Markets might be closed tomorrow but have no fear because we’re launching Fintrics.ai at 9:30am EST
We have 9,000+ people on the waitlist so we’re doing batches of 250 every hour assuming we don’t run into any technical problems.
My team has been working on this project for 6+ months and we’re very proud of the finished product.
We built a complex valuation model using dozens of different metrics including:
• revenues
• revenue growth
• gross margins
• EBITDA margins/growth
• net income margins/growth
• free cash flow margins/growth
• cash/debt
Plus some technical indicators like moving averages
Put it all together and we believe this model can help retail investors come up with a 12-month price target.
Across all metrics we are using LQ (last quarter), CQ (current quarter) and NTM (next 4 quarters).
Since our model is for 12-month price targets the NTM metrics are obviously the most heavily weighted (approx 85%).
We are using multiple data sources which is updated by 9am EST every morning.
Whenever the actuals/estimates change for a specific stock then the price target might also change. This is why you can build a watchlist for quick reference.
Since we know that our data is only as good as the estimates provided by analysts we give users the ability to override most of the metrics then recalculate as many times as they want.
We also created a “trending” page so you can see which 10 stocks are being looked up the most frequently across all users.
We will probably increase this to 50 stocks in the near future.
We expect all users to do their own research and understand their stocks as much as possible but we hope @fintrics can provide some guidance along the way.
We know that tracking fundamentals, building models and maintaining those models can be extremely complex and time consuming so we hope @fintrics can save you some time, prevent some frustration and make you a better investor.
You can still signup for the waitlist at Fintrics.ai
The first 250 people should see the email invites tomorrow at 9:30am EST then we’ll do our best to get as many invites sent out over the next few days without crashing the website.
These are the two payment plans — we tried to keep @fintrics affordable for everyone.
Each plan comes with a 3-day free trial and you can cancel your payment plan anytime — no questions asked.
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The growth story at $CELH is alive and well. The pullback yesterday is b/c investors don't understand growing pains, switch to DSD, 82k+ stores, branded coolers and so much more.
I’m no expert on @nielsen data but these numbers for @CelsiusOfficial appear to be off the charts 🚀
$CELH is a reopening story with some tailwind support from e-commerce (Amazon).
As @CelsiusOfficial shifts to DSD (direct store delivery) it means better merchandising and no more empty shelves
Here's a more in-depth explanation on DSD versus going through retailers distribution centers which is inefficient and prone to mistakes mwpvl.com/html/dsd__vs_c….
If you like numbers and data then I'd highly recommend you listen to the $CELH call once the replay is available -- it was one of the best calls I've heard in a long time.
$CELH is doing everything right for a $3 billion company growing at 74%
I started buying $CELH last summer when the stock was in the mid teens. Over the past 8 months I have continued adding to my position. Even though the selloff today is frustrating, my LT investment thesis has not changed.
$CELH reports Q4 earnings in the next 90 minutes, obviously I'm hoping for a big beat for Q4 and strong guidance for 2021 but either way this is a longer term hold for me and here's why...
The global energy drink market is $60B and growing at 9-10% per year. This puts the global energy drink market over $100B within 6 years. I believe $CELH can grow at least 50% per year for the next 6 years to capture 2.5% of the global market.
$2.5B in sales x 20% net income = $500M
$500M x 50 P/E = $25B market cap
$25B market cap from yesterday's closing prices would be a 6-year CAGR of 40%
So whatever happens with earnings today is irrelevant for me because it doesn't change this story.
$APPH is building indoor vertical farms which I believe is the future of farming and our food supply.
There are dozens of benefits to indoor farming including water efficiency and no pesticides but the number that blew my mind was 30x crop yield per acre versus outdoor farming.
$APPH is operating their first facility in Morehead, KY which is 2.8 million sq feet.
They're already started building their next two facilities in KY and once those are done they'll start building in NY
These facilities will grow tomatoes, peppers, cucumbers and leafy greens.
Here is my recent interview with Thomas Sandgaard, Founder & CEO of @ZynexMedical aka $ZYXI
$ZYXI devices are used for pain management and recovery from injury/surgery -- hopefully instead of opioids
Watch here:
$ZYXI is the leader in electro-stimulation devices and they are 10x better than the crappy ones you buy on Amazon
$ZYXI devices have to be prescribed by a medical professional and given that my entire body hurts most days I'll be visiting my doctor very soon to get one.
$ZYXI is $80+ million in revenues in 2020 which was 76% YoY growth
$ZYXI also has 78% gross margins and is already profitable.
Thomas thinks $ZYXI can do $150M in 2021 and $300M in 2022
$ZYXI doubled the size of their sales force in 2020 and now have 500+ sales people.
Several people have asked me why I'm willing to pay 65x sales for $DMTK - it's a good question so here's my answer:
When you find a company like $DMTK that has the potential to grow revenues at 200% annually for the next 4+ years you don't sit back and wait for it to look cheap.
By the time $DMTK looks cheap it might be a $30+ billion company.
You have to adjust your mindset in you want to invest in these hypergrowth companies that have a smaller revenue base now but massive upside thanks to years of insane growth in the future.
Here are my revenue projections for $DMTK based on their current PLA product, Luminate, PLA+ and several other pipeline products: