Thread by @WilsonKM2

Today in the #AtlanticBubble

Don't panic.

There were 68 new cases in the region today: 1 in Nova Scotia, 14 in New Brunswick, and 53 in Newfoundland and Labrador.

There are now 298 known, active cases in the Atlantic region.

PEI didn't update their numbers today, leaving them with 4 known,, active cases.

NL reported 53 new cases today, all in the province's Eastern region (i.e., the area including St. John's). This is the highest single-day case count for the province so far.

~18% of the cases that have ever been reported in NL have been in the last 3 days.

And they'll be OK.

I've updated my code so the health region level stats will be accurate to the day of reporting (instead of a day late)

Eastern health region is highlighted.

If you're in the affected area, you know what you have to do.

Cut down on close contacts for the next few weeks.

Don't travel in to/out of the region if you can help it.

Wear a mask when you're indoors around others (yes, even when you and your co-workers are on break).

If you were planning a get together, postpone it.

The early days of a well-contained outbreak are the worst. Initially, case numbers are high as testing and tracing efforts catch up to the main cluster(s).

And then, with any luck, the numbers start to fall.

If you need an example, just look at NL in the first wave, NS in the 2nd wave, and NB in the post-holiday outbreaks.

The province is being very pro-active in its response. Everyone knows what they have to do. There's just the unpleasant business of doing it.

NL has got this.

There are now 110 known, active cases in NL.

NB reported 14 new cases today: 1 each in Fredericton and Saint John, and 12 in Edmundston.

There are now 175 known, active cases in NB.

Things are continuing to improve in NB, although Edmundston is still occasionally throwing off some moderately high case numbers.

An outbreak has been declared at a sawmill in that region along the Maine border, with tracing underway.

NS reported 1 new case today, a close contact of an existing case in the Halifax area.

There are now 9 known, active cases in NS.

Here is the full pandemic timeline for the Atlantic region, now including data from today (usually it's only accurate to yesterday's numbers).

You can compare the vaccine roll-outs for all of the provinces and territories here. The top/solid line is doses distributed, the bottom/dashed line is doses administered, and the shaded area between doses in storage. All population-scaled.

Here are the vaccine roll-out metrics.

1st us usage rate for doses distributed in the last 3 weeks.

2nd is how many days ago the national vaccination rate was where each of the provinces is now (i.e., how many days behind the rest of the country they are).

And here's my odd-duck graph, showing how many days of doses each province has based on their recent usage rate.

There are a lot of caveats around smoothing and provinces slowing down when they start to run out, but I still think it will be useful in the longer-run.

That's it for tonight.

If you have symptoms, get tested!

Have a great (and safe) rest of the night!