You get a text from a friend saying there's a hot stock or crypto you NEED to buy now! Everyone is making racks!
Before you hit buy, check this out [Thread]
NEVER trade money you can't afford to lose
If you're willing to stake $100 - stick to it. As fun as it it to YOLO, it's considerably less fun to end up living under a bridge.
Impulse decisions to take a stock to the moon take seconds, recovering losses take MUCH longer🚀🚀🚀
By the time you hear about the hottest stock, it's usually too late
The most valuable commodity is information. A pump is most lucrative at inception. The profitability of information erodes as the stock runs.
Most retail investors are late to the party and late to leave.
Leverage is a time bomb
Many traders who blow up their accounts first make money before the apocalypse. On a long enough timeline, trading with heavy leverage will devour your portfolio.
When you overlay massive volatility, you can be wiped out in seconds without managing risk.
Trading conditions are unstable
Retail trading platforms & stock exchanges have risk measures for when the market is going at breakneck speed
Your smartphone trading app WILL fuck you over. You will face trading halts, stock buy limits, ridiculously wide spreads & even outages
Be careful trusting the crowd
Anonymity comes without accountability
Online forums, messages boards and Discord channels are FILLED with "suits" - hedge funds & investment bankers
Also, that dude posting "diamond hands baby!💎💎", he sold his cannabis stock a long time ago...
Ask yourself - does this trade make sense?
Seriously
If you're buying a stock that ran 500% in a couple of days looking to squeeze more juice, why?
If you're buying a massively inflated stock PURELY so someone else can quickly buy it off you - you're playing Russian Roulette.
Don't fuel bad positions by throwing more money in
You're down $5k but you want to "buy the dip" baby!! So you add $10k. In a few hours you're down $15k. If you wanted money to evaporate, just have kids.
"I'm doing this to stick it to the big guys!!"
No. you have too much time, internet access, money to burn and you like chicken tendies.
Does the system needs to change? Unequivocally, yes.
Should you be a martyr by donating money to hedge funds? Probably not
Hedge funds are playing the game on easy difficulty
You lose rent money. Hedge funds lose the funds money
Hedge funds aren't facing stock limits, you're only allowed to buy one stock at a time
PornHub is soaking up your bandwidth, hedge funds are making money off miliseconds
Wait, is the system broken?
The system is fucked. The disconnect between valuations and the real economy is massive. You have high unemployment, slow growth & mass restructuring yet the stock market is at an all time high.
This market is kept afloat by relentless Fed stimulus.
Protect capital fiercely.
"What's the most I can lose here?"
It's really not a sexy question and nobody wants to be sensible when there's hype. Should you risk losing 90% of your capital for a 35% gain?
Meek Mill just tweeted about your stock? It's over for you.
Resist FOMO
If you thought GameStop was a great business and liked it at $350, you will LOVE it at $50.
Think of it like playing in traffic, it's fun when there's no cars. When you're playing in peak rush hour... it's suicide. The more people get involved, the more traffic.
Consider long term alternatives
Is this $1000 better off in one of Cathy Wood's ARK ETFs? The dip in $TSLA looking more attractive? Should you have gone in on the Bumble IPO? Add a bit more to your Bitcoin wallet?
Recent market moves & greed has skewed our perception of normal.
Time in the market beats timing the market
The era of democratizing finance is here. You don't need to be an investment banker or CFA to make bank. Access is long overdue
There's always juicy distractions en route the journey, keep your head down & avoid getting slaughtered!
Shout-out for making it to end! 🚀💎💰
Feel free to join our Telegram community for daily market updates, hot stocks and really great jokes (can't confirm this).
Few things worth keeping an eye on in the next few weeks:
1. Increasing US Treasury yields & 10-2 spreads 2. $TSLA as an indicator for sentiment 3. Retail investor volatility 4. Discounts on IPO issuances 5. M&A premia ++ volumes 6. Crypto adopting by institutions
1. Surging yields
COVID delayed inevitable reflation trade. Inflation expectations are ticking up. Will rising yields trigger an equity market sell-off? Probably not- such a deep disconnect between valuations & fundamentals
BUT it will suffocate the MANY overleveraged companies
2. Bets on $TSLA
Some WILD writing on OTM put options - folks banking premiums that could smoke them if it goes badly. Nobody thinks gravity will kick-in.... until it does. It's also a retail favourite which makes it a great indicator. $800bn is an eye watering valuation.
Want to save a few hundred grand on a property? Here's how to hustle your dream house for cheaper [Thread]
Thread covers:
1. Get a grip on price trend 2. Drive asset price lower 3. Access cheaper financing 4. Reduce the acquisition leverage 5. Use a subsidy 6. Weigh up off plan purchases 7. Use a buy-side agent 8. Scrape historic data 9. Check "true" affordability 10. Leverage time
1. Price Trends
Luxury houses (>R1.5m) briefly lost value over the pandemic. Low value houses (<R250k) show the sharpest decline in inflation. Coastal properties hold up slightly better. Both free holds & sectional titles have slower price growth.
Running a small company or need cash for your side hustle? Here's the ultimate capital raising guide [Thread]
Ways to raise capital:
1. Bootstrapping 2. Bank Debt 3. Working Capital/ Revolving Facilities 4. Angle Investors 5. Venture Capital 6. Private Equity 7. Crowdfunding 8. Government Agencies 9. Get a Business Partner 10. Funding competitions
1. Bootstrapping
The cheapest way of funding. Build the company with savings & family contributions. Privilege is a massive factor in getting off the ground.
Jeff Bezos' parents ploughed $245k into his e-commerce startup. Bill Gates' parents funded his founding company.