73 new #covid19sverige deaths reported today, taking the total to 12188. Oldest change was +1 to jan 9 largest +10 to Jan 26. Still 40 deaths with no date yet registered, and thus not on the graph below.
Cumulative deaths starting to break away from the trend line now, showing that daily mortality is decreasing.
Excel complained my daily average graph was too complex and I haven't worked out how to fix it yet, so I'll give you last week's instead! Looking at the raw data no major changes, average creeping up as you get closer to today, as expected, but daily mortality likely decreasing
Some indications the decrease in hospitalisations and ICU is starting to slow, as expected from the case data.
In some very good news, we're not seeing any increases in cases either in Stockholm or overall Nationally. This a crucial week to watch. Obviously decreases would be better however!
While there are issues with regional outbreaks, I continue to be optimistic about the overall trajectory of the pandemic here in Sweden and am less concerned about B117 then I was several weeks ago, and as many still are. I'll post later today a thread with my reasoning.

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More from @DavidSteadson

9 Feb
Right, back to things that matter rather than petty attacks on citizen activists who disagree with the accepted narrative.

There's a pandemic occurring and B117 and other variants on the rampage in Sweden. Why am I optimistic?

First, let's look at this graph.
The outbreak began in Sweden in the beginning of March, and about 3 weeks later the deaths started to mount up, increasing rapidly until mid-April when they began a long, slow decline.

The decline was slower than anywhere else in Europe, but nevertheless a decline.
The question is - why? The obvious answer is that at the end of March, the Swedish government issued various recommendations on physical distancing, working from home etc.
Read 31 tweets
9 Feb
A little context of interest.

Without mentioning any names, about a week ago a member of "the 22" contacted me and said they were under attack by a Swedish journalist, the same one behind today's SR Ekot article.
The journalist was claiming they'd made a false statement about something Tegnell said back in May and they was asking for my assistance in providing proper sources for what was said. I was happy to oblige. Tegnell *had* said it, I had the sources, the journalist was wrong.
I've since learned that the same journalist criticised "the 22" last year, claiming they had falsified some numbers in a report. The Swedish Press and Broadcasting Authority called them out for it.

poddmap.com/podcasts/veten…
Read 6 tweets
9 Feb
So I thought I'd dig further in to the treacherous MEWAS group that's attempting to "influence Swedish interests abroad" and find out what that's about.

There's basically been two main things -
1. Campaigns to EU parliament. So this "influence" is EU Citizens lobbying EU parliamentarians.

Here's some examples -
My question to @sverigeradio @UlrikaBjorksten and @srvetenskap -

Do you consider it inappropriate for EU Citizens to lobby EU Parliamentarians about policies they think are incorrect?
Read 8 tweets
8 Feb
Some graphs to ponder next time you hear the various excuses for the failure of the Covid strategy in Sweden

Here is a simple bar chart, Covid-19 deaths as reported up to Feb 5 2021, Norway vs Sweden.

(As always, the Swedish data is not yet up to date.)
Here is the same graph, but for Sweden I only included deaths of people under the age of 70. For Norway, all ages are included. Per capita, Sweden has had about as many people die *under* the age of 70 than Norway has had die *total*.
And here is Norway compared just to Norrland - the Northern part of Sweden, population about 1.2 million people, compared with Norway's 5.5 million people.

Per capita, Norrland has had about 10 times the deaths Norway has had, total.
Read 4 tweets
25 Jan
Sweden's Covid catastrophe in context - Did we squander a Nordic advantage?

Anders Tegnell has recently become fond of claiming that Sweden isn't unusual in our high death toll - that it's our Nordic neighbours that are outliers.
In this he is partly correct. Sweden is in fact significantly higher than the European average in deaths - but our Nordic neighbours are significantly lower - indeed *much* lower.
Various reasons have been put forth to excuse Sweden's performance compared to it's neighbours - population
density, immigration, holiday timing etc etc. They all fall apart under scrutiny, the simple answer is Sweden's strategy allows for significant spread of infection.
Read 7 tweets
23 Jan
A delayed update with yesterday's new #covid19sverige data. The Public Health Authority reported 84 new deaths, taking the total to 11005.

Oldest change was -1 to March 11!! Image
I've been pointing out since it happened on Nov 5 that Folkhälsomyndigheten added a new death to the very first day we had a SARS-CoV-2 death but Swedish journalists didn't seem curious and FHM didn't answer me. Now it seems they've noticed and it was a data error ... +1 to Nov 3
Yesterday also had a change to July 7, subtracting one death. Other than these changes, the oldest change was +1 to Nov 26 and only a handful of other changes in December, so we appear to have finally caught up on the holiday reporting lag. Image
Read 12 tweets

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