18 March 2020 : One insider says: "People were dropping like flies."
The prime minister, however, was acting as though he was impervious to the risk. He had developed a habit of banging his own chest, telling staff he was "strong as a bull". bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi…
“Soon, though, this chest-banging turned into "extreme coughing fits" and TV messages had to be retaken multiple times.
One Official said “We were more blind than we told the public," and suggests that is still the case one year on.
At least if they admit openly they are flying blind there is more hope that the precautionary principle would be applied and a plan to clear seeing developed, building trust.
It is hubris, over confidence and recklessness that is the killer - literally in this case
This article fills in some of the behind the scenes disagreements leading to the first lockdown, including Johnson going off message - deliberately.
Then the Cummings affair
“I was busy chopping logs with my chain saw to get the frustration out” said one Minister.
The summer of hubris typified by Eat Out To Help Out and the likes of Isabel Oakeshott with her regular bleat as on the 2nd August “2 dead- Isn’t the pandemic over?”
And a see sawing PM. Concern the virus would return then the Gupta/ Heneghan pull of “let it rip”
By the middle of September, "the data was already screaming out", one insider says. On the 17th, I was told by one source: "If you do nothing now, by the end of October you will get something worse than the first wave."
Some pressing for lockdown - others against
The prime minister was unpersuaded, and followed the route urged by Heneghan and Gupta and maybe Tegnell.
And that WAS HIS FAULT and the fault of all those who sought to persuade him to go with them.
They all bear responsibility, but finally it was his.
Catastrophically bad
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Cummings wants to turn the UK into the ‘home of science’ – but ignored all scientists re lockdown
People tend to forget this because he has no qualifications beyond a BA in history has never done so much as an hour’s paid work in any kind of science job independent.co.uk/voices/dominic…
“Another reason people tend to forget that Dominic Cummings is a scientist is because there are no actual scientists anywhere in the UK who think Brexit is anything other than the most damaging thing that’s ever happened to their industry.”
As for his latest money milking machine, ARPA...
I mean, that really was the reason for all those Brexit lies, wasn’t it?
Overall, however, the proportion of care home Covid deaths have fallen since the start of the vac programme when it was closer to 25%.
Nevertheless, given the over 80s were supposed to have been vaccinated by the end of Jan some more analysis of these deaths would be welcome
How many of those who died were vaccinated and when? With which vaccine and one dose or two.
Worth remembering that although this report is for the week ending 5th March it is based on date of NOTIFICATION so the death may have been week(s) before.
This is antibody surveillance to 3rd March so reflects vaccination to maybe mid February (given antibodies at least after the 1st vaccination takes weeks rather than days to build up.
End of March & end of April should reflect a lot of 2 dose people.
To give you a sense of time and scale in the week ending 11Feb, so 3 weeks before in England, Over 80s in England, had increased from 40.9% two weeks before to 56.4%. Now at c 75%.
75-79 had then doubled from 12.4% to 24.9%. Now now nearly 70%
Let’s put the two graphs side by side. One for the period ending 11th Feb on the left.
The one for the period ending 3rd March on the right.
Notice the different scale.
70-74 age group ( England) were at c15%. Now (3/3/21) at 55%
“As the months without a paycheck wore on, Joel Noyes, a 41-year-old cellist with the Metropolitan Opera, realized that in order to keep making his mortgage payments he would have to sell one of his most valuable possessions: his 19th-century Russian bow.
Then, in December, the company locked out its roughly 300 stagehands after their union, Local One of the International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees, rejected the Met’s proposed pay cuts.
(In a letter to the union last year, Peter Gelb, the Met’s general manager, wrote that the average full-time stagehand cost the Met $260,000 in 2019, including benefits;
Re the Norway/ Iceland/Denmark/Germany etc suspending AZ VACCINE whilst their regulators review the evidence.
That’s their right.
If being careful reassures their populations then that is good
And the data suggests they will be reassured.
I just wish the reporting was better
This is from the International Society of Thrombosis and Haematology experts.
But, the point it, this is all pretty new in all countries and it isn’t surprising if a bit of thinking time is needed whilst Regulators assess competing risk.
I again remind everyone that antibody titers are only part of the immunity picture. Research, for instance by Prof Crotty’s team shows that B Cells (that can be prompted to produce antibodies INCREASE over time).