Sobering—the more infectious #B117 variant will likely become the world's dominant strain, director of 🇬🇧 genetic surveillance @CovidGenomicsUK warned—“it's going to sweep the world, in all probability", Professor Sharon Peacock told BBC. 🧵 #COVID19 mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/u…
2) "Once we get on top of it [Covid-19] or it mutates itself out of being virulent - causing disease - then we can stop worrying about it”
“But I think, looking in the future, we're going to be doing this for years. We're still going to be doing this 10 years down the line."
3) latest from Denmark 🇩🇰 CDC, which sequences all #SARSCoV2 samples from all cases now, the % of #COVID19 now #B117 from 🇬🇧 is up to 27% of cases. Denmark CDC is right to be worried. Fast pace of replacement growth. nyheder.tv2.dk/samfund/2020-1…
4) Germany 🇩🇪 taking urgent precautions too and locking down longer.
5) Some people don’t want to hear the reality that we will soon have a new globally dominant #B117 variant (can we officially say strain yet?!). It’s frustrating to try to warn, but cold water reality is what we need.
6) “Experts tell us that it will be only a matter of time until these mutations will become dominant,” Merkel said in a speech to parliament in Berlin. “We know that the danger of mutations can again wreck our successes.”
We need to call Moderna vaccine by the true proper name of “NIH-Moderna vaccine”. It was mainly developed at Fauci’s NIAID. Moderna honed its mRNA tech via DARPA grants & also didn’t disclose federal support in patents, violating Bayh-Dole Act. HT @mattbc.
2) @mattbc is right in calling out this nonsense by Moderna to hide it got tremendous federal support for the vaccine in its patent. This is a violation of the 1980 Bayh-Dole Act. And @moderna_tx possibly violated it by not disclosing in 154 patent apps. washingtonpost.com/business/2020/…
3) Moderna vaccine works folks. @KizzyPhD from the NIH is famously one of the co inventors of the vaccine. But this doesn’t change that Moderna needs to publicly acknowledge in its patents that its vaccine was taxpayer funded and NIH co developed, akin to Oxford-AstraZeneca.
What is missing from this CDC school reopening priority list? Airborne virus guidance! Like almost nothing in 33 page document on ventilation except 1 paragraph on open the windows, but only if feasible. Ventilation should be #2 behind masks! #COVID19 cdc.gov/coronavirus/20…
2) Notably absent from new CDC guidance was ventilation. In one short paragraph, CDC suggested schools open windows & doors to increase circulation, but said they should not be “if doing so poses a safety risk or a health risk.” #COVID19nytimes.com/2021/02/12/hea…
3) “C.D.C. gives lip service to ventilation in its report, and you have to search to find it,” said @j_g_allen, an expert on building safety at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health in Boston. “It’s not as prominent as it should be.”
Worrisome—UK 🇬🇧 data shows suddenly higher #COVID19 positivity % in England 🏴 (where #B117 highly dominant) in children ages 5-9, in both boys and girls, sustained each week over 4 consecutive weeks. Ages 0-4 positivity also increasing. Israel 🇮🇱 has also seen kids case trend.
2) As noted by @dgurdasani1, this is all despite these data really underestimating infection in children (as they are based on symptom based testing). And positivity rates appear highest in early year settings (fully open) & primary schools (20% attendance).
3) Dr @dgurdasani1 believe it is related to schools in England 🏴.
“We are now getting reports of people getting reinfected with a new variant—from 🇿🇦 (#B1351)—suggesting people who’ve had prior infection could get infected again.” says Chief Scientist Dr. Soumya Swaminathan. #COVID19
2) This comes on the heels of troubling data I highlighted last week from the placebo group of the Novavax 🇿🇦 trial that that people previously infected and have #COVID19 antibodies (seropositive) has no protection for #B1351 variant reinfection— not even for severe disease!
3) Last month, South Africa’s CDC also warned about likelihood of reinfection risk because of the lower virus neutralization seen by the E484K mutation in the #B1351 variant.
Vaccinations have gone from 900k per day to now over 1.5 million.
I think Biden’s team under @aslavitt46 & @JeffZients@WHCOVIDResponse can push it to 2 million by the end of Feb / early March, and hopefully 3 million a day by mid April.
Moderna says it has 631.5 mil doses of #COVID19 vaccines on order, of which a whopping 613 million are committed to rich countries like 🇺🇸 🇪🇺 🇯🇵 🇨🇦 🇰🇷🇨🇭🇬🇧 🇮🇱—almost none to developing countries. For COVAX, Moderna vaccine not listed among providers. Sad. investors.modernatx.com/news-releases/…
2) Moderna says it has more countries not disclosed. Why? Poor countries likely wouldn’t hide it. The complete absence of Moderna from discounted COVAX vaccine providers shows where its values for humanity are. @moderna_tx — show you care. Donate to COVAX. gavi.org/sites/default/…
3) While most of COVAX vaccines to developing countries are Oxford AstraZeneca vaccines, Pfizer is also among them, even though it has ultra cold chain requirements. Moderna doesn’t need ultra cold storage. So @moderna_tx has no excuse. gavi.org/sites/default/…