The French PM Jean Castex will give a press conference in a few mins on what he plans to do about the dozen or so départements (counties) where Covid variants are surging. Weekend lockdowns have already been imposed in the Nice area and Dunkirk. Paris area next? Not yet it seems
It seems the French PM will probably announce “consultations” with local governments in the départements concerned – a broad stripe to Paris from the Pas de Calais, plus Moselle in Lorraine. Weekend lockdowns and other new restrictions may follow
Health situation is deteriorating, Castex says. Over 30,000 cases nationwide yesterday for the first time since November. British variant is now half the cases in France - creating a new epidemic because more contagious than the original.
Castex says there are calls by some scientists for a new nationwide lockdown. It may yet become inevitable, he says, but everything must be done to postpone that day in the hope that vaccines will start to have their effect and make it unnecessary...
Local weekend lockdowns have already been targeted on areas where the epidemic is exploding. He says there are now 20 other departements where the figures are worrying - not just Paris area and the North but also in the Rhone valley and along the Med coast.
These 20 departements will be placed under increased surveillance to see if weekend lockdowns are needed.
Castex now defending the French vax programme. Other countries have been faster, he admits, but France has been more succesful than others in targeting the very old. As a result, cases are now noticeably falling among the over 80's - the most vulnerable.
The vax rollout is about to accelerate, he promises. (We've heard that one before but it's true that deliveries are about to increase significantly). By mid-May, Castex promises, all over 50's in France will have been "offered a vaccination".
Vaxes for 65-74 year olds - the forgotten people in the present arrangements - will start in early April, Castex says. This is a slight delay on previous promises of late March.
Over 65's and under 74's, who miss out at present, will be offered vaccinations from early April, Castex says. This is a slight delay on the previous promise of late March.
Oliveir Veran, the health minister, adds some detail. He says all over 65's who are willing will - he hopes - be vaccinated by the end of March. That's a huge promise, based on the present campaign of an average of just over 100,000 jabs a day. We will see.
Olivier Veran says 35,000 AstraZeneca jabs have been given since they first became available nearly 3 weeks ago. He suggests this is a faster than normal rate. Faster than what normal? It's pathetically low. Over 500,000 AZ doses have been received.
Veran goes on to talk about innovative treatments, including interferon, now being tested, and monoclonal antibodies (the treatment Trump got) which are being used in 83 places in France.
So...In summary, 20 departments where new variants of Covid are booming have been placed under "increased surveillance". Decisions will be made next week on whether to impose weekend lockdowns or other measures in these areas. A nationwide lockdown has been ruled out...for now.
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UPDATE thread on France’s anti-Covid vax programme.
Overall, it’s still frustratingly slow. The AstraZeneca roll-out has been very poor – largely because of rejection of the AZ jab by health workers. BUT that may soon change… 1/10
The government is planning belatedly an “AZ-is-wonderful” P.R. campaign based on Scots findings that the vax is 90% effective and fine for old people. As a result, the Fr. health supervisory board may soon recommend that Fr. lifts its ban on AZ for the over 65’s. 2/10
That would be a game-changer, with 6m AstraZeneca doses due to arrive in France in the coming month and over 9m in April. But Macron and his government must carry a large part of the blame for what they now call primly AZ’s “image deficit” in France. 3/10
French Covid thread.
It’s getting complicated. Parts of France are doing fairly well. A dozen départements – in the north, the Paris area, Lorraine and the Nice area – are suffering sharp spikes in cases. Dunkirk has been placed under weekend lockdown today, following Nice 1/11
Covid variants (mostly the UK one) are responsible for this surge. To know which 13 départements are worst affected - a daily average of more than 250 cases per 100,000 – look at this map from the wonderful Covidtracker site @GuillaumeRozier. 2/11
The most stricken areas are Dunkirk with 900 cases per 100,000, four times the national average, and the Alpes Maritime department around Nice. Both are going into weekend lockdown for at least 2 weekends from Friday. The PM Jean Castex will announce other measures tomorrow. 3/11
How is the French anti-Covid vaccination programme going? Better overall but there are still many failings and mysteries. By last Wednesday France had received, according to official figures, 570,000 doses of the AstraZeneca vaccine but had used 67,256 of them – 11.7%. 1/10
Olivier Véran, health minister, said 12 days ago, that France would offer AZ to all health/care workers/ambulance crews/ home helps by next Monday. Jean Castex, PM, said 1,000,000 AZ jabs would be given this month.
After just over 2 weeks, Fr. had reached… 67,000 AZ jabs. 2/10
What’s going on? Anecdotal evidence suggests that there is considerable resistance to AZ in France, even among health workers, following reports of unpleasant after-effects and poor performance against some Covid variants. Officially, no info is forthcoming. 3/10
French vaccines – booster thread.
In my last big French vax thread 2 weeks ago, I asked why the French programme was so slow. I’m pleased to say things have improved (a little) since then. 1/10
Here is an interesting fact. France, as of yesterday, has given more 2nd injections than Britain – 617,715 Fr to 570,094 UK. In other words France (though rightly criticised) has now fully vaccinated more people against Covid than Britain (which has been rightly praised). 2/10
This is explained, of course, by the fact that the UK is delaying all 2nd jabs for up to 12 weeks. In terms of first injections, the UK (with same population but started 3 weeks earlier) has vaxxed over 14m people. France now stands at 2.83m. 3/10
French Covid thread. Depending on your viewpoint, the figures for the last week are “encouraging” (the government) or “misleadingly stable” (epidemiologists). Average daily cases and deaths fell for the first time in many weeks. But the “UK variant” continues to spread fast. 1/12
Ministers say the stats justify Prsdt Macron’s gamble 2 weeks ago in refusing a 3rd Fr. lockdown. Epidemiologists say the faster-moving UK and other variants will soon dominate – and cases/deaths will explode. The mutations are now 39% of cases in Paris area/ 21% nationwide. 2/12
The government admits that lockdown may still be necessary but they hope to avoid one. If it does happen - in March say - they believe Macron will given credit for preserving limited freedoms for as long as possible rather than blamed for risking lives. Maybe. Maybe not. 3/12
New French vaccine thread…
The French programme is speeding up. Hooray. Without admitting they were ever slow, the French government says it can go faster. PM Jean Castex announced last night circa 1.5m extra injections this month – bringing the total to 4m. 1/16
The stats remain opaque but the extra jabs seem to involve a/ 500,000 new first shots for the over-75’s using Pfizer/Moderna doses and b/ 1,000,000 Astra-Zeneca shots which will be offered to health professional of all ages from tomorrow. 2/16
I have received a detailed reply from the health ministry to my questions on the pace of the French programme (which used just over half of the doses it had received at the end of Jan.). Libération newspaper carried a similar response. See below. 3/16 liberation.fr/checknews/la-f…