Today in the #AtlanticBubble

Not single digits.

There were 47 new cases in the region today: 1 each in PEI and Nova Scotia, 15 in New Brunswick, and 30 in Newfoundland and Labrador.

There was 1 new death, bringing the regional total to 90.

There are 253 known, active cases.
PEI reported 1 new case; however it is a resident of the island that is currently in another province. They will isolate upon return.

There are now 4 known, active cases in PEI.
NL reported 30 new cases today, all in the Eastern health region; this is the 2nd highest one-day case number since the start of the pandemic.

Contact tracing is ongoing. The ages of the cases announced today cluster <20. Allegedly linked to a high school volley ball tournament.
Although the source of the outbreak on the whole still isn't known (the tournament couldn't be the origin of the entire outbreak unless they traveled, just a potential super-spreader event.

It's still early day's for this outbreak, so details TBD.
Schools in the St. John area will be closed for at least 2 days to allow for contact tracing and testing.

Restaurants are open at 50% capacity, but bars, lounges, and gyms are closed for at least 2 weeks.
If you're in the St. John's area, consider dialing back on your contacts and any indoor grouped gatherings. Wear a mask when around others.

If you haven't already, download the COVID ALERT app.

If you have symptoms, stay away from others and get tested.
In general, if testing is available to you, consider getting tested.

I'm going to start monitoring the NL outbreak like I have been the recent NB one(s).

When I have time, I'll update my code so the health region-level numbers are accurate to today (instead of yesterday)
But NL is being very proactive and I bet they're going to get this under control pretty quickly.
There are now 57 known, active cases in NL.
NB reported 15 new cases today: 2 in Moncton, 3 in Saint John, and 10 in Edmundston.

The province also reported 1 new death in the Edmundston region, the province's 21st.

There are now 183 known, active cases in NB.
NS reported 1 new case today; a travel-related case in Halifax. They are isolating as required.

NS has announced that travelers from NL will now have to isolate as travelers from other provinces are required to.

There are now 9 known, active cases in NS.
Here is the updated pandemic timeline for the Atlantic region. This is from end of day yesterday, the Eastern NL is probably a shade or two darker now.
This animation compares vaccine roll-out for every province and territory.

Top/solid line is doses distributed, bottom/dashed is doses administered, and the shaded area is doses in storage.
Here are the vaccine roll-out metrics.

1st is usage rates for doses distributed in the last 3 weeks.

2nd is how many days since the national average was at the same level as each province (i.e., how may days behind each province is).
And here's the estimated days of vaccine in storage based on recent vaccinations per day.

I'm still split on how useful this is, between the smoothing and the fact provinces can slow down vaccinations when running low.
That's it for tonight.

Everyone in NL please stay safe in the coming weeks.

Have a great night!

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More from @WilsonKM2

10 Feb
Today in the #AtlanticBubble

Don't panic.

There were 68 new cases in the region today: 1 in Nova Scotia, 14 in New Brunswick, and 53 in Newfoundland and Labrador.

There are now 298 known, active cases in the Atlantic region. ImageImageImageImage
PEI didn't update their numbers today, leaving them with 4 known,, active cases. ImageImageImage
NL reported 53 new cases today, all in the province's Eastern region (i.e., the area including St. John's). This is the highest single-day case count for the province so far.

~18% of the cases that have ever been reported in NL have been in the last 3 days.

And they'll be OK. ImageImageImageImage
Read 6 tweets
8 Feb
Today in the #AtlanticBubble

There were 14 new cases in the region today: 1 in Nova Scotia, 2 in New Brunswick, and 11 in Newfoundland and Labrador.

There are now 220, known, active cases in the region; 79 fewer than a week ago. ImageImageImageImage
PEI didn't update today, so there are still 3 known, active cases in the province. ImageImageImage
NFLD reported 11 new cases today, the largest one-day total since April.

The first case of unknown origin in the St. John's area was announced ~2 weeks ago, and over that time the cluster has grown to ~6 people.

The cases are linked to one another, but the origin is unknown. ImageImageImageImage
Read 17 tweets
7 Feb
Today in the #AtlanticBubble

Single digits.

There were 9 new cases in the region today: 1 each in Nova Scotia and Newfoundland and Labrador, and 7 in New Brunswick.

No new deaths were reported.

There are now 230 known, active cases in the region. ImageImageImageImage
PEI didn't update today, leaving them with 3 known, active cases. ImageImageImage
NFLD reported 1 new case in the Eastern health region; it is still under investigation.

A testing clinic is being set up in the area due to the un-traced cases over the past week.

There are now 16 known, active cases in NFLD. ImageImageImageImage
Read 10 tweets
31 Jan
Quick thread on 2nd doses and vaccine roll-out (and why my vaccine graph from yesterday accidentally went to the future).

You've probably seen headlines like the one below saying that Nova Scotia will soon be out of vaccine.

But then heard we have ~14k in storage. What gives?
I'll use two provinces: Nova Scotia (holds 100% of 2nd doses in reserve) and Ontario (does not).

Top/solid line are doses distributed to the province, bottom/dashed line are doses administered, and the shaded area are doses in storage.

NS has more in storage, proportionately
Both of the currently authorized vaccines in Canada require a 2nd dose (Pfizer at 21 days, Moderna at 28).

Provinces have taken different approaches to dealing with 2nd doses.
Read 16 tweets
31 Jan
Weekly COVID-19 update for Canadian provinces and US states (usually on Saturdays but I was resting yesterday).

Here are the full pandemic timelines of cases and deaths per capita for US states (blue) and Canadian provinces (red).
For the more geographically inclined, you can see the cumulative deaths per capita and current weekly cases per capita for each state and province.
This animation cycles through the various regions of the US (and Canadian provinces) for cases per capita over time.
Read 7 tweets
30 Jan
Today in the #AtlanticBubble

There were 15 new cases in the region today: 3 in Nova Scotia and 12 in New Brunswick.

One new death has been reported, bringing the regional total to 87.

There are now 285 known, active cases in the region.
By the numbers, this as been the deadliest week in the region since mid-May (6 deaths).
PEI reported no new cases today (the only correct number of cases to report).

There are now 6 known, active cases in PEI.
Read 11 tweets

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