YESTERDAY + PETER LYNCH + @CathieDWood = #HODL
When Peter Lynch ran Magellan, annualized return over 13 years was >29%, yet average investor in fund only got 7%.

Could be statistical reasons for this (e.g. fewer investors in HUGE years, many in slow years) BUT MAINLY ...
1/
2/
... but mainly it's a matter of undisciplined investor behavior.

Noobs see a fund (or stock) booming, so they buy, often at peaks and ATHs.

Then once it goes down - they sell in panic and head to the shore of safer investments (value stocks, cash etc)

..
3/
Conceptually that's "buy high, sell low" which is bad, but there's also another major problem.

Pulling out means missing days like yesterday ( $ARKK +10%, $TSLA +20%).
Single days can be SIGNIFICANT, and after strong declines such days can show BRUTAL upswings
4/
Checking S&P500 over 20 years showed that missing only the top 10 days cut 20yr returns by 50%, and missing the top 20 days (over 20 years!) put you in a loss!

fool.com/investing/2019…
5/
Most of us know this, but tweeting this bc YOUSTERDAY SHOULD SERVE AS REMINDER

1. If you don't research & have personal conviction in something, stay TF out of market

2. If you do have conviction, ignore volatility and HODL as long as BUSINESS aspects stay true

(not advice)
6/
A rise in bond yields might change the Nasdaq and lower share prices for a while, but it does NOT change the potential TAM, growth, profitability etc. of Tesla, Crispr etc.

It changes the voting, not the weighing.
7/
Peter Lynch said every two years there's a 10% decline, and every 6 years a 25% decline

If you're aware of that, realize the sky isn't falling, you own COMPANIES not stonks, HODL good ones & see declines as opportunities, you will profit regardless!
PS
8/
Lynch spends 0 time thinking about Washington etc, never tries to guess interest rates etc.

In other words - for investors in $TSLA , $FUV, $NVNXF and other EV stocks, the following graph by @jpr007 is much more important than interest rates
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More from @ConnectingODots

8 Mar
Enter Google, then click the logo drawing. There's a short anomated vid about women acheivements - Curie, Braille, Typewriter, Nobel prize laureates etc.

Real nice, I just wish they'd spelled it out with subtitles. Most people watching the vid wouldn't even know what it's about. Image
Anyway - So many women moved humanity forward in Science, Technology, Art, Philosophy, etc and/or in "just" taking care of their loved ones - despite the odds often tilted against them

Looking forward to a future where gender gaps are a thing of the past and equality prevails
PS small tidbit but telling -
In recent years more women purchased electric guitars than men did. Women can express their voice, and it's different from men's - which makes music fresh and interesting again 💜🎶🎸🎵🎹

This article is just one of many bbc.com/culture/articl…
Read 6 tweets
28 Feb
HUAWEI EV PLANS
⚠️IMPORTANT⚠️
Yesterday MSM started spreading a Reuters piece saying Huawei will possibly start making EVs as soon as next year.

Surprised at sudden interest, as this was put in the open since 9/2020 (see following tweet)
1/
bit.ly/3uEXfrt
2/
In 2019 Huawei chairman Xu Zhijun said "If you look at the stock price of Tesla, you will know where the future of automobiles lies,"

asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Caix…
3/
Huawei sees #Tesla leading an AUTO-INDUSTRY REVOLUTION, powered by electricity and AI, which will lead to a fundamental change in the design of cars and the structure of the industry.

Huawei wants a piece of the action.
Read 15 tweets
28 Feb
FEEDING THE $NKLA GRAVY TRAIN
(Opinion)

Almost forgotten, but 2 months from now $2.5B of employee-owned #Nikola stock will unlock.

2.5 BILLION USD!

136m shares include 40m owned by a company co-owned by Trevor and Mark Russell.

They gotta keep the stock high. Here's how.
1/
2/
Problems:
A. Alleged deceptions, including lies they cannot defend.
B. Losing money and no revenues.
C. No tech lead (or no tech at all?)

They tackle all points. Points 2 and 3 same way as before.
3/
A. Deception -
Some points they cannot defend anymore. Doing so would just keep company's name in the mud

So they admit what they 100% can't refute, but put it on prev mgmt.

"Don't blame us, it was them. We're honest. A real real truck company, look at the progress we made"
Read 14 tweets
25 Feb
SCHOOL BUSES >>TURNED VIRTUAL POWERPLANT<<

Maryland’s Montgomery County voted to replace over 1400 school buses with EV versions.

Hidden in plain sight is news that the buses will become a DISTRIBUTED UTILITY, similar to what #Tesla plans

1/

finance.yahoo.com/news/biggest-e…
2/
Buses built by Thomas Built Buses Inc., a division of Daimler, w. battery tech by Proterra

Interestingly, a 3rd party vendor is PAYING to install smart chargers to charge buses at night, in exchange for rights to RE-SELL V2G POWER in peak hours

But they're not alone!
cont..
3/
School buses are excellent candidates for distributed-utility V2G. 500,000 school buses in USA sit mostly unused during peak hours

Thomas-Built buses' 220KW Proterra batteries capable of >4,000 cycles, meaning “more than half of their use case could be for use as grid asset”
Read 13 tweets
2 Feb
$NVX NEWS - HUGE if true.

Found this online, couldn't confirm it elsewhere but supposedly from behind paywall of AllNovaScotia.com

#Novonix expanding in Bedford to make low-cost battery

Spending $1.5m to add 8,800sqft for cathode pilot processing facility
1/ ..
2/
@NovonixBattery allegedly came up with new, low-cost process to synthesize battery material, with help of Mark Obrovac’s lab at Dal.

Process helps solve one of the greatest challenges – cost – as the current method to process cathodes is expensive and creates waste.
3/
Likely to have effect on mainstream EV adoption. CEO Chris Burns: “Why don’t we see more EV on the road? Not bc range isn’t far enough. All “inconveniences” people have always been concerned about almost don’t exist anymore. The challenge is cost”, he told allNovaScotia.
Read 10 tweets
31 Jan
UAW preparations towards the EV disruption

Interesting interview. They realize LOTS of jobs will be lost, and are taking steps.

A few gems here
1/
2/
Previously UAW tried to stall EV penetration (see GM labor deal), now they realize battle is lost and are dealing with it.

Last year they made a plan... some steps are logical, some delusional.

FD: I am not against organized work. It can be important when done right.
3/
The baseline for their plan is that 30% of jobs will be lost.

What's interesting is number is taken from OEM's assessments - so AMERICAN OEMs STILL DON'T GET IT!
Read 21 tweets

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