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Federico Andres Lois Profile picture
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9 Mar, 14 tweets, 2 min read
Let's play a game shall we? I will post mobility charts from countries. Let's see if you can pin down which one is which.
What is the location I posted.
This one is gonna be easy.
You cannot miss this one.
Which one is Sweden?
Which one is Sweden?
Which country is 2?
Top Left, Top Right, Bottom Left, Bottom Right

1 - Argentina
2 - Brazil
3 - Italy
4 - Spain

Which order is the correct order?
Top Left, Top Right, Bottom Left, Bottom Right
Which country is South Africa?
Which country is South Africa?
How many do you think you got right?
Did you cheat?
These are the results:
1) United Kingdom
2) Florida
3) Sweden is the 4
4) Japan
5) 1-4-3-2
6) 1
How many did you get right?

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More from @federicolois

Federico Andres Lois Profile picture
10 Mar
How better the world would be if people would exercise some brain activity before activating the muscles to hit keyboard keys at pseudo random. The masks ninjas clearly have absolutely no advantage. Image
And that is IF I would look away from evidence. It is highly probable that most influenza strains comes from... GUESS WHERE!!!! Asia, and I am pretty sure that is not a shock to anyone. A simple google search: "where does influenza comes from" suffices

cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspecti… Image
Obviously a young and inquiring mind like @jamesbleekerPL would notice also that massive (no other word would suffice) influenza on 2019... Let me guess... What did happen at the end of 2019... Anyone said 13 different SARS-Cov-2 sequences by December??? independent.co.uk/news/world/asi… Image
Read 4 tweets
Federico Andres Lois Profile picture
7 Mar
I live in a country that has mandated masks even in outdoors (where I don't use it, period). I vote with my wallet, BUT, for maximum civil disobedience this is my mask for when I have no choice (shops, kids school, etc). It reads: "Doesn't filter aerosols. Doesn't work for CV19" Image
For maximum irony, this is a triple layer, high quality, medical grade mask (even though ear loop design is quite crappy IMHO), next step: N95 (but they are a pain to wear). So when anyone says something I tell: "Come on? Haven't you read the evidence?" and then I explain.
Then I point them to the hilarious European CDC study and explain the how 19 out of 20 are just bad evidence and the only one that its actually good, is compatible with higher infection rates. Details here:
Read 5 tweets
Federico Andres Lois Profile picture
1 Mar
1/ Because by judging from other countries (mine for example) that is completely true. Just took my kid to primary school, all parents packed together (with their 'masks on' of course). Who would have known? Right?
2/ But let's make it fun. Every thread is better with a poll. Do people use masks properly in your city? Keep distance, don't touch it, over the nose... you know the usual.
3/ That's why I wrote this small rant a few weeks ago. Because using PPE in the wrong way is worse than not use it at all.
Read 15 tweets
Federico Andres Lois Profile picture
23 Feb
1/ There is absolutely no discussion that if you have a disease that doubles its size every 3-4 days and 2% of those infected requires hospitalization you are going to have a quite difficult situation to deal with. Not even a newbie modeler would disagree with @neil_ferguson
2/ But as @gidmk told me once in one of our initial exchanges (and respectful disagreements): "Everyone comes into epidemiology for the uncertainty and stay for the nuance" (if I recall it correctly, corrections please). The entire response rest on those nuances, let's dissect.
3/ At least in my mind there is no doubt that the Ro of SARS-Cov-2 is very high (we estimated 3.3) and if we account for the UK variant we are probably 30% up from there. So, we can say we agree probably up to the decimals level.
Read 14 tweets
Federico Andres Lois Profile picture
23 Feb
1/ When we wrote this paragraph back in October I wouldn't know how close to home it would hit. Back in October my mother-in-law (65+) fainted in the bathroom while having diarrhea. It was quite a scare as she got hit very hard.

Ref: medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
2/ Not long after my father-in-law (80+) was diagnosed with anorexia nervousa. Doctors presume that loneliness caused by the lockdown, plus the scare of the episode would have been more than enough to cause it.
3/ Back then I immediately told my wife that those were signs of COVID, being health personnel and working on the lab at the hospital knew very well the evidence. On her account, the evidence was definitely not anywhere near what they thought were signs of the disease.
Read 9 tweets
Federico Andres Lois Profile picture
20 Feb
Let's play a game. I will ask a few things about SARS-Cov-2 and you respond in a poll. Let's see how many points do you get.

#1: Is there a non-human reservoir or vectors (or both)?
#2: Is the disease geographically restricted?
#3: Is there a 'sterilizing' vaccine or any other transmission-disrupting alternative?
Read 14 tweets

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