Altice USA ($ATUS) CEO Goei with an extensive @CNBC interview.

Q: Will the cable TV bundle go away?
A: Yes.

Q: Fixed/mobile convergence in US?
A: Yes. Inevitable.

Q: Fiber vs cable?
A: The world will demand fiber.

cnbc.com/video/2021/03/…
TLDR:
$TMUS should merge with a cableco. Dexter can even picture Comcast and $VZ merging.

Altice would love to buy more cable assets, but very little has been for sale. Small purchase this week.

10%+ eq FCF yields & 3% cost of debt: expect us to keep buying back shares.

2/
Cablecos don’t need to bundle video. You end up hating us, because we have to pass through content price increases that $DIS forces on us. That leads to frustration & customer calls.

Let’s give you an awesome connection and easy tools to assemble & search content ala carte.

3/
In future, your TV/box provider may aggregate content. Maybe we rent you a box but we aren’t your content distributer per se. Seamless search is important.

Many content owners are shooting themselves in foot, driving away subs by killing the cable bundle; it’s fait accompli.
4/
Upload speed has become more valued with work & school from home. Fiber does this better than cable. Fiber is inevitable.

Fiber is an upfront investment, but lower OpEx & a better customer experience. Have built fiber in “>20%” of Optimum footprint. Accelerating the build.

5/
If ATUS acquired mobile (e.g., TMUS), it would be as a standalone operating and investment proposition. We believe we can run mobile assets very effectively.

[Compound248 opinion: it sounds an awful lot like they’re considering something along these lines]

End

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More from @compound248

28 Feb
Legend, John Malone 🐐💎, in an hour-long video pod w/ Aryeh Bourkoff (TMT i-banker extraordinaire).

Take a trip through JM’s professional history (including when he & Buffett couldn’t understand how this kid Bill Gates’ little business had a moat).😱

1/
He and Buffett passed on investing in $MSFT’s IPO.

The second 30min talks about our modern times, and the business and technology environment.

He is a man who L❤️VES what he does.

He’s curious, smart, hungry, engaging. He knows his areas of competence.

Some lessons:
👇👇
- The value of surrounding yourself w/ quality people

- Trusting quality people to be great

- Form hypothesis first, then look at the data. Accept that feedback and hone your intuition

- Even if you’re right about the direction of the future, you’ll be wrong about the details
Read 5 tweets
27 Feb
Happy last Saturday in Feb!

It’s Warren Buffett’s annual letter - a chance to learn.

An oddly quiet year amidst the chaos, for $BRK. Sometimes it’s your job to simply keep your head when those around you are losing theirs.

I’ll add thoughts below later.
berkshirehathaway.com/letters/2020lt…
Let’s get started.

Coffee + Wisdom shared by masters. I will thread highlights below: 👇👇
Berkshire’s resilience shines:
“We did, though, increase Berkshire’s per-share intrinsic value by both retaining earnings and repurchasing about 5% of our shares.”

Rare to see a CEO state unequivocally that IVPS grew. Frankly, it’s rare to even mention IVPS.
Read 16 tweets
26 Feb
I’m grateful for the great feedback on my first in-depth Revue newsletter.

I wrote about $TWTR’s mic drop 🎤.

Twitter announced a bigger set of feature releases over the next few months than we’ve 👀 in the past few yrs.

Link to the newsletter:
👇💎👇

getrevue.co/profile/compou…
"For years, Twitter investors would complain:

Why are you letting Patreon build a business on Twitter?

Why are you letting Substack build a business on Twitter?

When will you help your Creators get paid?"
"Twitter was a customer acquisition engine for Creators, but that was all.

'Receiving nothing while giving much' may sound magnanimous, but it actually created a suboptimal user experience."
Read 7 tweets
26 Feb
Shit is happening fast over at Twitter Global HQ.

- Today was #TWTRAnalystDay
- Spaces just got a big upgrade (Android!)
- Twitter shared a game-changing development pipeline

It's all happening, and I write about it in my new Revue newsletter
$TWTR🚀
1/

getrevue.co/profile/compou…
Brief newsletter excerpts:

TWTR just created a Super App (HT @akramsrazor)

Patreon? Totally obviated.

Substack? Totally obviated.

OnlyFans? Totally obviated.

(Well, not "totally"...OnlyFans famously offers certain adult subscriptions that I suspect TWTR will not support)
2/
Spaces dicovery:
When I tap the Spaces button, TWTR knows I'm ready for discovery. TWTR should immediately launch me into a Space that it believes matches my interests at that moment (this is also valuable promotional real estate). It should start automatically, like TikTok.
3/
Read 7 tweets
18 Feb
Great investment skew often looks like:

"Value Downside + Venture Upside".

Often, these have a declining high-quality Legacy business (Value) obscuring an emerging Future business (Venture).

👀👀💸💸🚀🚀
1/n Image
These transitions have 3 Phases:

1) Decline: for a period, the net result is decline, as Legacy shrinks faster than Future grows👇

2) Flat: Legacy's shrinkage & Future's growth net to near zero👉

3) Grow: Future begins to outstrip Legacy, revealing itself more fully💪👆

2/n
If the transition is real, each of those phases offers meaningful real return, moving from potentially explosive returns early, to longer-term compounding.

Generally, risk lowers as you migrate through.

3/n
Read 9 tweets
14 Feb
A Golden Age of SPAC short-selling approaches.

Extreme valuations, IPO froth, economic frailty, & WSB chaos are nice...

..but the train wreck that is post-deal SPACs is epic.

Each day the SPAC machine issues 5-10 more, driving future shorting profits to the moon.

🤑🚀💥

1/n
Post-deal SPACs skew toward 𝐡𝐨𝐫𝐫𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜 company quality. The best analog is IPOs c1999.

With luck, SPAC-mania lasts for quite a while, REALLY stocking the pond.

We are going to witness Desperation Buying (TM) by sponsors, as they fight to deploy capital into shitcos.

2/n
Why Desperation Buying (TM)?

Sponsors either: get a deal approved & receive massive pay; or fail to get a deal & lose their sponsor equity, is a perverse incentive driving bad behavior.

It’s going to get MUCH worse, as this vintage matures.
🤮

Build your shorting list now.
3/n
Read 6 tweets

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