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Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
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17 Mar, 6 tweets, 2 min read
Cummings wants to turn the UK into the ‘home of science’ – but ignored all scientists re lockdown

People tend to forget this because he has no qualifications beyond a BA in history has never done so much as an hour’s paid work in any kind of science job
independent.co.uk/voices/dominic…
“Another reason people tend to forget that Dominic Cummings is a scientist is because there are no actual scientists anywhere in the UK who think Brexit is anything other than the most damaging thing that’s ever happened to their industry.”
As for his latest money milking machine, ARPA...

I mean, that really was the reason for all those Brexit lies, wasn’t it?
I mean, we couldn’t have just gone ahead and done it without Brexit? Surely?
“ How, for example, can it be that the guy who lay his broken country down upon the altar of science is the very same guy who’s running things in 10 Downing Street in the middle of a pandemic when all the scientific advice gets ignored?”
“How does that work? Stir fry that little mystery in your £800m think wok and see what comes out.”

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More from @fascinatorfun

Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
19 Mar
“In wave 2, living with children was associated with an increased risk of recorded SARS-CoV-2 infection and covid-19 related hospital admission but was not associated with ICU admission.”

Of course it is the resulting onward transmission that further increases risk.
Interestingly “Living with children aged 0-11 years was associated with a reduced risk of death from covid-19 in both wave 1 and wave 2; we observed no increase in risk of death for those living with older children.”
Not SO surprising in that parents of younger children are likely to be younger & less vulnerable.

The risk of increased hospitalisation & deaths lies in the greater risk of onward transmission to more vulnerable people.

More transmission = eventually more hospitalisation/death
Read 5 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
19 Mar
Worth remembering, with all the vaccine spats that countries are all understandably very worried.

Look at these data from @Care2much18 (👏👏👏) on EU countries right now. Estonia has a population of under 1.4 million so 1.7k cases are like our worst day ever. 80k. Image
Czech Republic has under 11 mill citizens so 11,928 cases is equiv to nearly 70k here.

Poland, Hungary and Belgium (beware!) despite the earlier brutal waves will have to work hard to reverse an accelerating trend... as will France & Germany amongst others. Image
B.1.1.7 is a bugger and can reverse fortunes very quickly ..including here in the U.K.
Read 4 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
18 Mar
“Despite the fiendishly difficult situation, and the lack of numbers that mean they can’t deal with almost any reported incidents of violence against women, the police have found the resources to protect the most vulnerable part of our society: statues.”

👏👏@mrmarksteel
“It is a dilemma we all face in our lives. You’re walking up the street, perhaps to get some bread and milk, and you see a group of mourners outside a church, remembering someone they loved. At that moment, we face a fiendishly difficult choice.”
“Do we pass by respectfully, or do we grab one of them, shove them face down on the floor, and handcuff them behind their back before hurling them into a van? These are the desperately awkward decisions the police are faced with.”

The answer was staring us in the face!
Read 4 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
16 Mar
ONS. Week ending 5th March

Of the 11,592 deaths 2,105 mentioned #COVID19 on the death certificate (18.2% of all deaths).

This has fallen by 809 #COVID19 deaths since the previous week

Curiously Care Home Covid deaths -18.2% are slightly higher % than last week (17.5%)
Overall, however, the proportion of care home Covid deaths have fallen since the start of the vac programme when it was closer to 25%.

Nevertheless, given the over 80s were supposed to have been vaccinated by the end of Jan some more analysis of these deaths would be welcome
How many of those who died were vaccinated and when? With which vaccine and one dose or two.

Worth remembering that although this report is for the week ending 5th March it is based on date of NOTIFICATION so the death may have been week(s) before.
Read 4 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
16 Mar
18 March 2020 : One insider says: "People were dropping like flies."

The prime minister, however, was acting as though he was impervious to the risk. He had developed a habit of banging his own chest, telling staff he was "strong as a bull".
bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi…
“Soon, though, this chest-banging turned into "extreme coughing fits" and TV messages had to be retaken multiple times.

One Official said “We were more blind than we told the public," and suggests that is still the case one year on.
At least if they admit openly they are flying blind there is more hope that the precautionary principle would be applied and a plan to clear seeing developed, building trust.

It is hubris, over confidence and recklessness that is the killer - literally in this case
Read 7 tweets
Fionna O'Leary, 🕯🇪🇺 Profile picture
16 Mar
This is antibody surveillance to 3rd March so reflects vaccination to maybe mid February (given antibodies at least after the 1st vaccination takes weeks rather than days to build up.

End of March & end of April should reflect a lot of 2 dose people.

Wonder Why Scotland & NI ⬇️
To give you a sense of time and scale in the week ending 11Feb, so 3 weeks before in England, Over 80s in England, had increased from 40.9% two weeks before to 56.4%. Now at c 75%.

75-79 had then doubled from 12.4% to 24.9%. Now now nearly 70%
Let’s put the two graphs side by side. One for the period ending 11th Feb on the left.

The one for the period ending 3rd March on the right.

Notice the different scale.

70-74 age group ( England) were at c15%. Now (3/3/21) at 55%

50-69 yr old at c20%. Now nearer 30%
Read 4 tweets

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