Great thread by @ZweLwinMyanmar: urging people not to panic over fake news about Chinese soldiers in #Myanmar, to consider evidence carefully & to question how fake news only help the Tatmadaw. In his words: "Keep calm & analyse!"

Some more thoughts: 1/8
#WhatsHappeningInMyanmar
.@ZweLwinMyanmar makes excellent points about photos being used out of context & the lacking credibility of Burmese police shouting in Chinese. Please read his thread.

I could not agree more, even though we all appreciate how frightening the situation is.

2/8
I also doubt the authenticity of this viral video in which one can hear Burmese police shouting 1, 2, 3 in Chinese. The sound bits seems superimposed on the original sound that continues underneath. This is the age of fake news and anyone with a computer can do this easily. 3/8
It didn't help that @mrattkthu shared the video with his 81k followers. Note: he initially shared for the video content & didn't seem to notice the sound bits. Also he clarified that the Chinese language doesn't seem credible. But this is how fake news spread on social media 4/8
Also worrying that the horrendous tweet by a foreign observer alleging a Chinese invasion was shared 2.9k times by now: welcome to the world of fake news. Great job in stoking misinformation, panic & ultimately aiding the Tatmadaw! (mentioned elsewhere, won't quote anymore) 5/8
Last thoughts: When people comment that some Tatmadaw soldiers don't speak Burmese or don’t look Burmese: Please remembers that Myanmar is a land of great ethnic diversity and 100+ languages. Not everyone looks and speaks like Bamar people. 6/8
I met many people in Myanmar who cannot speak Burmese well, amongst them low-ranking Tatmadaw soldiers forcibly recruited from poor ethnic minority backgrounds at young age, stationed at opposite sides of the country. It's how divide & rule has worked since the British Empire 7/8
Finally, China will certainly remain to have a supportive relationship with whoever is in power in Myanmar & it surely does not restrict its exports seafood. But if we argue that China is “behind the coup” we let Min Aung Hlaing and his generals off the hook way to easily. 8/8

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More from @DavBrenner

16 Feb
We need to seriously stop fabricating baseless rumours that Chinese soldiers are in #Myanmar. They are not and they will not be. Outside observers claiming anything else is senseless, irresponsible and dangerous.

#WhatsHappeningInMyanmar #myanmarcoup
Some thoughts - thread 1/10 Image
I understand that people in Myanmar are afraid and that media restriction and secrecy on side of the Tatmadaw is aiding this kind of fake news. There's a reason why "rumour" has such a prominent place in Myanmar politics after decades of dictatorship. I can't blame them. 2/10
However, these fears are not only baseless but dangerous: The Tatmadaw has enough soldiers to brutally suppress protests. No need for a few Chinese foot soldiers. More importantly the Tatmadaw is the most anti-Chinese institution in the country and would never agree to that 3/10
Read 10 tweets
3 Feb
This is actually big news and devastating for the KNU. It is also very illustrative of the state of the peace process under ASSK as well as what might come for EAOs and peace in #Myanmar more generally. #MyanmarCoup

Apologies, short thread again 1/5

karennews.org/2021/02/burma-…
Mahn Nyein Maung (MNM) has also been called Burma's Papillon for his "miraculous" escape from the high security prison on Coco Island aka “Burma's Devil's Island” He was then imprisoned again in Insein and released with the KNU ceasefire in 2012 after which he returned to KNU 2/5
I interviewed MNM in 2013 when he insisted that then semi-military administration of U Thein Sein (former Tatmadaw General) was a peace-loving government that the KNU should trust. Needless to say not everyone in the KNU agreed, especially with rampaging ceasefire capitalism 3/5
Read 5 tweets
3 Feb
As there is increasing talk about the need to rethink Western donor engagement with #Myanmar, get up to speed with the following open-access article by @schulmanic & me, in which we urged exactly this two years ago:

Some takeaways - 1/6

#MyanmarCoup

bulletin.ids.ac.uk/index.php/idsb…
The article historicises Myanmar's transition of 2011, which demonstrates that Western donors' understanding of the country's transition primarily through the lens of "democratisation" was not only analytically wrong but also politically problematic. 2/6
Operating on this assumption of democratisation, Western donors shifted funds from grassroots networks to militarised state bureaucracies that co-opted peacebuilding and development projects for the purposes of ethnocratic and authoritarian state-building & counterinsurgency. 3/6
Read 6 tweets
1 Feb
Some good reflections here on why it's not nitpicking to highlight that the coup happened largely within the confines of 2008 constitution. Re the question what the NLD has done to challenge the military’s practical hegemony over #Myanmar politics from within those constraints:
One of the biggest practical challenges the NLD mustered to Tatmadaw's power from within these constraints was removing the General Administration Department (Myanmar's bureaucratic backbone) from military-controlled Ministry of Home Affairs, placing it under civilian controlled.
But that was two years ago, and obviously cannot be the sole explanation for today's escalation. Yet, it comes to show that the NLD has found some clever loopholes (including UEC) over the years, which all together apparently seem increasingly threatening to Tatmadaw interests.
Read 5 tweets

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