The "Korean Journal of Defense Analysis" just posted an article @AriusDerr and I wrote: "North Korea’s Missed Opportunity: The Unique, Dovish Moment of the Overlapping Trump and Moon Presidencies."

Available without paywall here:…

It is fairly amusing

how much effort we when through to say in proper social science language that Trump was colossally unprepared to negotiate personally with Kim Jong Un and therefore massively screwed up. The paper is literally an extra 1000 words long, because we couldn't just say Trump is an


Here is a nice example:

"Trump also apparently expected no less than a Nobel Prize just for showing up, regardless of what he actually delivered. By contrast, the Nobel Prize-winning Camp David Accords did, in fact, durably reset
the Israel–Egypt relationship. The

dovish theory behind an apex summit assumes a serious, adept U.S. counterparty in the negotiations; Trump was clearly not that person."

That last sentence...good grief.

Anyway, enjoy.


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More from @Robert_E_Kelly

26 Feb
The GOP is now naturally a party of opposition, not of government.

1. Many (@gtconway3d; @AdamSerwer) have commented on the GOP's gradual embrace of ideological rigidity over competence, and know-nothingism in response to inconvenient facts. Good administration requires a

basic ability to admit reality and solicit expertise in response to its problems: . This is increasingly beyond the national GOP, where ideological policing by Fox News is a severe constraint on adaptation: .

2. But I am also

thinking rhetorically, of the ease, like putting on an old glove, with which the GOP and Fox have slid back into hysterical opposition to a Democratic president: .

It's been SO easy; all the old tropes & tricks can just be rolled out once again without

Read 8 tweets
18 Feb
Watching Fox fawn all over Rush and bypass his gleeful harshness, while other outlets briefly touch on his passing and then move on is both disappointing and revealing.

Revealing in that it shows just how cramped and closed the right-wing media space really is. In the real

world, Rush is a figure of minor interest, a sort of a media pre-cursor to Trump with his mix of politics and shock entertainment, but no deep thinker or national voice. You probably vaguely knew who he was but didn't care that much, bc you haven't listened to AM in decades.

Hence the normal news notes his passing, calls him 'provocative' (an understatement), and moves on. Bc it's just not that important given covid, the impeachment, the big storm, and so on.

In MAGA-world though, Rush is some kind of patron saint, the guy who saved AM radio,and

Read 6 tweets
26 Jan
'Ray Donovan' should go down as the iconic show of the Trump era, like '24' was for W:

A violent, rage-filled, gangster-ish sociopath, unable to connect even with his family, reduces his opponents through clever stratagems or alpha-male displays of force and humiliation.

He is, of course, surrounded by beautiful, wealthy, and/or important women, and, naturally, they swoon before his macho ferocity and throw themselves at him (instead of, you know, fleeing in terror). He cheats on his wife to sleep with them, and then treats all of them, wife

included, like s*, bc when you're a star, you can do anything

And in a perfect Trumpian touch, Donovan does it all in style - buff, top-shelf liquor, designer clothes, luxury car - bc remember, Trump's problem with the Capitol sack wasn't the violence but that the putschists

Read 4 tweets
23 Jan
Blame @FoxNews. This needs to be emphasized a lot going forward.

Broadcast TV Fox reaches & dissuades moderate conservatives who otherwise might accept that alterations in power to the Democrats are not the apocalypse.

The furthest right quintile is unreachable. The American

hard right has been lost in conspiracy theories for a century: FDR as Bolshevik, fluoridation, Trilateral Commission, New World Order, birtherism. Mercifully, they're served by narrowcast radio & social media of limited reach.

It's Fox TV reaching the next, softer right,

quintile which is the problem. These voters are church-going conservatives w/ intense preferences on stuff like abortion, taxes, & immigration, but crucially they are not hard-right bananas. They know Trump was flawed & that the Capitol sack was terrible.Their post-sack drift

Read 8 tweets
21 Jan
#Running Twitter

Pretentiously complex to read that I need a 'layering strategy' for winter running

Don't understand why running outfitters don't make heavier jackets.Even my Craft jackets - despite that whole 'we're Nordic runners' schtick - are too thin

These are shells,

not jackets, so underlayers are doing the actual warming.

Some people might like plating up baselayer for 10 minutes in the morning,but how about an actual jacket for the rest of us? One that doesn't require so much more fabric beneath? And one where you can run in seriously

cold weather (0+ degrees F) if you do couple it with baselayer?

I figure Californians must make these 'cold weather' jackets, bc 35-40 degrees isn't cold, you wimps. 5 degrees is cold, but it's surprisingly hard to find running clothiers (as opposed to hiking outlets) which

Read 4 tweets
21 Jan
With Trump out, his wake should pull with him so many sycophants who had no business ever being taken seriously.

A partial list of people I never want to hear from again:

- Giuliani
- Don Jr
- Ivanka
- Jared
- Eric, Melania & the rest of the family
- Guilfolye
- Lewandowski

- Diamond & Silk
- Pirro
- J Waters
- C Owens
- Lahren
- D Bongino
- C Kirk
- Bannon


- Levin
- B York
- Greenwald
- K Pavlich
- Dobbs
- Bartiromo
- Gingrich

If T Regan can be banished, they can too. The post-T right desperately needs better,less hackish voices

Who would you add? I’m sure I missed some MAGA greats in there.

Read 5 tweets

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