amidst COVID projection porn by Ontario "Science Table", actual data on new cases in Ontario LTC homes has had spectacular decline since early Jan, when govt figured out that LTC residents were getting shortchanged in allocation by public health (relative to hospital admin etc)
2/ yesterday, there were only 11 new cases among LTC residents (14 - Feb 17), down from 160-200 daily at beginning of January. In Dec, nearly all vaccines appear to have been appropriated by young HCWs - meritorious but not nearly as vulnerable as LTC residents.
3/ because hospitalization rates are extremely high for cases among seniors, esp 80+ seniors, such a dramatic reduction in LTC cases should have immediate and observable impact on hospitalization rates. Which have gone down dramatically as well.
4/ on Jan 12, Ontario govt advisor Science Table showed supposedly accelerating case increase in LTC homes as a key justification for increasing economic squeeze on small private businesses, but new cases had already declined from max & were about to decline sharply with vaccines

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More from @ClimateAudit

6 Feb
on Dec 21, faced with projections of 15-30,000 new cases daily by Jan 24 and threats of impossible burden on ICUs, Ontario went into moderate lockdown. Whether due to this policy or otherwise, new cases remained under 3000 at Jan 12, declining to 2200 by Jan 24.
2/ nonetheless, on Jan 12, Science Table, Ontario science advisors took time out from worrying about microaggressions at University of Toronto to declare that policy failing. They presented new projections, this time projecting up to 45000 new cases by mid-Feb.
3/ As on Dec 21, they showed extrapolations at daily growth rates of 3%, 5% and 7%, even though there had been negligible increase in daily new cases since Dec 21. On right, I added Dec 21 projections plus 2 days of actuals not shown by Science Table.
Read 8 tweets
6 Feb
Chris Rentsch - not a climate scientist - has done an astounding calculation that, for some reason, Gavin Schmidt and climate "community" have failed to do. He's used absorption spectra over past 18 years to measure CO2 forcing.
2/ CO2 absorption spectra have long been used as evidence of existence of CO2 greenhouse effect, but measuring change in CO2 absorption spectra over time and on a global basis is a very non-trivial calculation. Rentsch has done it.
3/ even if there were no immediate implications for the overall debate, this would be an important and praiseworthy accomplishment. If the calculation showed that things were "worse than we thought", Rentsch would almost certainly been feted by scientific societies.
Read 5 tweets
6 Feb
it's now 14 days since Ontario received any COVID vaccines from feckless Trudeau government. Nearly all vaccines in this period have been 2nd doses. So NO NEW vaccinations are taking place.
yesterday, CCODWG reported that Ontario got 26325 vaccines on Feb 4 - the only delivery in past 16 days. These will presumably be used for 2nd doses. New vaccinations are at standstill for more than 2 weeks. github.com/ccodwg/Covid19…
one of the contributing factors to Canadian vaccine drought is that Canadian bureaucrats, none of whom have lost a day's pay, haven't approved the AstraZeneca vaccine which is being widely used in UK (and where we made large advance purchase.)

ctvnews.ca/politics/once-…
Read 4 tweets
3 Feb
in all my life, I've never seen a Globe and Mail front page like this. Vaccine deliveries to Canada have collapsed. Provinces have set up distribution but have NOTHING to distribute. Total fiasco.
2/ federal government's information page on vaccination to date and future deliveries hasn't been updated in two weeks. canada.ca/en/public-heal…
3/ Canada dependent on vaccines from EU, which were cut to zero for us (but no one else). EU instituted export controls, so Trudeau's ostentatious rollout plans are now in dust.
Read 17 tweets
2 Feb
@JMichaelWaller you are right to recall Grant administration, but you and everyone else are missing an elephant in the room. The ONLY out-of-office impeachment in US history was of Secretary of War in Grant administration who enforced Reconstruction (Belknap).
@JMichaelWaller 2/ Democrats took control of House in 1874 and sought to discredit Grant administration. Belknap resigned over allegations of corruption. Many other corruption cases in US history. Why was Belknap impeached out of office? More relentless pursuit than any other official.
@JMichaelWaller 3/ apply usual test: cui bono? Democrats were then dominated by Jim Crow advocates. Impeachment of Belknap undermined the party of Lincoln in 1876 elections, which were closest in US history and not decided until crooked agreement in March 1877.
Read 5 tweets
27 Jan
Both Lindsey Graham and Bill Barr professed particular concern over why Crossfire Hurricane wasn't reeled in as a result of Primary Subsource testimony in Jan 2017 and promised to investigate.
2/ on Apr 27, 2020, Graham made a well-constructed request to DOJ for the key FBI memos and texts that would document FBI's reception of PSS/Danchenko testimony which ought to have raised concern about fraud in Steele dossier
judiciary.senate.gov/press/rep/rele…
3/ only ONE relevant document has been produced: the EC on the Jan 2017 interview with PSS/Danchenko, which is arguably the single most important document on Russiagate hoax thus far made available.
Read 11 tweets

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