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Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
@DrEricDing
Mar 3, 2021 • 17 tweets • 9 min read • Read on X
⚠️BRAZIL COVID EMERGENCY—Entire 🇧🇷 is now “Manaus”. 1700+ deaths in 24 hours, ICUs critical.

📌#P1 🇧🇷 variant is ~2x-2.5x more transmissible, says @obscovid19br

📌17 state capitals ICUs >80% full

📌”Exponential #COVID19 growth unlike any other that we have seen” @bollemdb 🧵 Image
2) Brazil is becoming an enormous Manaus" - @MiguelNicolelis
3) One group puts #P1 at an astoundingly high 2x more transmissibility.

Experiences from Manaus - the Amazonian city hit hard by the P.1 variant - suggest it could be up to twice as transmissible as earlier Covid there, the first detailed study suggests.
bbc.com/news/amp/healt…
4) They also put the chance of #COVID19 reinfection via #P1 at between 25% and 60%

github.com/CADDE-CENTRE/N…
5) Another group, @obscovid19br, is premiering results soon showing 2.5x: “In our model, which uses data on hospitalizations from Manaus, #P1 is **2.5x more transmissible** than the wild-type B lineage,” says @bollemdb.
6) How epically bad is #P1’s 2-2.5x transmissibility?

➡️ “It’s huge.” ~@bollemdb
7) Dr @bollemdb and I call for world leaders to help Brazil 🇧🇷 urgently now.

This will be the “worse humanitarian crisis the world has seen in this pandemic” if we don’t act now!
8) I’ve been trying to warn the world about Brazil 🇧🇷 for months. Manaus epidemic was a canary in coal mine. But we didn’t listen to their cries.
9) Folks—I am **not** exaggerating how serious it is in Brazil. Those of us in the English-speaking world have a bias towards English speaking country news. But news from 🇧🇷 is extremely sobering. @agencia_fiocruz is very reputable: their @fiocruz warning.
agencia.fiocruz.br/covid-19-nota-…
10) “In a special edition, the Bulletin of the Covid-19 Fiocruz Observatory publishes a technical note with a warning that, for the first time since the beginning of the pandemic, there is simultaneous worsening of several indicators throughout the country...”
11) “such as the increase in the number of cases and deaths, the maintenance of high levels of incidence of #SARSCov2, the high positivity of tests and the burden of hospitals. At the moment, 19 units of 🇧🇷 have icu bed occupancy rates above 80% – in the previous Bulletin, 12.”
12) “The alarming scenario, according to the analysis, represents only the tip of the iceberg of a level of intense transmission in the country. Therefore, the researchers believe that it is necessary to adopt more stringent non-pharmacological measures.”
13) “In view of this situation, the researchers at Covid-19 Fiocruz Observatory highlight the need to adopt stricter measures to restrict circulation and non-essential activities, according to the epidemiological situation and care capacity of each region” @fiocruz @fiocruz_en
14) In the US, there are 10 reported #P1 variant cases so far.

Where are half of all P1 in US? ➡️ Florida.

Where is also #B117 surging fastest? ➡️ Florida. Image
15) Let us learn from Manaus. Let’s not chase natural infection herd. Let’s not repeat it. bmj.com/content/372/bm… Image
16) Brazil crisis is accelerating it all parts of the country — even the wealthiest... look at this hospitalization and mortality curve!!$
17) It is cataclysmically bad in Brazil right now...

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More from @DrEricDing

Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Sep 6
⚠️ZERO ANIMAL CONTACT HOSPITALIZATION for H5 Bird Flu—the CDC has now confirmed the first ever U.S. human case “without a known occupational exposure to sick or infected animals”—which make this Missouri case very worrisome. Maybe community transmission.
cdc.gov/media/releases…
Image
2) H5 outbreaks in cattle have not been reported in Missouri, but outbreaks of H5 have been reported in commercial and backyard poultry flocks in 2024.

—>>so it doesn’t seem to have come from cows in the state. So maybe from birds?
3) So if rarely test, how did we even find it?

“While other novel flu cases have been detected through the country's national flu surveillance system, this is the first time that system has detected a case of H5. Targeted H5-outbreak specific surveillance has been conducted as part of ongoing animal outbreaks and has identified all the other cases. In this case, the specimen from the patient originally tested positive for flu A, but negative for seasonal flu A virus subtypes. That finding triggers additional testing.”
Read 4 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Aug 30
BREAKING—the FDA has just authorized the new Novavax vaccine, tailored to JN1 related variants. Anyone age 12 and over are eligible. You may receive it 2 months after a prior version of COVID-19 shot (and prior infection, though FDA memo didn’t specify).
fda.gov/news-events/pr…
Image
2) Also, the FDA has further authorized a 2nd shot of the new 2024-2025 formulated Novavax shot for people who are immunocompromised, at the doctor’s discretion. (Bullet point #4 below) Image
3) NAMING—Do not just refer to the shot as “2024” Keep the nomenclature of the new COVID shot straight - the newest one adapted for JN1-related variants is called the “2024-2025 formula”, while the old one was called the “2023-2024 formula”. The old one is no longer authorized. Image
Read 6 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Aug 29
Scientists have discovered more than 1,700 ancient viruses deep inside a Tibetan glacier. Most of them are completely new to science. These ancient viruses are now being thawed out from glaciers and Siberian tundras.
e360.yale.edu/digest/ancient…
2) This is no joke.

Arctic zombie viruses in Siberia could spark terrifying new pandemic, scientists warn

Threat of outbreak from microbes trapped in permafrost for millennia raised by increased Siberian activity

theguardian.com/society/2024/j…
3) The reason permafrost is a good storage medium isn’t just because it’s cold; it’s an oxygen-free environment that light doesn’t penetrate. But current Arctic temperatures are warming up to 4x faster than rest of 🌏, weakening the top layer of permafrost
cnn.com/2023/03/08/wor…
Read 5 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Aug 14
JUST IN— W.H.O. Declares Global Emergency Over New Mpox Outbreak. The threat this time is deadlier. Since the beginning of this year, the Democratic Republic of Congo alone has reported more than 14,000 mpox cases and 524 deaths. Those most at risk include women and children under 15. The outbreak has spread through 13 countries in Africa, including a few that had never reported mpox cases before.

(Gift 🎁 link)
nytimes.com/2024/08/14/hea…Image
2) public health emergency of international concern— Also known as PHEIC, this is a status given by WHO to “extraordinary events” that pose a public health risk to other countries through the international spread of disease.

cnn.com/2024/08/14/hea…
3) The Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention declared the outbreak a public health emergency of continental security the day before — the first such declaration by the agency since its inception in 2017.
Read 15 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Jul 19
Concerning—CDC now says that 42 states are seeing rising rates of #COVID19 again—with levels high or very high in 35 states (and rising). COVID wastewater levels have already surpassed last summer’s peak and climbing fast. #CovidIsNotOver
cdc.gov/forecast-outbr…


Image
Image
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2) Substantial 28% increase in one week. Question is how high it will go. It’s a new variant (mostly KP2 and KP3 and JN1), which are evasive against past infection and past vaccines.
3) COVID is surging in many countries worldwide. Eg in Italy where deaths are also climbing once again. New variants, new surges.
Read 4 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Jul 3
A girl using cover name JANE DOE testified under oath at Ghislaine Maxwell’s criminal trial that she was introduced to Trump by Jeffrey Epstein when she was 14 years old. Pass it on.
Trump’s name appears 7 times in Epstein’s latest files. They regularly called each other according to phone logs. Trump says Epstein is a “terrific guy”. And he traveled on flights, according to logs, to Epstein’s island multiple times.
3) THIS STUFF IS NEW—not old Epstein-Trump info. New information regarding Epstein's child trafficking activities was released 7/2/24. Documents from 2016 are now out of date and do not show the depth of Trump's dealings with Epstein... READ MORE:

nymag.com/intelligencer/…
Read 4 tweets

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