A perfect storm potentially awaits in a few months time when the UK begins checks on EU imports

The new paperwork will come in from April to July as restaurants & pubs reopen

Delays will affect veg, meat, cheese & wine when demand is expected to rocket politicshome.com/news/article/b…
"There would've been a full-blown crisis in NI in January had restaurants been open... same sort of thinking could play out for EU-UK flows," said @ColdChainShane

importers are set to face the same issues as exporters: overnight trade becoming 4/5 days politicshome.com/news/article/b…
What could that mean in practice?

Food suppliers being unable to meet a big increase in demand when hospitality reopens & the UK wants to celebrate

It threatens to disrupt "all businesses in the UK food industry" this spring/summer, warned @dominicgoudie politicshome.com/news/article/b…
The Fresh Produce Consortium wants HMG to delay import checks (first coming on April 1) amid concerns that the new IT system won't be ready

"We've had no training on it and there are thousands of businesses involved that have not had to do this before" politicshome.com/news/article/b…
The ability of UK suppliers to import enough fruit & veg from the EU to meet demand is going to be "under considerable pressure," warned @NigelFpc

Meat importers also expect a "flurry of confusion"

The full range of checks are set to come in on July 1 politicshome.com/news/article/b…
Then there's cheese (UK gets nearly 60% of it from the EU)

The dairy industry is concerned that ports won't be ready to carry out the full import checks on July 1

Wine faces being "delayed in queues" too. 55% of the UK's wine comes from the continent politicshome.com/news/article/b…
There is lots of talk of government taking a "light-touch" approach to imports (waive some through) in order to maintain the inward flow of goods

But this would put businesses in a tricky position as they plan to follow the rules, @ColdChainShane said
politicshome.com/news/article/b…

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More from @adampayne26

9 Feb
Exclusive: The shellfish industry claims that DEFRA admitted it was wrong about shellfish exports

"They now say that they believe on balance that the EU view, that the trade is not legal, is in fact correct," the bombshell email seen by PoliticsHome says politicshome.com/news/article/s…
"They [DEFRA] have now changed this position," the email sent to shellfish exporters says

"This is in complete contrast to everything they have told us so far"

Labour: "are they incompetent or do they simply not care?"

Lib Dems tell Eustice to resign

politicshome.com/news/article/s…
Eustice today said the EU stance was "indefensible" and last week said it was "legally wrong"

Yesterday he expressed frustration in a letter to the Commission

However, behind the scenes DEFRA officials say that the UK was wrong, the industry has claimed
politicshome.com/news/article/s…
Read 6 tweets
8 Feb
New: Here is the letter George Eustice sent to the European Commission’s Stella Kyriakides this morning about UK shellfish exports to the EU, first reported by PoliticsHome on Friday
Eustice says the UK's live shellfish exports to the EU have "been in place for many years" and the new rules - live shellfish caught in most waters barred EU entry - are of "grave concern" to businesses

The UK has high standards and EU customers trust its business, he argues
Eustice accuses the EU of changing its position on shellfish, citing advice the UK received in September

That's it's "unexpected and difficult news for an industry that relies on trade between the UK & EU"

Reminder: EU says rules apply to all 3rd countries, have done for years
Read 13 tweets
5 Feb
Exclusive: Government is urgently writing to the EU about the shellfish ban amid panic about a market collapse

The letter, which could go as soon as today, comes as UK officials say they were misled by the EU

Brussels says law for 3rd countries is clear politicshome.com/news/article/e…
What started as an esoteric consequence of Brexit has quickly emerged into a big UK-EU row

Angry UK officials insist that the EU has misled them over 3rd country rules for live shellfish

Brussels says it's DEFRA's fault for misunderstanding the law
politicshome.com/news/article/e…
Eustice is expected to sign the letter but Gove has also been involved in talks, in a sign of how seriously government is taking the issue

MPs heard yesterday that shellfish markets could be lost "entirely and permanently" without political intervention

politicshome.com/news/article/e…
Read 6 tweets
3 Feb
Eustice today said the EU's ban on live shellfish exports was "legally wrong" and "unjustified" and accused Brussels of changing its position twice

DEFRA is preparing to challenge the European Commission on the indefinite ban, which we revealed on Monday politicshome.com/news/article/g…
Fishers who attended a DEFRA meeting yesterday told me that the issue "was barely given 15 minutes before it was moved on"

They said an official suggested trying to export to the EU anyway, despite the ban

"We are shellfish exporters, not smugglers" politicshome.com/news/article/g…
The European Commission position: 1. the ban on live shellfish exports from 3rd countries is clear and has been set out in law for decades 2. the claim that the ban would be lifted on April 21, as government had been advising the industry, was a DEFRA misunderstanding of EU law
Read 4 tweets
2 Feb
Gove: UK will work with the EU “over the coming days to fix the difficulties” that have arisen from the NI Protocol. He says officials will “work calmly” and “at speed” to resolve issues. GB exporters to NI have struggled to cope w/ new paperwork, espec for food & animal goods.
Gove tells @LouHaigh that the looming end to GB-NI grace periods - the 3-month grace period for Export Health Certificates expires just next month - “do need to be addressed” and he will be writing to the EU today with “specific steps” for doing so.
Gove has mentioned Export Health Certificates several times, in an indication of how pressing an issue it is. EHCs need to be check by vets and cost lots of ££. Northern Irish hauliers and businesses have warned that failure to address that problem will unleash more disruption.
Read 9 tweets
1 Feb
Exclusive: DEFRA has been advising shellfish traders than an EU ban on live exports would end in April

However, the EU has told the industry that the ban is *indefinite*, in an email seen by PoliticsHome

Businesses say the post-Brexit ban will end them
politicshome.com/news/article/e…
Last month I reported that live mussels, cockles, and other shellfish caught in most UK waters were banned from the EU

DEFRA's advice was that this post-Brexit ban would end on April 21

However, a Commission email says it is indefinite, not temporary politicshome.com/news/article/e…
The industry held an emergency meeting to discuss the bombshell, which was "contrary" to government info

I've seen a November email by Victoria Prentis saying the ban was temporary

DEFRA is aware of the EU's stance and will "continue to raise" it w/ them politicshome.com/news/article/e…
Read 8 tweets

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