Share this page!

Phil Kerpen Profile picture
Twitter logo
19 Feb, 14 tweets, 7 min read
TWINDEMIC UPDATE THREAD MMWR WEEK 6

(Remember who said we'd skip flu season and who didn't!)
United States Influenza testing, MMWR week 6.

CDC flu view. cdc.gov/flu/weekly/ind…

Five-year average: 12,066 cases; 25.38% positive
Last year: 18,193; 31.96%
This year: 17; 0.04%

docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
United States Influenza testing, season to date (20 weeks, MMWR 40 to 6)

Five-year average: 109,042 cases; 15.57% positive
Last year: 183,066; 20.91%
This year: 1,585; 0.17%
Season-to-date flu hospitalizations down 98.6% from last year.

Flu hospitalizations total (20 weeks) in FluSurv-NET catchment is 173. Through week 5 last year (19 weeks) it was 12,167.

Rate last year: 41.9 per 100K
This year: 0.6 per 100K
Influenza-Like Illness (ILI) continues to track well lower than the mild 2015-16 and 2011-12 seasons, and is now declining when it was rising in those years.
Still just one U.S. pediatric flu death this season.
Influenza-Like Illness (ILI) Map

Week 6: 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018
Latest U.S. non-SARS-CoV2 syndromic data from BioFire. Lots of rhinoviruses. Some adenoviruses, and a sliver of HCoVs. Nothing else.
syndromictrends.com/metric/panel/r…
Florida. Schools open all year. No lockdowns since September. Same story: rhinoviruses and some adenoviruses but nearly no flu or RSV.
floridahealth.gov/diseases-and-c…
Sweden week 6. No masks, no lockdowns, no school closures -- and also no Flu A, Flu B, or RSV. HCoVs finally coming back?

karolinska.se/globalassets/g…
The global flu chart from WHO.
apps.who.int/flumart/Defaul…
Reminder: with flu and RSV down 98%+ globally and replaced by COVID, this is literally the mildest respiratory illness season for children in recorded history.
I don't think it's masks, which have been shown ineffective for stopping influenza in many, many studies.
This short article by @m_soond is the best explanation I've seen:
medium.com/illumination-c…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Phil Kerpen

Phil Kerpen Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @kerpen

Phil Kerpen Profile picture
15 Feb
DC reports 1 death with COVID. Now 64 in February.

Positives / Tests %
1-Day: 83 / 3,084 2.69%
7-Day: 865 / 34,243 2.53%
14-Day: 1993 / 66,698 2.99%
28-Day: 4968 / 158,816 3.13%

Testing by week:
7-day total positives 865 - lowest since November 11.
Total COVID-19 Patients in DC Hospitals: 196
Total COVID-19 Patients in ICU: 46
Total Patients in DC Hospitals (COVID and non-COVID): 1,898
Read 7 tweets
Phil Kerpen Profile picture
14 Feb
Updated Burbio tracker!

% US K-12 students attending "virtual-only" schools = 33.6% (from 35.2% last week)
% US K-12 students attending "traditional" in-person/every day schools = 40.8%
% US K-12 students attending "hybrid" schools = 25.6%
Map of where schools are open vs. map of where Biden/CDC plan (everywhere red) recommends closed middle/high, force elementary hybrid and make all sports "virtual only." ImageImage
Burbio estimates that 93% of students currently attending full-time in-person schools are in Biden's red tier.
Read 5 tweets
Phil Kerpen Profile picture
12 Feb
Biden's school closure plan recommends canceling school sports in about 2900 of 3000 U.S. counties. It's completely unhinged.
If you're red or pink on this map, Biden's school closure plan wants all sports to be "virtual only."
Only 2599 counties apparently. Mea culpa. Red is where Biden wants sports to be "virtual only."
Read 4 tweets
Phil Kerpen Profile picture
12 Feb
Science shows us schools are low-risk settings everywhere in the world, with or without mitigation and regardless of community transmission. But you're not doing science, are you?
There is zero science behind 6 feet. An arbitrary doubling of WWO's 1 meter, and overwhelmingly counterindicated in the school context, where its principal effect is sitting kids home.

Your own Wisconsin study has zero distancing within classes.

Why waste vaccines on low-risk teachers when you're endorsing closures regardless?
Read 12 tweets
Phil Kerpen Profile picture
12 Feb
TWINDEMIC UPDATE THREAD (Remember who said we'd skip flu season and who didn't!)
United States Influenza testing, MMWR week 5.

CDC flu view. cdc.gov/flu/weekly/ind…

Five-year average: 10,501 cases; 23.30% positive
Last year: 17,240; 31.12%
This year: 22; 0.05%

docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
United States Influenza testing, season to date (19 weeks, MMWR 40 to 5)

Five-year average: 90,791 cases; 14.33% positive
Last year: 154,400; 19.68%
This year: 1,553; 0.18%
Read 12 tweets
Phil Kerpen Profile picture
12 Feb
CDC published a study showing nearly zero transmission even with 40% countywide positivity rates... and is now going to Cuomo/Newsom things up with color-coded zones.

Six feet has zero science but is great for closing schools.

This is all politics and it's obscenely corrupt.
As expected. It's a school closure plan, not a school opening plan. Union bosses call the tune now.
Tomorrow the CDC is going to issue an unscientific plan dictated by the White House based on political considerations that, if followed, will almost certainly result in MORE senseless school closures.

Reminder: States and school districts don't have to pay any attention to it.
Read 8 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Like this author's thread?

Get emails when @kerpen has new unrolls!

Check out other threads from @kerpen!

Read all threads by @kerpen