🧵I took a look at the recent AIR report on hurricanes and climate change. A few fatal flaws, unfortunately.
https://twitter.com/AIRWorldwide/status/1360204024751009797
Fatal flaw 1
RCP8.5 as BAU
RCP8.5 as BAU
Fatal flaw 2
AIR cites GFDL CMIP5/RCP4.5 to justify projected 35% increase in Cat 4/5 by 2050 doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D…
But GFDL actually says 35% increase in Cat 4/5 hurr days, not frequency w/ only increase in freq is in NE Pacific & globally -18% total hurricanes (table below)
AIR cites GFDL CMIP5/RCP4.5 to justify projected 35% increase in Cat 4/5 by 2050 doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D…
But GFDL actually says 35% increase in Cat 4/5 hurr days, not frequency w/ only increase in freq is in NE Pacific & globally -18% total hurricanes (table below)
To Sum:
1-Climate scenario is implausible
2-Climate science is not based on claimed reference
So it cannot be considered a study with any real-world meaning
/END
1-Climate scenario is implausible
2-Climate science is not based on claimed reference
So it cannot be considered a study with any real-world meaning
/END
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