The past week or so I have portrayed Raila Odinga as a simplistic nincompoop, a guy playing checkers in a public park where grandmasters are playing 3D chess.
Until I though about it once more after seeing the developments of the past few days. Hear me out...
Raila met with Kivutha Kibwana for "brunch" last week Thursday. By Monday morning, Kenya's hope for a policy led presidency in 2022 were drowned after Kivutha Kibwana endorsed the BBI through his own Makueni County Assembly despite citizens rejecting it in the County.
Over the weekend, Raila had dinner and drinks with Jerotich Seii, the fierce fighter whose father was the Chairman of the BBI taskforce Major (Rtd) Seii. She unwittingly shared a picture of this occasion at her home which was widely interpreted as Raila buying her into BBI camp
On Monday morning and throughout the day, Raila Odinga minions like Edwin Sifuna and John Mbadi issued scathing statements against former NASA party leaders Kalonzo, Musalia and Weta short of calling them PUSSIES for their requests for Raila to retire come 2022.
He also sent out a cryptic tweet of himself at Kajiado for "lunch" with Peter Kenneth and a host of other Central Kenya washed up leaders.

What does this all mean?
Even as he continues the destruction of the Jubilee Party, Raila is quietly dismantling his own alliances.
The guys over at the Coast like Joho who have ridden the coat tails of of Baba for the past 15 years or so have been left to their own devices scrambling to form a united Coast voter block in a bid to make them more attractive.
Baba is having none of this bullshit anymore.
With BBI, Raila knows that he can dish out as many positions as possible to as many fools out there without necessarily having to rely on the traditional Western, Eastern, Coast blocks that he has tried to consolidate in the past two election cycles which grossly underperformed
My assumption that Raila Odinga is an ignorant fool playing checkers loudly in a field of grandmasters playing 3D chess in silence is ill conceived.
Baba is infact playing 4D Chess, eating up the pieces one by one so his former allies and current enemies don't have moves left.

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23 Feb
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Raila Odinga won the 2022 Presidency, Uhuru Kenyatta is Prime Minister of Kenya. Opposition is led by William Ruto who negotiated a ceasefire deal with the two Principals after two years of protests
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