1/ It appears that we are likely reaching a saturation point in new membership for QAnon Telegram channels. Taking a look at some of the more popular channels created from the Twitter/Parler exodus it appears that membership is reaching a plateau.
2/ What we are not seeing is a drop in membership. Now that is not surprising as most users will create a Telegram account and stop using it without leaving the groups if they loose interest (I think the basic security setting is the account self destructs in 6 months).
3/ Membership alone is not a great way to calculate community health. Views, average post reach and engagement rate by reach do provide some better insight. Views provide insight into how a community is reacting to the content that is being shared.
4/ When looking at the peaks and valleys in views we can correlate these to events of significance to the community (e.g. the inauguration). Moreover, though membership is slowing, average post reach and engagement rate by reach are on average increasing.
5/ This would indicate that a fair amount of the community on telegram are viewing/consuming the content shared in these channels, even though the amount of content being shared in decreasing.
6/ International QAnon communities have had a home on Telegram for almost two years. What we can see when looking at a sample of these is the impact of deplatforming on the growth of international channels with the exodus of QAnon from Twitter and Parler.
7/ We can see that January 6 and the inauguration had a positive impact on community growth for international QAnon. This also translate to an increase in views, average post reach and engagement rate by reach.
8/ Though it has slowed down, the QAnon community on Telegram is stabilizing and appears to be healthy. If that will remain the case only time will tell but this is where we stand a month post insurrection.
9/ Using smat-app to look at some popular QAnon terms on telegram we can see a stability forming following the deplatforming of QAnon.
10/ It is not only on telegram where we have seen this growth, there is also an increase on Gab. The black grab is from today and the white grab is from Jan 9. Groups have doubled and tripled in size since the insurrection on Gab.
11/ The largest of these groups has passed the largest QAnon group that existed on Facebook.. This same group had around 25k members in July when Facebook took action against QAnon. The QAnon community on Gab was dying prior to QAnon being deplatformed.
12/ QAnon has also found it ways to other alternative sites but these communities are much smaller, though still important as they represent a distinct "flavour" of QAnon, which is something to keep an eye on. For the moment it appears that Gab & Telegram are the main QAnon hubs.

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More from @_MAArgentino

11 Feb
1/ Why is QAnon Talking about March 4th? I posted a Thread about this on January 12 but I would like to build upon that with new material and controversy in the QAnon world as this is not accepted by everyone.
2/ The crux of the argument is that the US Constitution originally went into effect on March 4, 1789 and until 1933 presidents were inaugurated on March 4. I am going to break down QAnon's constitutional witchcraft, but they think that Trump will be inaugurated on March 4
3/ So here are some historical facts about March 4 (before I melt your brains with QAnon's version) constitutioncenter.org/blog/march-4-a…
Read 33 tweets
3 Feb
1/ This post was shared by a QAnon channel on Telegram. The post itself is nothing special, it's a typical QAnon decode where apparently SCOTUS will be filling on the election results tomorrow and the yellow tie is a clue. What is interesting is the discussion in the comments.
2/ There was some "Hopeium" about how Trump is buying time or the court process needs to fail before the military steps in etc. However, there is is a lot more anger & frustration around the lack of results from Q, on how SCOTUS has failed patriot's after four years of no results
3/ The conversation around how SCOTUS has failed Q and patriot's is the interesting part, it hilights how QAnon disinfo & propaganda has eroded trust in democratic institutions as some in the movement do not believe that Q was wrong or Q was a lie. Rather SCOTUS failed them
Read 8 tweets
29 Jan
This Reddit post from a "Robinhood insider" claims that the White House is responsible for shutting down $GME. This has all the things QAnon loves 1) anonymous insider, 2) blames Biden, and 3) secret plots to controll the population.
Because the logic here is the deep state/Biden is trying to prevent this, well it's something that QAnon adherents as opponents of the deep state/Biden should partake in. We now have conspiracy stonks (let's buy X because the deep state doesn't want us to).
Linked to the conversations around $GME on telegram, for the past 24 hours users in QAnon chats have been promoting Doge Coin and giving instructions on how to purchase for those who have never done so. The ammount of bad financial advice I am seeing hurts to read.
Read 14 tweets
27 Jan
1/ Following the 20th QAnon telegram channels saw a drop in views, though in general the more popular channels are steadily gaining new followers and their post view counts are going up (keep in mind there is probably an influx of researchers, journalists and voyeurs in this)
2/ There has also been a fair amount of post forwarding that has been taking place in these channels as their content is spread. The comments per posts have also appeared to increase and the volume of messages per days in chats associated to the channels are steady or increasing
3/ Part of the growth is probably the increased attention on the movement as it has moved to Telegram. But also there is still a alevel of enthusiasm and "research"/"decoding" going on in the comments and chats of the QAnon community.
Read 16 tweets
25 Jan
The hipocrisy of QAnon never ceases to amaze me. An influencer posted a meme with the verse of Isaiah 6:11 "Then I said, “For how long, Lord?” And he answered: “Until the cities lie ruined & without inhabitant, until the houses are left deserted & the fields ruined & ravaged"
The user who posted this stated in the post below the image with the passage, "look what Israel endured" and compares the current suffering of Anons under the deep state to that of Israel under Babylon. Considering, the anti-Semitic nature of QAnon this is absolutely ludicrous.
The verse in question refers that suffering will ensure for the cities will remain perverse and obstinate until the land is completely destroyed by divine judgments. Still the truth is to be proclaimed, though it is known it will have no effect in reforming the nation.
Read 5 tweets
23 Jan
1/ How are conspiracy theories dangerous? There are three main categories to consider: A) conspiracy theories can lead to radicalization and violence, B) conspiracy theories can disrupt democratic processes, C) conspiracy theories are a threat to public health
2/ The connection between conspiracy theories and violence is not new, @annamerlan, Michael Barkun, JW van Prooijen, Chip Berlet have covered this in books and academic publications. In the 90's NWO conspiracy theories generated fear and violent actions from some groups
3/ Bartlett and Miller in a Demos piece argued that "conspiracy theories are indeed a radicalizing multiplier: they hold extremist groups together and push them in a more extreme and sometimes violent direction."
Read 14 tweets

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