Thread by @YossiGestetner

Columbia estimates that 125 million people in America had Coronavirus.

With 450,000 deaths, Corona’s death rate in the US is 0.36% and that’s after the easy way with which deaths are attributed to Corona.

With this in mind, pls read my thread from last year mid-March.

https://twitter.com/yossigestetner/status/1238997289450045441

In March 2020, estimates were that COVID-19 spreads VERY fast and that 1% to 3.4% infected people will die.

This would mean 1.25 mill to 4.25 mill deaths in the US at this point.

The flawed math drove lockdown policies.

My 3/15/20 thread (👆🏼) argued that the math is way off.

CDC estimates that at the end of 2020, 83 million people in the US already had Coronavirus.

At that point, there were 356,000 deaths attributed to Coronavirus in the US.

This is a 0.42% death rate.

With this in mind, pls read my Pinned Tweet thread from mid-March 2020.

The assumption was that COVID-19 spreads VERY fast and that 1% - 3.4% infected people die.

The death rare in the US is 0.36% to 0.42%

This is despite deaths attributed to COVID-19 much easier than done to the flu and despite neglect at hospitals/nursing homes causing deaths.

Coronavirus was going to have a death rate of 10 to 34 times worse than the flu and therefore we needed to lockdown.

The death rate is 3-4 times worse at this point despite how easily deaths are attributed to COVID-19 and despite hospital/nursing home policies causing deaths.