The Census Bureau is now saying the data for redistricting will not be released until September. The delay now seriously threatens the drawing of new districts before the 2022 elections and is sure to spawn lawsuits as states seek to extend legal deadlines nytimes.com/2021/02/11/us/…
The pandemic and the Trump administration's rush to short-circuit the count must have done a real number on the census
The release of these census data for redistricting continues to be a moving target. Just a week or so ago, census was saying these data would be released on July 30. If I were in charge of redistricting, I would not be certain of even this new September release date
Even if redistricting data are released in Sept., some states adjust their population data for felons, military, and student populations. Some states need voting rights analyses. Both will take time to do. These delays pile up against primary election candidate filing deadlines
No chance Virginia will have new state legislative districts for the 2021 state elections. New Jersey already delayed state legislative redistricting to 2023. We may see states push back 2022 redistricting, primary candidate filing deadlines, and maybe 2022 primary elections
Redistricting data delays mean there is less time for courts to adjudicate partisan gerrymandering prohibitions in state constitutions, voting rights violations protected against in state and federal laws and constitutions, and find solutions to process failures

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More from @ElectProject

9 Feb
Not a surprise, but early voting in Virginia shot up in the 2020 general election elections.virginia.gov/media/formswar…
Virginia new voter registrations were down slightly in 2020 from 2016. An increase in new online registrations almost made up for a decrease in new paper registrations
Virginia extended its deadline for the receipt of mail ballots (postmarked by Election Day). 10,901 mail ballots were received in the extended period. 2,063 mail ballots were received after the deadline and were rejected
Read 4 tweets
24 Jan
There really is a simple answer to this problem: don’t invite liars on to your programs. Republicans are now in the minority. There is no news value of having them on to spout and mainstream conspiracy theories
Join us again next week for another episode of outrage theater
I think the media is broken. And that is it. There is no both sides about the election outcome. Inviting guests on to shows to spout conspiracy theories has downstream effects that are destroying peoples' lives, all for a few more clicks and eyeballs
Read 4 tweets
16 Jan
North Carolina party registration changes over past week

Rep -> something else
3,007

Dem -> something else
667

Most of these changes are to Unaffiliated

Rep -> Unaffiliated
2,650

Dem -> Unaffiliated
484
These statewide changes appear to confirm anecdotes of persons changing their party registration newsweek.com/swing-states-r…
Hard to gauge the significance of these party registration changes. On one hand, they're a small proportion of the 8.2 million NC registered voters. On the other, changing party registration is not a common thing, so they may represent stronger undercurrents
Read 14 tweets
14 Jan
More anecdotal reports that following last week, registered Republicans are changing their registration to something else sun-sentinel.com/news/politics/…
Reports of registered Republicans abandoning their party newsweek.com/swing-states-r…
If these reports turn out to be true and substantial, the downstream effect of disgusted persons abandoning the Republican Party will be elected Republicans will feel more primary election pressure from extreme elements of their voters. This won't necessarily help moderation
Read 7 tweets
13 Jan
If Trump was rational he’d resign and let Pence pardon him before what now appears to be an impeachment conviction in the Senate

“If” is doing a lot of work here
Perhaps Trump would rather House members pass his loyalty test first. He is actively ripping apart his own party and he and they are fine with it
On the next episode of Gorilla TV...
Read 4 tweets
7 Jan
Breaking news: the Trump campaign has voluntarily withdrawn a challenge in Georgia state court to the presidential election (Trump v Raffensperger). I was scheduled to testify tomorrow for intervenors in support of the state defendants
I have been involved in several successful election lawsuits against the GA Secretary of State's office. It felt odd to be testifying in defense of them, and for them to welcome my assistance. Trump has a way of bringing people together :)
Not sure if @marceelias gets to count this one. I don't think the judge had yet ruled if they would be allowed to intervene
Read 5 tweets

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