(1/8) Study of 12 million adults in England, showing that living with children during the second wave was associated with an increased risk of testing positive or being hospitalised for #COVID19.
Risk of death was increased for adults aged >=65 years.
bmj.com/content/372/bm…
Risk of death was increased for adults aged >=65 years.
bmj.com/content/372/bm…
(2/8) In real terms, the effects were modest and equal to an extra:
40-60 infections (5-7% ⬆️) and 1-5 hospital admissions per 10,000 people for those living with young children; and,
160-190 infections (20-23% ⬆️) and 2-6 admissions (1-4% ⬆️) for those living with adolescents.
40-60 infections (5-7% ⬆️) and 1-5 hospital admissions per 10,000 people for those living with young children; and,
160-190 infections (20-23% ⬆️) and 2-6 admissions (1-4% ⬆️) for those living with adolescents.
(3/8) The risk of dying from COVID-19 was not increased in people living with children who were aged under 65 years.
However, the risk of dying from *any cause* was less in people living with children.
There’s a very important reason for this. 👇
However, the risk of dying from *any cause* was less in people living with children.
There’s a very important reason for this. 👇
(4/8) People living with children were younger than those not living with children and were also healthier and had higher socio-economic status (less deprived).
These are all protective factors for health and mortality. One would therefore expect lower deaths in this population.
These are all protective factors for health and mortality. One would therefore expect lower deaths in this population.
(5/8) For adults aged 65 years and older, the authors found an “increased risk of infection associated with living with children of any age and of ICU admission and death from covid-19 for those living with children aged 0-11 and 12-18 years.”
(6/8) While the risks were greater for those living with adolescents, this likely reflects the virus being more prevalent in older children at that time, and secondary schools being environments more conducive to transmission than primary schools (more mixing).
(7/8) That is, these results do not necessarily imply that younger children are less likely to transmit the virus than adolescents.
It’s also important to note that an increase in risk was not seen during the first wave, but schools were largely closed during this time.
It’s also important to note that an increase in risk was not seen during the first wave, but schools were largely closed during this time.
(8/8) In summary, this study shows that living with children is associated with an increased risk of testing positive.
It strongly suggests schools are places in which transmission occurs.
Hence, it’s vital to implement mitigation measures in schools.
It strongly suggests schools are places in which transmission occurs.
Hence, it’s vital to implement mitigation measures in schools.
https://twitter.com/drzoehyde/status/1369879945317511168?s=21
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