1. The diagnostic from @jonallendc & @amieparnes (& I'll be careful here, I'm only just now hearing an int w them- haven't read book yet) is "Lucky" which is 100% correct in terms of the primary. But in terms of the fall general- as they talking about- what helped @JoeBiden win
2. was discipline- which is the exact opposite of what he was supposed to be capable of. BC everything is so off the guardrails w the GOP trying to overturn a legit election & end democracy, we've not had many of the normal convos we usually have, the usual post-ops. But Biden
3. was unshakable and turned in a performance of a lifetime. Taking Parnes & Allen's reporting at face value, that Obama was worried Biden would lose & hurt his legacy (which to me sounds off, I am sure Obama has been worried about bigger things, as many of us have been) Biden
4. turned in an Oscar-level performance for an old, white guy. I mean every weakness he was supposed to have, he overcame. And they won while the Congress races lost bc they ran a referendum campaign against Trump (partly helped along in messaging frame by @ProjectLincoln while
5.the congressional/senate races focused on policy & failed to do in-person GOTV.
All prez candidates get lucky. There was no one luckier than Trump. His lucky break? That the RNC runs elections for the Rep Party & was able to run his hot mess of a campaign for him in 2016.
All prez candidates get lucky. There was no one luckier than Trump. His lucky break? That the RNC runs elections for the Rep Party & was able to run his hot mess of a campaign for him in 2016.
6. And in any case, campaigns are won & loss by the campaign teams that run them & tell the candidates what to do. Only a moron would've advised Biden to embrace defund the police. I doubt anyone in Biden's orbit suggested that. No Dem in a competitive race anywhere supports it.
7. But unlike the congressional and senate candidates, Biden was fortunate to have the platforms (national debates, op-eds) to "correct the record" on his position as best he could. As best he could. He still lost votes on this issue to microtargeted voters, even among Clinton
8. voters. BC they got the Ds want to close your police depts down message and heard nothing competing from Ds and certainly no alt offensive attack to neutralize it. That's gotta change. @StrikePac is gonna change it. strikepac.com
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