One interesting angle on $EVO is the dividend-growth story that is quickly emerging.

Mgmt. has a policy that ~50% of consolidated net profit be returned as an annual dividend. Image
$EVO is now yielding .67%, which doesn't sound to appealing as a dividend play.

However, most dividend paying companies aren't near-monopolies growing 53% YoY with significant operating leverage and a variable dividend policy tied directly to net profit growth
Net profit grew 90% in 2020 (the dividend grew "only" 62% because of dilution mainly from the NetEnt acquisition)

There likely isn't another NetEnt-sized acquisition this year, and as $EVO grows, the dilutive effects of small M&A will decrease substantially
By the end of FY 2022, the dividend should be set at ~1.5 EUR/share or $1.82 USD, which using today's price = a 1.5% yield. By the end of FY 2024, the yield will almost certainly be > 2%.

All of the above is based on consensus numbers which $EVO has a history of beating.
The stability provided by the dividend policy is a huge benefit in these calculations.

Dilution could hurt the yield in the short-term, but in ~5 years $EVO could have the rare combination of being a very high-growth, high-yield holding for current shareholders.

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More from @Patrick_Invests

11 Feb
$INMD very quietly posted a very strong quarter today

Revenues up 60% to $75.2M (6.3% beat)
GAAP EPS up 85% to $0.85 (27% beat)
86% GAAP gross margin (87% in Q4 2019)
47% GAAP operating margin (38% in Q4 2019)

International revenues up 102% (now 29% of total)
US revenues up 48%
Guides for $250-260M in revenues in 2021 (23.7% growth at midpoint) [$251.2M consensus]

Guides for Non-GAAP EPS of $2.34-$2.45 (13.5% growth at midpoint) [$2.19 consensus]
This quote was in response to the 2nd time an analyst had questioned the guidance (for good reason)

$INMD's $75M quarter = $300M run-rate

So why guide to only $255M in revenues?

1) There is some seasonality and Q4 is their biggest quarter

2) The guidance is VERY conservative
Read 13 tweets
11 Feb
Highlights from the $EVO / $EVVTY Earnings Report:

Revenue up 68% to 177.7M EUR (9% beat)

EPS up 63% to 0.41 EUR (in-line)

Net Margins up to 45.4% from 44.2%

Dividend raised 62% from 0.42 EUR/share to 0.68 EUR/share
EBITDA up 72% to 96.4M EUR

EBITDA (adjusted for non-recurring items) up 107% to 115.6M EUR

EBITDA Margin 54.2% (65.2% adjusted for non-recurring items) up from 52.7%

CAPEX down to ~7% of revenue from ~8%

Cash conversion ratio up to ~78% from ~75%
Gave guidance that Q4 2020 margins should be sustained through FY 2021

North America revenues up 91%

Asia revenues up 137%

Saw notable QoQ growth in their European markets for the first time in 2020 (aided by NetEnt)
Read 9 tweets
24 Jan
$EVO / $EVVTY has partnered with at least:

97% of the NJ providers
100% of PA
98% of IN
94% of CO
100% of IL
92% of the nationwide providers
Credit to @AltaFoxCapital for the excerpt below, but when you combine $EVO / $EVVTY's stranglehold (via partnerships) on the US iGaming market with % take-rate based contracts, $EVO is by far the best positioned to capture the US iGaming growth with little incremental spend Image
Read 4 tweets
23 Jan
Reached out to $TRIT IR and they said the 1/18 investor presentation is the same slide deck used at the Northland SPAC Conference

I compared this deck to an old one from Aug. 2020 and the notable differences are below
1) The focus on the new presentation is on Kratos' value proposition and Triterras growth strategy while their older presentation focused on explaining what trade finance was and the niche Triterras sought to fill within the industry
1 cont.) The new deck describes a much more polished company vs. the old deck reading as a proof of concept.

2) The new deck breaks the business down into 3 ecosystems (transaction, financial, and delivery) which each house certain Kratos modules
Read 12 tweets
22 Dec 20
$TRIT call went about as well as possible

Here are the highlights:

2.749B Q3 trade + trade finance volume

878M Q3 trade finance volume (1.7B YTD)

40.7M YTD revenue (17M in Q3)
24.2M YTD net income (10M in Q3)

Run-rate revenue per trader 1.03M Q3 vs. 750k Q2 (37% increase)
Q3 traders 66 vs. 61 in Q2 (8.2% increase QoQ)

The 66 traders could have been a much larger number but was limited by internal bandwidth. Significant senior exec. hiring initiative is ongoing, touching Europe, North America, and Dubai (already hired).
Recruiting a Chief Revenue Officer

171.6M in cash on hand as of 11/30. Open to accretive M&A to assist organic growth

Koneru will be buying shares when the trading window opens
Read 8 tweets
21 Dec 20
Slightly skewed to the bulls side but Rhodium's bad trade not being handled on Kratos is very important news because it validates $TRIT's product-market fit.
I don't think Rhodium not routing all its trades through Kratos is a reason there couldn't be fraud here, as any knowledgable bad actor would think to disguise the scheme using other platforms
The counterpoint about Koneru leaving Rhodium is strong, but the concerning trend is that's twice now where Koneru (and Maurer with Exxova + not buying Rhodium) has left a company and it has imploded. That's the true concern.
Read 4 tweets

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