Thread by @ulleryatintell

I was bored. So, a relative few number of voters aren't in the same party they were when they voted in November. I mean, we're talking on average 2.29 Democrats have gone Republican and 2.6 Republicans have gone Democrat in municipalities across PA. 1/

We're comparing the total number of GOP to Dem vs Dem to GOP voters. For context, Manheim Township, Lancaster had 77 R_to_D voters and 17 D_to_R voters, for the highest Dem gains of 60 voters. 2/

Interestingly, Democrats going Republican was generally higher in some of the biggest Democratic strongholds. About 144 more Democrats went Republican than the other way around in Philadelphia as of Feb. 1. Bensalem, Bucks County, was second highest with 29 more D to R voters 3/

There's a lot of towns where there haven't been any changes at all. Roughly, 37% of towns haven't seen any change at all. None of these changes right now are going to swing an election, at least not at these broad strokes. 4/

Looking at the party changes (as a %) in counties Biden won, the towns saw relatively meager changes to these relatively small changes. These little details probably don't matter much regarding a presidential election. 5/

In about a week, however, we are going to start seeing nomination petitions going out for the 2021 Municipal Election in PA. We'll see how these little changes add up going into March. 6/
votespa.com/About-Election…

After all, Democratic voters outnumber Republicans at the state level, but Republican voters outnumber Democrats in most municipalities. We'll get into what towns are likely to see the biggest potential changes another time. It's late. 7/

Also, if you're interested in working with voter export data (or any big data projects) and have any thoughts or questions, feel free to message me. I have no formal training in Python, so keep that in mind.

As always, data is analyzed using @PythonPr @matplotlib @geopandas in a @ProjectJupyter notebook. @threadreaderapp Unroll please.