Main factor was that Chinese did not have the military advantage that they thought they did. They did not understand the terrain and operational art. Battles are determined by what forces you bring to bear in theatre and how you use them. Chinese could bring to bear
barely 200 odd 4/4.5 gen a/c due to paucity of air fields close to theatre. Heights of their airfileds and lack of logistics on those airfields hampered their optimal use
They brought 2 Divs (4th and 6th) and we countered with atleast 2 (3 and 39). Given the terrain even
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if they brought 10 Divs, which they don't have, they can still only deploy them sequentially because of terrain. And if we dominate the passes like Spangur then we can pick off their armour easily
Most importantly they have no stomach for a fight. They were trying to win
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by propaganda and intimating India. Our fight was more against the mental blocks and cobwebs we had than China. Am glad that those have been cleared to some extent.
But let's have no illusions. Nothing has been resolved and unlikely that anything will be resolved. We have
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given them a face saving way out. Personally I would not have since they were finding the deployment much tougher than us. But the govt and army have taken that call so fine. We need to remember that all treaties are just 🚻 paper for them. We will have to enforce them by force.
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I have not come across anyone who knows so little about military matters as @PravinSawhney. He regularly makes very basic mistakes in his military assessments. Let me show his big errors wrt #Disengagement
1. North Bank - China had a big advantage on North Bank because of
the road from Srijap fort to F4 (chinese claim line). After F4, further access to East ie F3, F2 and so on is via a narrow foot track. Vehicles could not go there. So when we wanted to patrol from F4 to F8 (our claim line) we would have to come from F3 on foot and walk to F8
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Chinese could react very quickly and come in vehicles and block our patrols
Chinese have also built strong defences, habitat along the north bank since last June when #indiachinastandoff started. In fact they even took positions on the heights of the fingers
What is the Indian Army Honour Code ? What is the Chetwode Code ?
I have never tweeted about these but today my conscience does not allow me to stay silent. We are told about the Honour Code by senior officers, including a Gen officer. We are told we must stand shoulder
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to shoulder with brother veterans at ALL COSTS
An airforce veteran pilot with @goairlinesindia can call for dismemberment of India, he can condone death of CAPF staff, he can be openly tweet hate about Hindus but we must support him
Sorry sirs, this is NOT the Honour Code
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Honour code / Chetwode Code is - Country First Always and every time. Its not a mafia like Omerta code of silence in face of anything including dismemberment of the nation
How can we forget what Maj Gen Shabegh Singh did ? He was a decorated with PVSM and AVSM but yet he
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Is its role to provide reserves for an offensive in Ladakh/GB or is it to reinforce our defensive posture. What will 17 Mountain Strike Corps role be ?
2. To answer these questions lets first look at threat and deployment in Ladakh. 3 Div which is responsible for
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Eastern Ladakh has been reinforced by another Div. These formations are supported by adequate armour and mech forces plus a big IAF build up. My assessment is that this is adequate for our defensive posture given the threat of Chinese 4th and 6th Divisions in E Ladakh
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1. Chinese have built roads and can bring troops, A vehicles (fighting vehicles), arty much quicker to a place than we can. Terrain on their side is also easier. Pulling out both sides A vehicles is NOT the same
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2. Can we be certain we will know in time if Chinese come back ? Our UAV holdings and surveillance capabilities are less than China
3. Kailash Range positions give us great advantage in that sector. Chinese therefore want us to vacate but refuse to discuss Depsang
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4. Depsang intrusions are dnageorus. Estimates range from 80-200 sq km. Why will Chinese move back if we gift them what they want in Pangong, Spangur sector
5. Chinese are finding winter hard, rotating troops in 2 weeks whereas even in Siachen our tps stay for 3 months
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If true, it is a serious mistake and let down. Capitulation from a strong position and completely unnecessary. Chinese are still entrneched in their intrusions at Depsnag, Y junction. That seems to have been conveniently forgotten
are on our side of LAC and critcial to defence of Chusul. Why are we bargaining them away ? What do we get in return ?
Nothing. We cannot patrol from F4-F8 now and we won't be allowed to in future. We will be pushed back to Chinese claim lines at F2-F3 Chinese have
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built a road to F4 plus habitat and defences. They can pull back to F8 but come back very quickly to man them and we will not be able to do anything. Will Chinese demolish all their construction between F4 and F8. If not we gain absolutely nothing but give away all leverage
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In this whole episode, the least discussed is our staying out of RCEP, BRI
Lets examine and see where we stand on a strategic, operational and tactical perspective now and what should be our next steps. What have we done well and where we need to improve a lot. Here goes
RCEP and BRI are two major Chinese initiatives to build a Chinese Economic and Military Power hegemony. The first is economic, trade control and the second is physical control of roads, commerce. This is basically East India Company 2.0 for 21st Century
India staying out
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has angered China because it poses a serious threat (if we ever get our act right) to their hegemony plans. GOI has shown great wisdom in not joining 👏
Their 'invasion' is to teach us a lesson and ensure world knows that messing with Company Sarkar has consequences
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