>@PunchbowlNews AM:

“Get rid of them all.” Trump on a whole bunch of House and Senate Rs

We’ve been waiting for this moment because it gives us the opportunity to write about the challenges of this approach for Trump and for D.C. Republicans.
@PunchbowlNews For Trump: The principal question we have here is whether Trump is going to have the infrastructure and, more importantly, the sustained interest in launching and facilitating primary challenges against these Republicans.
@PunchbowlNews That would include endorsing & most likely clearing the field for candidates in various congressional districts across the country. Saying you want to get rid of Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.) is one thing. But ensuring that Cheney or any candidate faces just 1 challenger is critical
@PunchbowlNews Remember: Many of the Senate Republicans Trump named are not real targets. Mitt Romney is up for election in 2024, and Bill Cassidy, Susan Collins and Ben Sasse are up for re-election in six years.
@PunchbowlNews Two of them -- Richard Burr and Pat Toomey -- are not running for re-election. In the Senate, the only real target is Lisa Murkowski, who is up in 2022.
@PunchbowlNews In the House, Reps. David Valadao (Calif.) , John Katko (N.Y.), Jaime Herrera Beutler (Wash.) and Fred Upton (Mich.) are all from moderate districts. Reps. Tom Rice (S.C.) and Cheney are at real risk.
@PunchbowlNews But if a bunch of Republicans turn out to claim the Trump mantle, the incumbent could easily prevail just on the strength of their name ID.
@PunchbowlNews Republican leaders have a series of thornier questions to answer in this Trump-versus-the-GOP universe. Will Republican leaders cut checks and raise money for these candidates?
@PunchbowlNews The @NRCC -- and that means @GOPLeader, a Trump ally -- put $3.1 million into Katko’s race in 2020 and $4.5 million into Valadao’s. If they make it through their primary, will the party continue to support them even though the leader of the party wants them out?
@PunchbowlNews @NRCC @GOPLeader Valadao is from a district not far from McCarthy. The NRCC under Rep. Tom Emmer (R-Minn.) will not get involved in primaries -- even to defend dues-paying members of the House R Conference. But many of these lawmakers will be looking to the NRCC for support in a general election.
@PunchbowlNews @NRCC @GOPLeader In other words, Trump’s anger is going to force a lot of recalibration.

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More from @JakeSherman

24 Feb
In @PunchbowlNews AM this morning: We have some new reporting on Republicans’ position on earmarks. This is huge news for DC.

@LeaderMcConnell said he’ll defer to @SenShelby, which means earmarking will almost certainly be starting again for Senate Rs.

But now for House Rs...
@PunchbowlNews @LeaderMcConnell @SenShelby 1) This House Republican minority isn’t like the Tea Party fueled group of a decade ago. Instead, they’re inspired by former President Donald Trump, who had no problem spending vast piles of federal money. Bringing back earmarks doesn’t seem like a huge ideological hurdle now.
@PunchbowlNews @LeaderMcConnell @SenShelby 2) Democrats are going to request earmarks. If Republicans don’t, they’ll be at a substantive and political disadvantage, they say.
Read 4 tweets
23 Feb
☀️@PunchbowlNews AM: The Republican Party is lost

The Republican Party has had some low points in the last two decades: The Mark Foley scandal, the Jack Abramoff mess, the nightmare in Iraq, losing their House majority in 2006, followed by the historic beatdown of 2008.
But we’re going to make the case this morning that the Republican Party is more adrift than it has been at nearly any point since Watergate.

Here’s why:
1) There’s plenty that Republicans could be hitting Democrats about these days. Democrats have a razor-thin House majority following their disastrous showing in November, and there’s a good chance they’ll be in the minority by next Congress;
Read 21 tweets
22 Feb
☀️>@PunchbowlNews AM: What's at stake this week

Big news everyone: Legislating is about to happen again. Congress comes back from recess, and President Joe Biden’s legislative agenda is about to face a crucial few weeks.
The $1.9-trillion Covid relief package is expected on the House floor this week. In order to stay on track, Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s House needs to get it through the chamber quickly. The House Budget Committee takes it up today. The bill will get a full House vote later in the wk
We bet the vote is Saturday because it’s Congress and 2021.
Read 13 tweets
19 Feb
☀️ @PunchbowlNews AM: The Week of Self-Inflicted Wounds

We live in a society filled with politicians who make a range of really questionable decisions on a somewhat regular basis. We all watch career public servants act foolishly.
@PunchbowlNews In fact, it’s our job to document them and put their behavior in the larger context of clownery in our political system. We see so much stupid behavior that it takes a lot to surprise us.
@PunchbowlNews But this week, irrationality and silliness have reached new heights. It’s been the week for politicians to engage in a stunning level of self immolation.

Welcome to “The Week of Self-Inflicted Wounds."
Read 12 tweets
11 Feb
☀️ This morning’s newsy @PunchbowlNews AM

"Trump's role in the riot"

Here’s a challenge: Make the argument that Donald Trump had nothing to do with the riot at the Capitol after the first few days of the impeachment trial.
@PunchbowlNews It’s damn tough.
The Democratic impeachment managers did something Wednesday that desperately needed to be done: They laid out in a thorough, comprehensive and digestible manner what Trump said and did in the months and days leading up to the bloody Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol.
@PunchbowlNews They covered all aspects of Trump’s shocking behavior -- his provocative tweets, TV interviews and speeches claiming the election was being stolen; his months-long campaign to undermine the American public’s faith in the election results;
Read 12 tweets
10 Feb
A newsy ☀️ @PunchbowlNews laying out our reporting from the Capitol on the Democrats strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats

Strengths: House Ds clearly have the better arguments. All the jurors lived through the Jan. 6 attack. The American public saw it.
@PunchbowlNews They saw Trump claiming for months that the election was stolen from him and his supporters. They saw the president of the United States suggest that his supporters should go to the Capitol.
Then they saw those protestors smash their way into the Capitol. The Democrats’ claim is all pretty clear cut. We also saw on Tuesday that the former president’s defense team is … lackluster to say the least. So Rep. Jamie Raskin’s (D-Md.) squad has the advantage here.
Read 11 tweets

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