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Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
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18 Feb, 5 tweets, 3 min read
The US reports progress in almost every state. Now 16 states are reporting case levels below ⅕ of their peak.

See more: EndCoronavirus.org/states
Both Guam and the US Virgin Islands remain green, as they report very few cases per day. Well done!
New variants are still a significant concern in US, which now has 1,277 confirmed cases of the more transmissible, more severe B.1.1.7 “UK” variant. Nearly ⅓ of which are found in Florida.

4.7% of the US is now fully vaccinated.
Having experienced a small outbreak of B.1.1.7 cases, New Zealand locked down Auckland quickly. After mass testing and contact tracing, they have concluded that the outbreak is contained, and the lockdown will be lifted.

apnews.com/article/new-ze…
A similar story in Victoria, Australia: after a 5-day lockdown, they have concluded that their outbreak is now contained.

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More from @yaneerbaryam

Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
19 Feb
Daily cases in Denmark have remained roughly constant since Feb. 1st.

Unfortunately, nearly half of all cases are now from B.1.1.7, and estimates show that cases of the UK variant are still growing in Denmark with R~1.2.

Image
Portugal reports rapid decreases in both daily cases and deaths. Their recent lockdown began Jan. 15 (gray line).

Yesterday they reported 2,324 cases and 127 deaths. ImageImage
After declaring a state of emergency and putting NPIs in place on Jan 7, Japan reports a significant reduction in daily cases.

Yesterday they reported 1,461 new cases, nearly ⅕ of peak. ImageImage
Read 4 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
17 Feb
US will record over 500,000 deaths and we know many more have happened. ImageImageImageImage
Peru’s summer resurgence is now showing case and death rates similar to their previous peaks. Stress on their medical system forced much of the country into a lockdown, which started Jan 31.

cnn.com/2021/01/27/ame… ImageImage
Chile is showing similar behavior to Peru, with more than 90% of current hospitalizations in Chile being due to COVID-19.

Yesterday Chile reported 3,332 cases and 83 new deaths.

plenglish.com/index.php?o=rn… ImageImage
Read 4 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
16 Feb
The UK has reported significant progress since the beginning of their recent set of restrictions. They are now averaging 13,000 cases (¼ of peak) and 700 deaths (½ of peak) per day.
In an attempt to slow the importation of new variants, Britain will now require travelers coming from 33 select countries to complete a 10-day quarantine in a government-sanctioned hotel.

Scotland is requiring this for all international air passengers.

nytimes.com/live/2021/02/1…
In Australia, Victoria continues to track down new locally-acquired cases of the UK variant B.1.1.7. All cases have known epidemiological links to the hotel outbreak. It has not yet been decided whether they will extend their lockdown past the scheduled end date of Feb 17.
Read 4 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
15 Feb
Scientists in favor of #ZeroCovid in Europe.

Simultaneously published by

@lemondefr (France),

@repubblica (Italy),

@el_pais (Spain),

@sz (Germany),

@volkskrant (Netherlands),

@rzeczpospolita (Poland).
"Aiming for #ZeroCovid is the way to weather the pandemic and minimize damage

"Doctors, economists and political scientists advocate a goal of elimination, by establishing “green zones,” where transmission is low, schools, restaurants, businesses and cultural places can reopen.
repubblica.it/cronaca/2021/0…
Read 4 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
14 Feb
In Canada, Newfoundland and Labrador announces a provincial lockdown to contain their current outbreak of the UK variant B.1.1.7. Yesterday, they reported 50 new cases. Today, 26.

cbc.ca/news/canada/ne…
In Australia, Victoria reports promising news: only one locally acquired covid case was reported yesterday, down from 5 the day before. Their circuit-breaker lockdown is still scheduled to end on Feb 17th.
Globally, daily cases continue to fall. Yesterday 408,487 cases were reported, nearly ½ of peak. One reason: Stronger lockdowns in the face of the new variants are having significant impact.

cnn.com/2021/02/10/hea…
Read 4 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
13 Feb
Yesterday Australia reported 5 locally acquired cases in Victoria, which was preceded by 6 cases from days before. All confirmed to be the more transmissible, more severe UK variant. Today (Tomorrow our time, Feb 13), just one new locally acquired case.

In response to the outbreak, the government of Victoria began a circuit-breaker lockdown which is scheduled to end on Feb 17.

Canada announces new travel restrictions, including more testing and hotel quarantines upon arrival (first part of 14 day mandatory quarantine).

Cases continue to fall. Yesterday 3,177 cases, 82 deaths. Progress in BC has slowed.

globalnews.ca/news/7637180/c…
Read 5 tweets

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