliban prisoners freed by the Government of Afghanistan in 2020. 4/9
The report claims that AQ supported in TTP reunification process which resulted in the mergers of five different anti-state Pakistani jihadist groups into TTP in Afghanistan last year. 5/9
The report comes with some new revelations about ISKP and its new leader Dr. Shahab al-Muhajir appointed ISKP emir last June. It says that al-Muhajir and his deputy Salahuddin are based in Kabul. 6/9
According to the report, ISKP chief al-Muhajir is also known as Sanaullah, serves as chief of the Al-Sadiq office of ISIL, which covers the “Khorasan” region, including Afghanistan, Bangladesh, India, Maldives, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, and the Central Asian States. 7/9
The report claims that al-Muhajir had previously been a mid-level Haqqani Network commander & that he had maintained close cooperation with the entity, providing “key expertise and access to networks”, which ISIL-K required following its loss of territory & senior leadership. 8/9
Acc to the report, Afghanistan remains the worst affected country by terrorism in 2020. Terrorist activities & radical ideology continue 2 b a potential source of threats to the region & globally & with the peace process success, it may have a correspondingly positive impact. 9/9

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More from @abdsayedd

22 Feb
ISKP has released a propaganda video announcing its "return in Khurasan" with a new strategy of attacks. The 27 min video bashes the Taliban on its peace negotiations with the US, criticizes Pakistan, and shows footage of its attacks in Nangarhar, Kabul, and Peshawar. 1/n
The video starts with an extract from the slain TB military chief Mullah Dadullah's interview with AQ As-Sahab media conducted in 2006 strictly rejecting any Taliban option for peace negotiations with the US, saying if anyone does so, he will be targeted similar to the US. 2/n
The videos claim that the Taliban have compromised their fundamentals, and they have left their path. To show these claims valid, the video includes statements extracts of Zalmai Khalilzad and Taliban political leadership, Suhail Shaheen and Abbas Stanikzai. 3/n
Read 6 tweets
8 Feb
Without naming AQ, TTP issued a statement rejecting the latest UNSC committee on AQ/ISIL report and claims that neither a "global [jihadist] organization" nor any state helped mergers of various anti-state Pakistani jihadist groups into TTP last year. 1/n
The UNCS report published on 3rd Feb claimed that AQ moderated the TTP mergers process. The TTP statement could be surprising for many observers, but there seem two strategic aims for TTP behind releasing this statement. 2/n
First, TTP remains a natural ally of the Afghan Taliban, both having historical roots. TTP is sheltered in the controlled areas in Afghanistan. Thus, TTP will want the AT soon to reach power, for which the AQ's presence in Afghanistan remains a major obstacle. 3/n
Read 7 tweets
19 Jan
TTP issued a statement confirming its two senior commanders' assassination, blaming it on the Pakistani security agencies. Both originally belonged to JuA or TTP Mohmand. The statement condemns the news reports which claimed these assassinations as intra-TTP fighting. 1/6
Several TTP senior commanders are assassinated in Kunar-Nangarhar in the last two years, but it is the first time TTP issued such a statement on these mysterious killings. The statement has three important points. 2/6
First, TTP claims their assassination location in the Methay area of Mohmand agency, which is few kilometers away from the Baharabad-Shonkray locality of the Sarkani district of Kunar province, where local sources confirmed that this attack took place. 3/6
Read 6 tweets
16 Jan
A Pakistani News channel, @aajnews_urdu reports that 3⃣ senior members of TTP-JuA targeted in an IED attack in the Baharabad locality of the Sarkani district of Kunar. 2⃣ of them, Noor Gul, aka Muslimyar, & Rasheed Mama, are killed, and the third, Waheed Gul, is injured. 1/5
The area shares a close border with the Mohmand tribal district of Pakistan. It remains a stronghold of JuA, formerly known as TTP Mohmand, since 2010, where they moved due to the Pak army military operations. JuA is led by Abdul Wali Mohmand, aka Umar Khalid Khurasani. 2/5
A former commander of Harkatul Mujahideen, Khurasani became a founding leader of TTP, known as the topmost anti-Pakistan TTP commander, splintered from TTP in Aug 2014 over policy differences starting from negotiations with Pakistan, but merged back into TTP in Aug 2020. 3/5
Read 5 tweets
22 Dec 20
ISKP spokesman, Sultan Aziz Azzam, releases a new statement criticizing the Afghan Taliban, declaring the US-TB peace process as TB surrender to the US, directed by Pakistan. The statement seems authored yesterday as mentioned to the 20th Dec missile attacks in Kabul. 1/3
As usual, Azzam taunts the Afghan Taliban declaring them the new militia of the US against ISKP. He criticizes the Taliban leadership visits to Moscow, China, and their accommodations in Doha, accusing them compromised their religion. 2/3
Azzam refers to the controversial reports of US air support for the Taliban, although the Taliban strictly rejects but the WP has recently published a detailed story on it by quoting unanimous US air force personnel claimed to have remained involved in this process. 3/3
Read 4 tweets
21 Dec 20
For the first time since 2015, TTP claims an attack in Mamozay, Orakzay agency, the hometown of ISKP founding leadership, Shaikh Maqbool & Hafiz Saeed Khan. Orakzay was the basecamp of Hakimullah & the stronghold of TTP till TTP-Orakzay defected and founded ISKP in late 2014. 1/5
TTP claims to have killed two and abducted one of the laborers constructing a police post in the area. Reports say that both laborers were workers of ANP and belonged to the Mardan district of KpK. Both were beheaded. 2/5
TTP has avoided beheadings in the last few years after following🇦🇫Taliban and AQIS in releasing guidelines for its members. ISKP has used this brutal act as a trademark of its terror. Does it mean that ISKP hardliners have recently joined TTP ranks in the area? 3/5
Read 5 tweets

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