⚰️⚰️ 215 (28 day cut off) deaths
⚰️⚰️⚰️ 260 (60 day cut off deaths with Covid on death cert)
⚰️💔⚰️💔 139,905 Covid deaths total (by date of death)
(133,077 ONS/Stats Covid death cert to 5/2/21 + 6828 - 28 day cut off to 20/2/21)
🏥 admissions 1397
🛌 In Patients 18,462
VENTILATION 🛌 2469.
Downward trend continues and vaccination effect now visible differentially in the over 80s in both admissions and deaths (- BUT not cases. Will 2 doses reduce transmission more than one dose?)
💉 334,697 VACCINATION doses administered yesterday bringing the total to
💉💉 18,197,269 doses administered to 17,582,121 people
💉💉💉 Of those, 615,148 people have received 2 doses
At the end of July 2020 SAGE’S Reasonable Worst Case Scenario = 85k deaths to the nearest thousand between 1/7/20 (56,061) - 31/3/2021. That would be 141k deaths total
We are currently short of that by 1,100 deaths and we are still in Feb
Highly like to breach that mark by the end of Feb a month early, when death notifications are in, despite two lockdowns, endless tiers and 11 weeks of vaccination programmes.
(I have used deaths by date of deaths as the most accurate measure of deaths in a specified timescale )
I’m not seeing a continuing exponential fall in positive cases and will keep wondering to what extent the steep falls we saw mid Jan were due to a change in testing, moving away from PCR towards LFT, which produces higher false negatives.
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The first Vaccination Surveillance Programme report has been released today showing decent efficacy even on one dose of Pfizer where odds improved over a 4 week period and then seemed to plateau until second dose.
Joel Kaplan’s Policy Team Sways Big Facebook Decisions Like Alex Jones Ban
“Internal documents & interviews with 14 current and former employees show how the company’s policy team — guided by Joel Kaplan, the vice president of global public policy”... buzzfeednews.com/article/ryanma…
“And Zuckerberg’s whims exerted outsize influence while obstructing content moderation decisions, stymieing product rollouts, and intervening on behalf of popular conservative figures who have violated Facebook’s rules.”...
“In December, a former core data scientist wrote a memo titled, “Political Influences on Content Policy.” Seen by BuzzFeed News, the memo stated that Kaplan’s policy team “regularly protects powerful constituencies” and listed several examples,...”
Important and balanced thread on Long Covid and kids.
And remember the primary rules of public health 1/ Act early (well, that ship sailed) 2/ Act fast (that ship has sailed too) 3/ Act decisively (yep- that ship sailed too) 4/ If in doubt apply the precautionary principle. (Um)
(Frost)”became a figure familiar in many workplaces: the frustrated middle manager, whose resentment at an indifferent world that overlooks him gnaws at his pride. Do not underestimate the anger of the men no one remembers.”
John Kerr, a former head of the diplomatic service, described his former staffer as being “very diligent and conscientious, good at carrying out instructions, not always as good at querying instructions”. Kerr didn’t mean it as a compliment.
Damning with faint praise.
Off he went to offer a bit of boosterism to the Scotch Whiskey Industry.
I wonder what they think of him now?
His notable absence of commitment to a Brexit prior to the referendum made him an excellent fit for Johnson. For both Brexit was a career move.