RBI announced allowing the retail investors to buy-sell government securities directly. In this thread lets explore the What, Why & How of ‘Retail Direct’
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(Q1) Wasn’t the retail already allowed to invest in G-Secs?
Retail could take exposure to G-secs through Mutual Funds and also use brokers & invest in G-secs (since 2018) exactly the way they buy-sell equities (2/n)
(Q2) How of what is announced is different?
(a) Using the current model of the brokers, only buying-selling in the secondary market is allowed. Retail Direct will allow retail to participate in Secondary as well as the Primary market of G-sec (3/n)
(b) This also allows retail to buy-sell directly with RBI without any broker in the middle (no commission), like the direct option of mutual funds (4/n)
(Q3) How & what problem does it solve?
a) Retail Investor–Investor who r risk averse, will get alternative 2 bank FD’s & make better returns, greater safety & more liquidity. Bank FDs are only covered by insurance upto 5L & redemption before maturity invites penalty (5/n)
They can choose T-Bills > Savings account, 5 years SDL > 5 years bank FD etc. Will talk more about this later
(b) Government – Government needs to borrow 12L cr., and that’s how the government will benefit, let me explain (6/n)
India’s fiscal deficit currently is 9.5%. Fiscal deficit is governments Income – Expense. Assume the government having an income of 100 through taxes and expenses of 109.5 (salaries); the -9.5 difference is called the fiscal deficit (7/n)
Where will the government get the 9.5 from? So the government borrows money. ⬆️ in fiscal deficit ⬆️ the governments borrowing. Thanks to Corona & the budget in which more spending 2 boost the economy was announced, the government has a higher fiscal deficit & now needs to borrow
So far only institutional players are allowed to subscribe to the primary issuances of the Gsec borrowing like the Banks, MF’s, Insurance companies etc., now with retail also allowed to participate, it can be easier for the government to borrow. (9/n)
(Q4) How does the government borrow? What’s the G-Sec Market?
(a) Treasury Bills – T-bill’s are short-term borrowings of the government. Borrowing here happens for 91, 182 or 364 days. Look at it as a working capital loan (10/n)
(b) G-Sec – Long-term borrowing by the central government, generally 10 years
(c) SDL – State Development Loans are long-term borrowings by the state government (11/n)
Assume it 2b like ur FD. When government borrows for 91 days, it gives u an FD called T-bill’s & similarly when it borrows for 10 years, it gives u G-sec & when a state borrows, it gives u an SDL. The only difference is these instruments r traded in the market unlike FD’s(12/n)
These papers have no credit/default risk. They are government securities and hence we don’t expect them to default. But they have a huge interest rate risk which I have already written about, read it here -
Details are awaited around the KYC requirement, account opening & various other things (14/n)
Suggestion – Use this market only if u want 2 buy & hold the paper till maturity as a retail investor bcoz it will have interest rate risk, which may nt b easy 4 the retail to sail through. Also taxation of an MF is better as these securities have taxation similar to FD (15/n)
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A primer on 'Investing in Debt Mutual Funds' for retail investors
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Have also started a telegram channel to discuss investments; you can join using this link – t.me/kirtanshahcfp (1/n)
(Q1) What r the challenges of investing in deposits (Banks/Corporates)?
a. Concentration & Default Risk – Most investors invest their entire corpus in 2-3 deposits. If either of the deposits default, a large chunk of the corpus is lost (2/n)
b. Tax inefficiency – Taxed at ur slab rates. If a deposit pays 6% right now, post tax is 6% - 30% = 4.2%. This does not beat inflation
c. Illiquidity Risk – If u invest in a deposits for 3 years, to exit before that, you will be charged a penalty of 1% interest (3/n)
Immediate take away for the taxpayers & investors from the #Budget2021
Direct Tax
(1) No change in the income tax slabs for individuals & company (2) No tax returns to be filled by individual above 75 years of age if the source of income is only pension & interest (1/n)
(3) No tax audit upto 10cr turnover (earlier 5cr) 4 businesses with 95% transactions done digitally (4) Tax holiday for start-ups extended by 1 year, till March 2022 (5) In case of tax disputes – time limit of reopening the cases reduced to 3 years from earlier 6 years (2/n)
(6) Advance tax liability on dividend income only after declaration or payment of dividend (7) Additional tax deduction of 1.5L shall be available for loans taken upto march 2022 for affordable housing (3/n)
With the listing of Indigo paints, JSW entering the paint sector & now Grasim announcing to invest 5,000 cr in the sector, lets explore,
-Products
-Industry
-Company
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Lets start with PRODUCTS
India paint industry is broadly divided into two, (1) Decorative Paints (used mainly in residential & office infrastructure)–75% of the total paints market (2) Industrial Paints (used in Auto & other industrial uses)-25% of the total paints market (2/n)
Decorative Paints is further classified as
a. Primer & Putty–They r applied 2 the wall 2 fill the cracks in the wall & make it smooth b4 painting. It also gives a lasting effect to the paint
b. Thinner–Its mixed with the paint 2 reduce the viscosity,applying becomes easy (3/n)
A basic premier on the banking sector, demystifying commonly used terms,
CASA
Wholesale Banking
Net Interest Income (NII)
Cost of Liability
Advances Growth
Gross v/s Net NPA
Provisions
SLR/CRR
Capital Adequacy Ratio
Net Interest Margin (NIM)
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Banking, as a business is simple to understand, you borrow money (liability for the bank as the bank needs to pay back) and lend (asset for the bank as the bank is expected to receive it bank), the difference between the borrowings & lending is banks income (2/n)
Where all can they borrow from?
(a) Savings Account (SA)
(b) Current Account (CA)
(c) Fixed Deposit (FD)
(d) Recurring Deposit (RD)
(e) Certificate of Deposits (CD)
(f) Bonds etc. (3/n)
Market PE at 40 and yet the market is not falling, why? Getting asked this question multiple times. Here's a thread covering ‘very basic’ premier on valuation for my retail investor friends.
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For us to be able to comprehend the situation, we need to understand 4 very basic valuation matrixes (1) Trailing EPS (2) Forward EPS (3) Trailing PE (4) Forward PE
Formula
EPS = Profit After Tax / Number of outstanding Shares
PE = Market Price / EPS (2/n)
So what's a trailing EPS?
So in March 2020, RIL generated a Profit after tax (PAT) of 39,354 cr. The number of outstanding shares of RIL is some 676.21 cr. which means the 39,354 cr of PAT belongs to the 676.21 cr. shareholders, right? (3/n)
In such a low interest rate scenario, what if I tell you, there is a product, which pays 8.5%, tax free, default risk free & also gives you deduction under 80C, would you invest?
Follow this thread on EPF v/s VPF
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In the western world, 1s u retire, ur medical, pension etc. is borne by the government. This is 1 lagging bit in India 4 various reasons where we don’t have social security schemes. To counter this, government runs schemes like NPS, EPF etc. (2/n)
We have written about NPS before & hence will not talk about it here; u can read our thread on the same. In this thread, we will focus on educating u on Employee Provident Fund & Voluntary Provident Fund & y u can allocate some investments here (3/n)