Ben See Profile picture
23 Feb, 13 tweets, 5 min read
Southeast Asia's Rainforests will suffer from a totally new climate of unprecedented heat from 2027 onwards with staggering consequences for all life on Earth.
This study projects years of 'climate departure' (today's high emissions path).

Southeast Asia:
Manokwari, Indonesia 2020
Bandar Seri Begawan, Brunei 2027
Singapore 2028
Jakarta, Indonesia & Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia 2029
Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea 2033

nature.com/articles/natur…
Southeast Asia:

-among the world’s major deforestation hotspots (bulk of deforestation in tropical humid & low-land forests)

-habitat destruction among highest & most severe in terms of biodiversity loss

-deforestation rate comparable to C. & S. America
nature.com/articles/s4146…
Deforestation in Southeast Asia is greater than previously recorded.

news.mongabay.com/2018/07/southe…
Corporate supply chains are seldom clearly explained, nevermind the overarching pressures of the global growth economy on all nations.

'logging and clear-cutting for food production, cash crops and agriculture are the main drivers of this forest loss'

ec.europa.eu/jrc/en/science…
'Companies should, however, remain on high alert to try and keep their supply chains free of deforestation'.

Name the giant, exceedingly wealthy corporations responsible.

reuters.com/article/health…
'rainforest destruction continues unabated, not just in the South American Amazon, but also in Sub-Saharan Africa and Southeast Asia, to clear land for the cultivation of beef, timber, and oil crops like soy and oil palm'

Name the economic system to blame.harvardmagazine.com/2020/04/defore…
The Guardian may name destructive corporations from time to time, but is fiercely against structural political/economic changes. It simultaneously supports and is part of the whole corporate landscape. dumptheguardian.com/environment/20…
What makes us think we can trust newspapers funded by, and giving a voice to, powerful billionaires who are still investing in fossil fuels and want to geoengineer the planet? A corporate entity, explaining when forests will be finished off by corporations.theguardian.com/world/2013/may…
Major companies that operate in forested regions, or source products from them, must commit to ending deforestation for all their operations'

4 commodities—beef, soy, palm oil & wood—drive most tropical deforestation.

The problem: profit, not just demand.ucsusa.org/resources/what…
Global corporate capitalism has been buying up swathes of Asia's largest remaining rainforests.

'Global corporate capitalism didn't receive a BBC interview request, but the totally dominant economic system said in a statement that There Is No Alternative'.bbc.com/news/world-asi…
⚠️ 'Over the past 20 years, forests across Southeast Asia have collectively become a net source of carbon emissions due to clearing for plantations, uncontrolled fires, and drainage of peat soils.' cleantechnica.com/2021/01/21/for…
⚠️ 'new findings represent a tipping point because they suggest a dangerous feedback loop'

We're deep in the ecological-climate catastrophe danger zone, but global capitalism will not allow the emergency action that could prevent total calamity.

insideclimatenews.org/news/13012021/…

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More from @ClimateBen

22 Feb
Earth 2038:

1. a massive decline in the viability of food crops critical for human survival

2. regions becoming uninhabitable due to unsurvivable humid heat waves

3. cities & island nations wrecked by sea level rise, subsidence, and megastorms

Is this likely?

[THREAD] ⬇️
This is a world of +2°C global warming.

New climate models suggest +2°C will likely occur by 2029 - 2047 using a 1750 baseline (or 2034 - 2052 using a 19th century baseline as explained here: carbonbrief.org/analysis-when-…).

The IPCC says agriculture will be at high risk at 2°C.
At 2C parts of SW Asia including well-populated regions of the Persian Gulf& Yemen 'may become literally uninhabitable without permanent air conditioning

Some researchers predict a massive decline in the viability of food crops critical for human survival'e360.yale.edu/features/what_…
Read 7 tweets
21 Feb
'Emergency System Change NOW.'

Why?

1. Land degradation will hit 79% by 2025
2. Antarctica risks collapse from 2030
3. Arctic sea ice will go by 2035
4. Coral reefs dead by 2040
5. Rainforests dying by 2045
6. 50% species will risk extinction: 2050

Give us screaming headlines.
People in the Global South are dying now.

We need a new economy for ecological/climate justice.

* urbanization and industrial for-profit agriculture are killing the ecosystems needed for survival

* terrifying 2°C of global warming by 2038-2043 is likely
More than three quarters of the Earth’s land areas 'have lost some or most of their functions, undermining the well-being of the 3.2 billion people that rely on them to produce food crops, provide clean water, control flooding and more.'vice.com/en/article/ne9…
Read 10 tweets
18 Feb
Abrupt climate change and ecosystem collapse will be so severe by 2043 (give or take nine years) that it will be difficult for humans to live.

[THREAD]
2°C of global warming 'will likely be exceeded between 2034 and 2052' making it "hard for everyone to live" as an 'abrupt collapse' of tropical ocean ecosystems & forests (by 2030/2050) occurs.

1.washingtonpost.com/climate-soluti…

2.carbonbrief.org/deep-emissions…

3.carbonbrief.org/analysis-when-…
'Global warming is about to tear big holes into Earth’s delicate web of life..

At the current rate of warming, abrupt exposure events in tropical oceans will begin before 2030 and spread to tropical forests and higher latitudes by 2050.'
insideclimatenews.org/news/08042020/…
Read 5 tweets
17 Feb
Warming

* Ecosystems severely damaged at +1C
* Abrupt extinction events from +1.25C
* Planet's liveability at risk by +1.5C
* Global crop failure fears +1.75C
* Impacts we can't adapt to +2C
* Hothouse Earth zone? +2.25C
* Survival is hard before +2.5C

+2.5C likely by 2050-2075
Ocean extinctions:

'The first completely global bleaching event was in 1998. That was a wake-up call for people here in Australia, because that was the first time ever that the Great Barrier Reef had bleached.'

99% of tropical corals will be doomed at 2C.e360.yale.edu/features/insid…
Many already endangered species are now at risk of suddenly becoming extinct as extreme events worsen.
theconversation.com/australias-bus…
Read 13 tweets
15 Feb
Why omit that Bill Gates' Microsoft and mentor Warren Buffett continue to support and massively invest in new fossil fuel production projects?

Why not explain how emissions-slashing net-zero 2030 is less of a fairytale than carbon-sucking net-zero 2050?dumptheguardian.com/technology/202…
Warren Buffett Is One of the World's Richest Fossil-Fuel Billionaires.

bloomberg.com/features/2020-…

Ten billion dollar investment in 2020:
latimes.com/environment/ne…
'the firm Gates founded is two years into a seven-year deal—rumored to be worth over a billion dollars—to help Chevron, one of the world’s largest oil companies, better extract and distribute oil.'

gizmodo.com/how-google-mic…
Read 6 tweets
15 Feb
I made a thread of unarguable sources because I just feel we all have the right to know the combined impacts of ecological collapse and climate change during capitalism will likely become so severe by 2043 (give or take nine years) that it will be 'hard for everyone to live'

1/
We need emergency system change now:

Richard Alley, geoscientist at Pennsylvania State University and contributor to multiple IPCC reports:

at 2°C “you are having impacts on most people, impacts on the market, that make it hard for everyone to live.”

2/
washingtonpost.com/climate-soluti…
We need emergency system change now.

2°C: 'will likely be exceeded between 2034 and 2052 in the highest emissions scenario, with a median year of 2043.'

(scenario of modest mitigation: 2C threshold could be exceeded as early as 2038; median 2052)

3/carbonbrief.org/analysis-when-…
Read 4 tweets

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