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Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
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17 Feb, 4 tweets, 3 min read
US will record over 500,000 deaths and we know many more have happened. ImageImageImageImage
Peru’s summer resurgence is now showing case and death rates similar to their previous peaks. Stress on their medical system forced much of the country into a lockdown, which started Jan 31.

cnn.com/2021/01/27/ame… ImageImage
Chile is showing similar behavior to Peru, with more than 90% of current hospitalizations in Chile being due to COVID-19.

Yesterday Chile reported 3,332 cases and 83 new deaths.

plenglish.com/index.php?o=rn… ImageImage
Similarly in Brazil, with cases and deaths both very high.

Clearly, immunity from previous infections is insufficient for keeping cases low, even in some of the hardest-hit countries. ImageImage

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More from @yaneerbaryam

Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
18 Feb
The US reports progress in almost every state. Now 16 states are reporting case levels below ⅕ of their peak.

See more: EndCoronavirus.org/states ImageImageImageImage
Both Guam and the US Virgin Islands remain green, as they report very few cases per day. Well done! Image
New variants are still a significant concern in US, which now has 1,277 confirmed cases of the more transmissible, more severe B.1.1.7 “UK” variant. Nearly ⅓ of which are found in Florida.

4.7% of the US is now fully vaccinated. Image
Read 5 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
16 Feb
The UK has reported significant progress since the beginning of their recent set of restrictions. They are now averaging 13,000 cases (¼ of peak) and 700 deaths (½ of peak) per day.
In an attempt to slow the importation of new variants, Britain will now require travelers coming from 33 select countries to complete a 10-day quarantine in a government-sanctioned hotel.

Scotland is requiring this for all international air passengers.

nytimes.com/live/2021/02/1…
In Australia, Victoria continues to track down new locally-acquired cases of the UK variant B.1.1.7. All cases have known epidemiological links to the hotel outbreak. It has not yet been decided whether they will extend their lockdown past the scheduled end date of Feb 17.
Read 4 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
15 Feb
Scientists in favor of #ZeroCovid in Europe.

Simultaneously published by

@lemondefr (France),

@repubblica (Italy),

@el_pais (Spain),

@sz (Germany),

@volkskrant (Netherlands),

@rzeczpospolita (Poland).
"Aiming for #ZeroCovid is the way to weather the pandemic and minimize damage

"Doctors, economists and political scientists advocate a goal of elimination, by establishing “green zones,” where transmission is low, schools, restaurants, businesses and cultural places can reopen.
repubblica.it/cronaca/2021/0…
Read 4 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
14 Feb
In Canada, Newfoundland and Labrador announces a provincial lockdown to contain their current outbreak of the UK variant B.1.1.7. Yesterday, they reported 50 new cases. Today, 26.

cbc.ca/news/canada/ne…
In Australia, Victoria reports promising news: only one locally acquired covid case was reported yesterday, down from 5 the day before. Their circuit-breaker lockdown is still scheduled to end on Feb 17th.
Globally, daily cases continue to fall. Yesterday 408,487 cases were reported, nearly ½ of peak. One reason: Stronger lockdowns in the face of the new variants are having significant impact.

cnn.com/2021/02/10/hea…
Read 4 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
13 Feb
Yesterday Australia reported 5 locally acquired cases in Victoria, which was preceded by 6 cases from days before. All confirmed to be the more transmissible, more severe UK variant. Today (Tomorrow our time, Feb 13), just one new locally acquired case.

In response to the outbreak, the government of Victoria began a circuit-breaker lockdown which is scheduled to end on Feb 17.

Canada announces new travel restrictions, including more testing and hotel quarantines upon arrival (first part of 14 day mandatory quarantine).

Cases continue to fall. Yesterday 3,177 cases, 82 deaths. Progress in BC has slowed.

globalnews.ca/news/7637180/c…
Read 5 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
12 Feb
Yesterday Israel reported 6,010 new cases and 41 deaths. Despite leading the world in vaccine doses per person, progress toward zero is slow.

90% of people older than 60 are now vaccinated with one dose, 80% have received two doses.

Switzerland reports progress, with cases now less than ⅕ of peak. Enough to move them into our “nearly there” category on EndCoronavirus.org/countries

Congratulations!
Denmark reported 470 cases and 11 deaths yesterday. Despite progress, cases of the more transmissible and more severe UK variant are likely still growing. We are hoping they gain control if it too.

Read 4 tweets

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