TLDR:
$TMUS should merge with a cableco. Dexter can even picture Comcast and $VZ merging.
Altice would love to buy more cable assets, but very little has been for sale. Small purchase this week.
10%+ eq FCF yields & 3% cost of debt: expect us to keep buying back shares.
2/
Cablecos don’t need to bundle video. You end up hating us, because we have to pass through content price increases that $DIS forces on us. That leads to frustration & customer calls.
Let’s give you an awesome connection and easy tools to assemble & search content ala carte.
3/
In future, your TV/box provider may aggregate content. Maybe we rent you a box but we aren’t your content distributer per se. Seamless search is important.
Many content owners are shooting themselves in foot, driving away subs by killing the cable bundle; it’s fait accompli.
4/
Upload speed has become more valued with work & school from home. Fiber does this better than cable. Fiber is inevitable.
Fiber is an upfront investment, but lower OpEx & a better customer experience. Have built fiber in “>20%” of Optimum footprint. Accelerating the build.
5/
If ATUS acquired mobile (e.g., TMUS), it would be as a standalone operating and investment proposition. We believe we can run mobile assets very effectively.
[Compound248 opinion: it sounds an awful lot like they’re considering something along these lines]
End
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Coffee + Wisdom shared by masters. I will thread highlights below: 👇👇
Berkshire’s resilience shines:
“We did, though, increase Berkshire’s per-share intrinsic value by both retaining earnings and repurchasing about 5% of our shares.”
Rare to see a CEO state unequivocally that IVPS grew. Frankly, it’s rare to even mention IVPS.
(Well, not "totally"...OnlyFans famously offers certain adult subscriptions that I suspect TWTR will not support)
2/
Spaces dicovery:
When I tap the Spaces button, TWTR knows I'm ready for discovery. TWTR should immediately launch me into a Space that it believes matches my interests at that moment (this is also valuable promotional real estate). It should start automatically, like TikTok.
3/
Often, these have a declining high-quality Legacy business (Value) obscuring an emerging Future business (Venture).
👀👀💸💸🚀🚀 1/n
These transitions have 3 Phases:
1) Decline: for a period, the net result is decline, as Legacy shrinks faster than Future grows👇
2) Flat: Legacy's shrinkage & Future's growth net to near zero👉
3) Grow: Future begins to outstrip Legacy, revealing itself more fully💪👆
2/n
If the transition is real, each of those phases offers meaningful real return, moving from potentially explosive returns early, to longer-term compounding.
Generally, risk lowers as you migrate through.
3/n
..but the train wreck that is post-deal SPACs is epic.
Each day the SPAC machine issues 5-10 more, driving future shorting profits to the moon.
🤑🚀💥
1/n
Post-deal SPACs skew toward 𝐡𝐨𝐫𝐫𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜 company quality. The best analog is IPOs c1999.
With luck, SPAC-mania lasts for quite a while, REALLY stocking the pond.
We are going to witness Desperation Buying (TM) by sponsors, as they fight to deploy capital into shitcos.
2/n
Why Desperation Buying (TM)?
Sponsors either: get a deal approved & receive massive pay; or fail to get a deal & lose their sponsor equity, is a perverse incentive driving bad behavior.
It’s going to get MUCH worse, as this vintage matures.
🤮