#covid19sverige update, Swedish media anti-oroa special edition.
58 new deaths reported today (138 on tuesday and 44 yesterday) taking the death toll to 12428.
Changes this week as far back as Nov 22 (moved to next day), but the majority of additions are in the past 2wks.
Growth in cumulative deaths continues to slow, reflecting a decrease in daily mortality
7 day rolling average mortality I've removed all updates from 2020 to simplify as Excel was complaining about it! Deaths averaging 90 or above from Dec 20 through now to Jan 15, down from a Christmas high of 99.
Slight uptick in cases nationally apparent, both on the ECDC cases/100000/14 days metric and rolling 7 day average. Not yet large enough to be apparent on (these) graphs.
A similar situation apparent in Stockholm
B117 variant continues to takeover, as expected. Now showing as more than 20% of cases in Region Västra Götaland
Now 341 656 vaccinations registered, with more than 100000 having received second doses. As these are primarily among at risk groups, I expect mortality will continue to decline despite the current increase in cases.
Graphs for immigrants only now incoming -
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Prof Jonas @Ludvigsson yesterday posted a response to questions about why he signed the Great Barrington Declaration. I hope he doesn't mind but I've translated it in to English for those interested, followed by some comments.
First, I disagree with Prof Ludvigsson about "lockdowns", however you define them, not being useful unless implemented early. Stricter restrictions have led to significant declines in cases in country after country.
Right, back to things that matter rather than petty attacks on citizen activists who disagree with the accepted narrative.
There's a pandemic occurring and B117 and other variants on the rampage in Sweden. Why am I optimistic?
First, let's look at this graph.
The outbreak began in Sweden in the beginning of March, and about 3 weeks later the deaths started to mount up, increasing rapidly until mid-April when they began a long, slow decline.
The decline was slower than anywhere else in Europe, but nevertheless a decline.
The question is - why? The obvious answer is that at the end of March, the Swedish government issued various recommendations on physical distancing, working from home etc.
Without mentioning any names, about a week ago a member of "the 22" contacted me and said they were under attack by a Swedish journalist, the same one behind today's SR Ekot article.
The journalist was claiming they'd made a false statement about something Tegnell said back in May and they was asking for my assistance in providing proper sources for what was said. I was happy to oblige. Tegnell *had* said it, I had the sources, the journalist was wrong.
I've since learned that the same journalist criticised "the 22" last year, claiming they had falsified some numbers in a report. The Swedish Press and Broadcasting Authority called them out for it.
73 new #covid19sverige deaths reported today, taking the total to 12188. Oldest change was +1 to jan 9 largest +10 to Jan 26. Still 40 deaths with no date yet registered, and thus not on the graph below.
Cumulative deaths starting to break away from the trend line now, showing that daily mortality is decreasing.
Excel complained my daily average graph was too complex and I haven't worked out how to fix it yet, so I'll give you last week's instead! Looking at the raw data no major changes, average creeping up as you get closer to today, as expected, but daily mortality likely decreasing
So I thought I'd dig further in to the treacherous MEWAS group that's attempting to "influence Swedish interests abroad" and find out what that's about.
There's basically been two main things -
1. Campaigns to EU parliament. So this "influence" is EU Citizens lobbying EU parliamentarians.
Some graphs to ponder next time you hear the various excuses for the failure of the Covid strategy in Sweden
Here is a simple bar chart, Covid-19 deaths as reported up to Feb 5 2021, Norway vs Sweden.
(As always, the Swedish data is not yet up to date.)
Here is the same graph, but for Sweden I only included deaths of people under the age of 70. For Norway, all ages are included. Per capita, Sweden has had about as many people die *under* the age of 70 than Norway has had die *total*.
And here is Norway compared just to Norrland - the Northern part of Sweden, population about 1.2 million people, compared with Norway's 5.5 million people.
Per capita, Norrland has had about 10 times the deaths Norway has had, total.