I have not come across anyone who knows so little about military matters as @PravinSawhney. He regularly makes very basic mistakes in his military assessments. Let me show his big errors wrt #Disengagement
1. North Bank - China had a big advantage on North Bank because of
the road from Srijap fort to F4 (chinese claim line). After F4, further access to East ie F3, F2 and so on is via a narrow foot track. Vehicles could not go there. So when we wanted to patrol from F4 to F8 (our claim line) we would have to come from F3 on foot and walk to F8
2/n
Chinese could react very quickly and come in vehicles and block our patrols
Chinese have also built strong defences, habitat along the north bank since last June when #indiachinastandoff started. In fact they even took positions on the heights of the fingers
Now they are
3/n
demolishing all this and ''restoring land forms''. This is a big win for us. Chinese will not move past our claim line at F8 now. So our claim line has been restored to a large extent. Yes, we cannot patrol past F4 but we could anyway not do that easily as explained above
4/n
So North Bank is definite win for us
2. Why did China agree ? Because of our positions on #Kailash Range and ALSO because we took higher positions than Chinese on F4 heights thus dominating them there. Sahwney either does not know this or doesn't understand significance
5/n
3. South Bank , Kailash range - Yes we are moving from South Pangong Hso and Rechinla, Rezangla but so are Chinese. Yes, dominating Spangur is important for defence of Chushul and infact entire Ladakh. But that is only if Chinese forces are in a position to launch offensive
6/n
via Spangur gap. For that they will have to build up. Obviously Indian Army assesses that they are moving far enough back to depth areas that if they start to move back in, we will have ample warning and time to counter build up and retake the heights on Rezangla etc
7/n
Yes China has a mobilisation advantage due to better infra and easier terrain but question is how far have they moved and how far have we moved. Only people who can judge that are commanders on ground. Not you or me. Certainly not @PravinSawhney. Sawhney is not even aware
8/n
of these basics about tactics, terrain, deployments, staging etc. Its obvious from his tweets as he does not carefully examine any of these points
I welcome informed criticism. But unfortunately people like Sawhney have Zero knowledge and no interest in educating themselves
9/n
Main factor was that Chinese did not have the military advantage that they thought they did. They did not understand the terrain and operational art. Battles are determined by what forces you bring to bear in theatre and how you use them. Chinese could bring to bear
barely 200 odd 4/4.5 gen a/c due to paucity of air fields close to theatre. Heights of their airfileds and lack of logistics on those airfields hampered their optimal use
They brought 2 Divs (4th and 6th) and we countered with atleast 2 (3 and 39). Given the terrain even
2/n
if they brought 10 Divs, which they don't have, they can still only deploy them sequentially because of terrain. And if we dominate the passes like Spangur then we can pick off their armour easily
Most importantly they have no stomach for a fight. They were trying to win
3/n
What is the Indian Army Honour Code ? What is the Chetwode Code ?
I have never tweeted about these but today my conscience does not allow me to stay silent. We are told about the Honour Code by senior officers, including a Gen officer. We are told we must stand shoulder
1/n
to shoulder with brother veterans at ALL COSTS
An airforce veteran pilot with @goairlinesindia can call for dismemberment of India, he can condone death of CAPF staff, he can be openly tweet hate about Hindus but we must support him
Sorry sirs, this is NOT the Honour Code
2/n
Honour code / Chetwode Code is - Country First Always and every time. Its not a mafia like Omerta code of silence in face of anything including dismemberment of the nation
How can we forget what Maj Gen Shabegh Singh did ? He was a decorated with PVSM and AVSM but yet he
3/n
Is its role to provide reserves for an offensive in Ladakh/GB or is it to reinforce our defensive posture. What will 17 Mountain Strike Corps role be ?
2. To answer these questions lets first look at threat and deployment in Ladakh. 3 Div which is responsible for
2/n
Eastern Ladakh has been reinforced by another Div. These formations are supported by adequate armour and mech forces plus a big IAF build up. My assessment is that this is adequate for our defensive posture given the threat of Chinese 4th and 6th Divisions in E Ladakh
3/n
1. Chinese have built roads and can bring troops, A vehicles (fighting vehicles), arty much quicker to a place than we can. Terrain on their side is also easier. Pulling out both sides A vehicles is NOT the same
1/n
2. Can we be certain we will know in time if Chinese come back ? Our UAV holdings and surveillance capabilities are less than China
3. Kailash Range positions give us great advantage in that sector. Chinese therefore want us to vacate but refuse to discuss Depsang
2/n
4. Depsang intrusions are dnageorus. Estimates range from 80-200 sq km. Why will Chinese move back if we gift them what they want in Pangong, Spangur sector
5. Chinese are finding winter hard, rotating troops in 2 weeks whereas even in Siachen our tps stay for 3 months
3/n
If true, it is a serious mistake and let down. Capitulation from a strong position and completely unnecessary. Chinese are still entrneched in their intrusions at Depsnag, Y junction. That seems to have been conveniently forgotten
are on our side of LAC and critcial to defence of Chusul. Why are we bargaining them away ? What do we get in return ?
Nothing. We cannot patrol from F4-F8 now and we won't be allowed to in future. We will be pushed back to Chinese claim lines at F2-F3 Chinese have
2/n
built a road to F4 plus habitat and defences. They can pull back to F8 but come back very quickly to man them and we will not be able to do anything. Will Chinese demolish all their construction between F4 and F8. If not we gain absolutely nothing but give away all leverage
3/n
In this whole episode, the least discussed is our staying out of RCEP, BRI
Lets examine and see where we stand on a strategic, operational and tactical perspective now and what should be our next steps. What have we done well and where we need to improve a lot. Here goes
RCEP and BRI are two major Chinese initiatives to build a Chinese Economic and Military Power hegemony. The first is economic, trade control and the second is physical control of roads, commerce. This is basically East India Company 2.0 for 21st Century
India staying out
2/n
has angered China because it poses a serious threat (if we ever get our act right) to their hegemony plans. GOI has shown great wisdom in not joining 👏
Their 'invasion' is to teach us a lesson and ensure world knows that messing with Company Sarkar has consequences
3/n