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Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
@DrEricDing
Mar 3, 2021 • 17 tweets • 9 min read • Read on X
⚠️BRAZIL COVID EMERGENCY—Entire 🇧🇷 is now “Manaus”. 1700+ deaths in 24 hours, ICUs critical.

📌#P1 🇧🇷 variant is ~2x-2.5x more transmissible, says @obscovid19br

📌17 state capitals ICUs >80% full

📌”Exponential #COVID19 growth unlike any other that we have seen” @bollemdb 🧵 Image
2) Brazil is becoming an enormous Manaus" - @MiguelNicolelis
3) One group puts #P1 at an astoundingly high 2x more transmissibility.

Experiences from Manaus - the Amazonian city hit hard by the P.1 variant - suggest it could be up to twice as transmissible as earlier Covid there, the first detailed study suggests.
bbc.com/news/amp/healt…
4) They also put the chance of #COVID19 reinfection via #P1 at between 25% and 60%

github.com/CADDE-CENTRE/N…
5) Another group, @obscovid19br, is premiering results soon showing 2.5x: “In our model, which uses data on hospitalizations from Manaus, #P1 is **2.5x more transmissible** than the wild-type B lineage,” says @bollemdb.
6) How epically bad is #P1’s 2-2.5x transmissibility?

➡️ “It’s huge.” ~@bollemdb
7) Dr @bollemdb and I call for world leaders to help Brazil 🇧🇷 urgently now.

This will be the “worse humanitarian crisis the world has seen in this pandemic” if we don’t act now!
8) I’ve been trying to warn the world about Brazil 🇧🇷 for months. Manaus epidemic was a canary in coal mine. But we didn’t listen to their cries.
9) Folks—I am **not** exaggerating how serious it is in Brazil. Those of us in the English-speaking world have a bias towards English speaking country news. But news from 🇧🇷 is extremely sobering. @agencia_fiocruz is very reputable: their @fiocruz warning.
agencia.fiocruz.br/covid-19-nota-…
10) “In a special edition, the Bulletin of the Covid-19 Fiocruz Observatory publishes a technical note with a warning that, for the first time since the beginning of the pandemic, there is simultaneous worsening of several indicators throughout the country...”
11) “such as the increase in the number of cases and deaths, the maintenance of high levels of incidence of #SARSCov2, the high positivity of tests and the burden of hospitals. At the moment, 19 units of 🇧🇷 have icu bed occupancy rates above 80% – in the previous Bulletin, 12.”
12) “The alarming scenario, according to the analysis, represents only the tip of the iceberg of a level of intense transmission in the country. Therefore, the researchers believe that it is necessary to adopt more stringent non-pharmacological measures.”
13) “In view of this situation, the researchers at Covid-19 Fiocruz Observatory highlight the need to adopt stricter measures to restrict circulation and non-essential activities, according to the epidemiological situation and care capacity of each region” @fiocruz @fiocruz_en
14) In the US, there are 10 reported #P1 variant cases so far.

Where are half of all P1 in US? ➡️ Florida.

Where is also #B117 surging fastest? ➡️ Florida. Image
15) Let us learn from Manaus. Let’s not chase natural infection herd. Let’s not repeat it. bmj.com/content/372/bm… Image
16) Brazil crisis is accelerating it all parts of the country — even the wealthiest... look at this hospitalization and mortality curve!!$
17) It is cataclysmically bad in Brazil right now...

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More from @DrEricDing

Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Nov 13
⚠️BREAKING—ICU Hospitalized human bird flu case in Canada now officially confirmed as H5N1. Worse, it is the same 2.3.4.4b virus clade (variant group) as the one found in BC🇨🇦 poultry and in Washington state🇺🇸! The hospitalized teenager (with no pre existing conditions) had no animal contact, does not live on farm, had “deterioration quite rapid” and now critical in ICU with ARDS. Canada officials says infectious period is 2 days **prior to symptoms** (ie asymptomatic transmission) and infectious up to 10 days.Image
2) Public Health Agency of Canada's National Microbiology Laboratory (NML) in Winnipeg confirmed that the individual has avian influenza H5N1
canada.ca/en/public-heal…
3) details…

⚠️BAD UPDATE—BIRD FLU HOSPITALIZATION IN CANADIAN TEEN

Summary 🧵 of the live press conference with Canada’s British Columbia health officer.

📌The teen is in intensive care.
📌Condition is ARDS
📌Teen was healthy prior; no underlying conditions

bsky.app/profile/dreric…
Read 4 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Nov 13
Trump’s incoming SECRETARY OF DEFENSE who doesn’t wash his hands and doesn’t believe in germs. Image
2) Trump’s new SECDEF is also in favor of committing war crimes. businessinsider.com/pete-hegseth-a…
3) Trump’s SECDEF pick is a wild character. And loves hawking merch.
Read 4 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Nov 9
My god—Google Search for “what is a tariff” sudden spikes the DAY AFTER ELECTION DAY. 🤦🏻‍♂️ Image
2) many folks simply don’t understand what a tariff is — unless you explain it several times to them with analogies. Even then, it’s hard for many to grasp. Eg 👇
3) Ah shit… it’s now gotten worse. Why do so many people do their hw late??,
Read 6 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Nov 6
📍HARRIS IS STILL AHEAD IN PA—in terms of votes yet to be counted. She’s still +2 of what is needed to win PA, given the outstanding votes still remaining in PA cities, according to @CBSNews @NorahODonnell Image
Image
Image
Harris has enough remaining in PA Philly suburbs to still win. Image
3) folks. The NYT needle is not reliable.
Read 5 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Oct 31
Plastic cookware should not be used. Period. Especially BLACK PLASTIC cookware, that often mixes in toxic recycled electronic waste materials. DISPOSE OF ALL PLASTIC COOKWARE, especially if black colored plastic ones. Pass it on to your family.

Gift🎁🔗
theatlantic.com/health/archive…Image
2) Because optical sensors in recycling facilities can’t detect them, black-colored plastics are largely rejected from domestic-waste streams, resulting in a shortage of black base material for recycled plastic. So the demand for black plastic appears to be met “in no insignificant part” via recycled e-waste, according to Turner’s research. TV and computer casings, like the majority of the world’s plastic waste, tend to be recycled in informal waste economies with few regulations and end up remolded into consumer products, including ones, such as spatulas and slotted spoons, that come into contact with food.
3) You simply do not want flame retardants anywhere near your stir-fry. Flame retardants are typically not bound to the polymers to which they are added, making them a particular flight risk: They dislodge easily and make their way into the surrounding environment. And, indeed, another paper from 2018 found that flame retardants in black kitchen utensils readily migrate into hot cooking oil. The health concerns associated with those chemicals are well established: Some flame retardants are endocrine disruptors, which can interfere with the body’s hormonal system, and scientific literature suggests that they may be associated with a range of ailments, including thyroid disease, diabetes, and cancer. People with the highest blood levels of PBDEs, a class of flame retardants found in black plastic, had about a 300 percent increase in their risk of dying from cancer compared with people who had the lowest levels, according to a study released this year. In a separate study, published in a peer-reviewed journal this month, researchers from the advocacy group Toxic-Free Future and from Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam found that, out of all of the consumer products they tested, kitchen utensils had some of the highest levels of flame retardants.
Read 4 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Oct 29
⚠️MASK MANDATE RETURNING TO ALL NIH PATIENT CLINICS—Effective November 4, 2024, masking will be required in all patient care & waiting rooms. Furthermore, testing for COVID, flu A, flu B, and RSV will be required for all inpatients & rooming-in visitors.
cc.nih.gov/patient-servic…Image
Image
2) This means wearing a mask will be REQUIRED in all patient care areas, including waiting rooms. ➡️This change is due to an anticipated increase in COVID-19 and other respiratory virus activity in the community. 😷
3) I think people should stock up on COVID tests again. The Cheapest COVID test on the U.S. market is now as low as $1.50 with special promo code “COV20”… expiring Jan or March 2025.

store.pharmalynk.com/products/advin…Image
Read 6 tweets

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