☀️ @PunchbowlNews this AM: What do Republicans stand for?

We are 600 days from the midterm elections -- it was a good hook, relax, we don’t have a countdown clock.

But try to answer this: What do Republicans stand for as a party?
@PunchbowlNews We ask because as the 117th Congress unfolds, and lawmakers continue to process what happened on Election Day and Jan. 6, we’re trying to get a sense of what the political landscape is like in the aftermath of Donald Trump’s presidency.
@PunchbowlNews Democrats, of course, will follow President Joe Biden’s lead -- a surprisingly progressive approach to governing that’s designed to be a blend between compassion and competence. We’ll see if he and they can pull it off.
@PunchbowlNews The GOP, on the other hand, doesn’t seem to have any unifying theme or issue. Trump is gone from Washington for the moment, but very much in the mix of the national political scene. And despite his popularity with the base, the GOP Establishment is done with the former president
@PunchbowlNews So where does that leave the party?

→ The GOP used to be for fiscal discipline & balanced budgets, but they no longer are. Their 2017 tax cuts blew up the deficit, and they had no problem running up the red ink under Trump. They can't make a case for fiscal discipline anymore.
@PunchbowlNews → Defense policy: They were once strongly pro-NATO, and believed America should be a muscular and interventionist presence on the foreign stage. But those ties frayed, and those beliefs faded under Trump. Republicans used to warn against cozying up to dictators. See Trump again.
@PunchbowlNews → Trade policy: Trump blew up decades of Republican orthodoxy on the benefits of free trade. Now some Republicans are for tariffs, others are not.
@PunchbowlNews → Health policy: Where do we start here? GOP leaders have claimed they would put forward and pass an Obamacare replacement plan for the last 11 years. We’re still waiting.
@PunchbowlNews → Science: Rs were once strong supporters of premier federal institutions like the CDC and NIH. Now, a big chunk of their party sees top scientists as quacks, and polls show that something approaching 40% of self-identified Rs are hesitant about taking the Covid-19 vaccine.
→ Separation of powers: Republicans said Trump was justified in unilaterally diverting funds approved by Congress for different programs for the border wall. Now Biden has canceled border-wall construction, and Republicans are complaining that he is violating the law.
→ Picking winners & losers: There was a period of time not too long ago where Rs criticized
Ds for what they saw as overzealous intervention into private sector -- picking winners & losers, they said. This would be a tough argument to make now
→ There’s a massive gulf between state and local GOP officials and Washington, D.C., policy makers. Mayors and governors gladly took the recent stimulus funds included in the American Rescue Plan. D.C. Republicans voted against it.
→ Immigration: This may be the most dramatic change of all. Former GOP Presidents including Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush spoke frequently about how valuable immigrants were for refreshing and renewing American society.
Trump blew all that up. He got to the White House by demonizing Mexicans and Muslims, and he made sure the rest of the party toed that line. Now where is the GOP on major immigration issues?
Are they for welcoming foreign students who study in America as permanent citizens (a huge plus for the country)?
Are they for a pathway to citizenship for the Dreamers or undocumented immigrants? What about reforming asylum laws? Refugees? Work visas? There is a wider ideological gulf internally between Rs on this issue than between the 2 parties.
→ The GOP still revolves around one figure: Trump. There are many who want that to end, but they’re too afraid to say it because they fear the backlash from the base.
They don’t have to figure this all out now. For now, Republicans are in the minority. They’re an opposition party, and it's easy to be against Biden.
But at some point, they’re going to have to resolve these ideological and policy disputes if the GOP is to survive as an effective partner in the two-party system. And it won’t be easy.
Of course, the GOP is the favorite to win the House in 2022. And they may be able to capture the majority without having any ideological north star -- history would indicate that’s the case.
→ One final point: On Wednesday, 12 House Republicans voted against a resolution awarding gold medals to police for their heroism on Jan. 6. They didnt like the word “insurrectionists” used to describe the Trump supporters involved in the incident.
And one, Republican Rep. Thomas Massie of Kentucky, complained about describing the Capitol as the “temple of democracy” as a “little too sacrilegious for me.” That pretty much sums it up.

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More from @JakeSherman

11 Mar
In @PunchbowlNews PM tonight, we laid out what the W.H. is doing to sell the covid deal: Oval Office speech tonight. Trips next week

House Majority First — a Dem outside group — announced a $1.4 million buy today, but let’s dig in deeper and see what that really is at this point
@PunchbowlNews HMF said it was going into the following districts
@LaurenUnderwood
@AndyKimNJ
@repdelgado
@RepCartwright
@Lizzie4Congress
@RepGonzalez
@RepElaineLuria
@RepRonKind

Some of these are pricey: Houston, Philly and Chicago. Gotta spend a LOT to make a dent
Sometimes outside group ad buys are designed to make members feel happy and get the publicity that they bought the ad, not make a difference in the electorate.

We got an ad-buying source to lay out where these ads are running, for how long and for how much — CRITICAL info
Read 6 tweets
9 Mar
>@PunchbowlNews AM's top this morning: "Our questions about Infrastructure Year"

@SecretaryPete said yesterday on @NicolleDWallace's show that he thinks this can be "Infrastructure Year."

Buttigieg sure hopes Congress keeps its money spigot on full blast to start rebuilding.
Here are our 9 questions about infrastructure.

1) The price tag. Congress is getting ready to approve nearly $2 trillion in Covid-related spending this week, and it’s being done on a party line vote. Will Washington have the stomach for another $1 trillion-plus bill?
Whatever Dems want has to pass the @Sen_JoeManchin test: Moderate Dems will have to be able to stomach it.
Read 11 tweets
8 Mar
In @PunchbowlNews this AM: @SenSchumer is leaving no room to his left

Everyone has written -- us too! -- that Schumer could face a primary challenge from his left from @aoc. Yet that seems less likely. and a fight from the left seems ill advised at the moment.
Here’s why:

→ Schumer as majority leader is a lot harder to challenge than Schumer as minority leader. Yes, Senate majority leaders have lost re-election, but it’s been a good 80 years since this happened. Ossoff and Warnock’s victories made a Schumer challenge much tougher
→ The American Rescue Plan could’ve been called the “Chuck Schumer Rescue Plan.” McConnell (R-Ky.) called it a “liberal wish list.” Sanders (I-Vt.) said it was “the most significant piece of legislation to benefit working families in the modern history of this country.”
Read 9 tweets
3 Mar
>@PunchbowlNews AM: The Congress Biden wants vs. the one he has

In the Congress Biden wants -- and the Congress he campaigned on during the presidential race -- Rs and Ds work together to notch big legislative priorities. They meet constantly, and hash out big deals.
@PunchbowlNews In the Congress Biden actually has, Republicans will stand pat against the $1.9-trillion package after a few perfunctory meetings and conversations.
@PunchbowlNews In the Congress Joe Biden wants, you nominate a candidate for a post and the Senate considers them on the merits. You talk to senators, and you expect a logical result.
Read 7 tweets
1 Mar
>@PunchbowlNews AM:

“Get rid of them all.” Trump on a whole bunch of House and Senate Rs

We’ve been waiting for this moment because it gives us the opportunity to write about the challenges of this approach for Trump and for D.C. Republicans.
@PunchbowlNews For Trump: The principal question we have here is whether Trump is going to have the infrastructure and, more importantly, the sustained interest in launching and facilitating primary challenges against these Republicans.
@PunchbowlNews That would include endorsing & most likely clearing the field for candidates in various congressional districts across the country. Saying you want to get rid of Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.) is one thing. But ensuring that Cheney or any candidate faces just 1 challenger is critical
Read 11 tweets
24 Feb
In @PunchbowlNews AM this morning: We have some new reporting on Republicans’ position on earmarks. This is huge news for DC.

@LeaderMcConnell said he’ll defer to @SenShelby, which means earmarking will almost certainly be starting again for Senate Rs.

But now for House Rs...
@PunchbowlNews @LeaderMcConnell @SenShelby 1) This House Republican minority isn’t like the Tea Party fueled group of a decade ago. Instead, they’re inspired by former President Donald Trump, who had no problem spending vast piles of federal money. Bringing back earmarks doesn’t seem like a huge ideological hurdle now.
@PunchbowlNews @LeaderMcConnell @SenShelby 2) Democrats are going to request earmarks. If Republicans don’t, they’ll be at a substantive and political disadvantage, they say.
Read 4 tweets

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