Today I am so happy that investors in #Franklin have received some part of their investments back. I am purposely writing this small thread, not to show that I am technically sound but because I want to answer the trolls who made my life difficult over the last 10 months (1/n)
(1) Franklin funds were wound up on the 23rd of April 2020. It was the 9th of April 2020, that I wrote the below tweet and warned my twitter followers on the rising borrowing levels in FT funds and why it was not normal, rest is history (2/n)
(2) After the wound up, we had multiple media reports floating on how investors will receive their monies back at the average maturity of the funds, which I believed was otherwise. (3/n)
I wrote a detailed thread (attached) on how only 50% will be recovered in 6 months in the ultra short-term fund as an example, which is how it actually happened ☺(4/n)
3) While there were investor associations, couple of large investors & a popular twitter handle misguiding the investor community 2 go 2 the courts, I believed, going to the courts will work against the investors & in the hindsight, 10 months wasted!(5/n)
(4) Also did my bit in guiding investors to vote a 'yes' during the winding down (like many others who started talking about FT by then ☺) which actually led to the release of the funds (6/n)
After writing on Banking & Paints, this thread focuses on the 'Logistic Sector'. Idea is to give a small start to the retail investors looking at investing in this space from where they can build on.
This thread covers,
- Macro
- Business Model
- 3PL & 4PL
- Valuation (1/n)
Logistics business macro
-14% of India’s GDP is spent on Logistic
-Organized market is 42%
-Growing at 10-15%
-Employs 2.2 cr
-Achieved Infrastructure status
-FY 14-18 attracted 1,00,000 cr FDI (2/n)
What’s the business?
Logistic is traditionally seen as a warehousing & transportation business where goods, needs 2b transported 4m point A to B using Road, Rail, Ship or Air & can be stored at multiple warehouses before the consumer receives the product (3/n)
What is currently happening in the Debt markets?
- RBI announcing 14 days variable reverse repo
- Government talking about 12L cr of borrowing
- RBI announcing 20,000 cr of OMO
Lets demystify. ‘re-tweet’ & help us reach more investors
Telegram channel – t.me/kirtanshahcfp
There is a lot of liquidity in the system. You have heard many say it and even I wrote about it
Banks have liquidity but are cautious in lending. If banks don’t lend this liquidity, banks will be at a loss (notionally) as they will still have to pay the investors it borrowed from - FD, Savings Account, Current Account, RD etc. (2/n)
RBI announced allowing the retail investors to buy-sell government securities directly. In this thread lets explore the What, Why & How of ‘Retail Direct’
Do hit the re-tweet & help us educate more investors
(Q1) Wasn’t the retail already allowed to invest in G-Secs?
Retail could take exposure to G-secs through Mutual Funds and also use brokers & invest in G-secs (since 2018) exactly the way they buy-sell equities (2/n)
(Q2) How of what is announced is different?
(a) Using the current model of the brokers, only buying-selling in the secondary market is allowed. Retail Direct will allow retail to participate in Secondary as well as the Primary market of G-sec (3/n)
A primer on 'Investing in Debt Mutual Funds' for retail investors
Do hit the re-tweet and help us educate more investors
Have also started a telegram channel to discuss investments; you can join using this link – t.me/kirtanshahcfp (1/n)
(Q1) What r the challenges of investing in deposits (Banks/Corporates)?
a. Concentration & Default Risk – Most investors invest their entire corpus in 2-3 deposits. If either of the deposits default, a large chunk of the corpus is lost (2/n)
b. Tax inefficiency – Taxed at ur slab rates. If a deposit pays 6% right now, post tax is 6% - 30% = 4.2%. This does not beat inflation
c. Illiquidity Risk – If u invest in a deposits for 3 years, to exit before that, you will be charged a penalty of 1% interest (3/n)
Immediate take away for the taxpayers & investors from the #Budget2021
Direct Tax
(1) No change in the income tax slabs for individuals & company (2) No tax returns to be filled by individual above 75 years of age if the source of income is only pension & interest (1/n)
(3) No tax audit upto 10cr turnover (earlier 5cr) 4 businesses with 95% transactions done digitally (4) Tax holiday for start-ups extended by 1 year, till March 2022 (5) In case of tax disputes – time limit of reopening the cases reduced to 3 years from earlier 6 years (2/n)
(6) Advance tax liability on dividend income only after declaration or payment of dividend (7) Additional tax deduction of 1.5L shall be available for loans taken upto march 2022 for affordable housing (3/n)
With the listing of Indigo paints, JSW entering the paint sector & now Grasim announcing to invest 5,000 cr in the sector, lets explore,
-Products
-Industry
-Company
Do hit the ‘re-tweet’ and help us educate more investors (1/n)
Lets start with PRODUCTS
India paint industry is broadly divided into two, (1) Decorative Paints (used mainly in residential & office infrastructure)–75% of the total paints market (2) Industrial Paints (used in Auto & other industrial uses)-25% of the total paints market (2/n)
Decorative Paints is further classified as
a. Primer & Putty–They r applied 2 the wall 2 fill the cracks in the wall & make it smooth b4 painting. It also gives a lasting effect to the paint
b. Thinner–Its mixed with the paint 2 reduce the viscosity,applying becomes easy (3/n)